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Targets for Athlete Performance and the Sport System

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Summer Olympics: These were <strong>the</strong> results of <strong>the</strong> medal count in Sydney 2000:<br />

Rank Medals Nation Trends <strong>and</strong> Comments<br />

1 st 97 USA has always finished 1 st /2 nd<br />

2 nd 88 RUS as RUS or URS has always finished 1 st /2 nd<br />

3 rd 59 CHN has finished 4 th , 4 th , 3 rd in last 3 Games<br />

4 th 58 AUS has finished 9 th , 5 th , 4 th<br />

5 th 56 GER has finished 3 rd , 3 rd , 5 th<br />

6 th 38 FRA has finished 7 th , 6 th , 6 th<br />

7 th 34 ITA has finished 13 th , 7 th , 7 th<br />

8 th 29 CUB has finished 5 th , 9 th , 8 th<br />

9 th 28 GBR Projected to improve to top 8<br />

10 th 28 KOR<br />

11 th 25 NED<br />

12 th 25 ROM<br />

13 th 23 UKR<br />

14 th 18 JPN<br />

15 th 17 HUN<br />

16 th 17 BLR<br />

17 th 14 POL<br />

18 th 14 CAN<br />

19 th 13 BUL<br />

20th 13 GRE<br />

21st 12 SWE<br />

Assuming <strong>the</strong> same number of events (300) in future games, it can be assumed that <strong>the</strong><br />

current top 3 nations (USA, RUS, CHN) will remain <strong>the</strong> Top 3 in <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>eseeable future, with CHN<br />

likely narrowing <strong>the</strong> gap if not overtaking RUS as a result of hosting <strong>the</strong> 2008 Games. The next 2<br />

nations (AUS <strong>and</strong> GER) will likely remain in <strong>the</strong> 50+ medals range; given <strong>the</strong>ir strong position in<br />

several large multiple event sports, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir strong sport funding <strong>and</strong> system.<br />

Canada won 14 medals at <strong>the</strong> 2000 Summer Olympics (ranked 17 th ), but will need to double<br />

this to 28 medals to place in <strong>the</strong> Top 8 in <strong>the</strong> medals count at <strong>the</strong> 2012 Olympics. It is predicted<br />

that 40 medals will result in a Top 6 placing <strong>and</strong> 60 medals will be needed to place in <strong>the</strong> Top 3 at<br />

<strong>the</strong> 2012 Olympic Games. In summary:<br />

• An 8 th place finish in 2012 will likely require a target of 30 medals, assuming 300 events<br />

• A 6 th place finish in 2012 will likely require a target of 40 medals, assuming 300 events<br />

The per<strong>for</strong>mance objective <strong>for</strong> Canada at <strong>the</strong> 2012 Olympic Games could be indicated by<br />

<strong>the</strong> following achievements at <strong>the</strong> 2008 Olympic Games in China:<br />

Measure Sydney A<strong>the</strong>ns Beijing 2012<br />

2000 2004 2008<br />

Medals 14 14 20-25 30<br />

Top 8’s 57 50-60 65-75 90-100<br />

<strong>Athlete</strong> Per<strong>for</strong>mance <strong>and</strong> <strong>Sport</strong> <strong>System</strong> <strong>Targets</strong>, Evaluation, <strong>and</strong> Investment Page 22

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