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ireland |<br />
ireland |<br />
“Presents <strong>to</strong> nieces, nephews, in-laws and other less<br />
immediate relatives or friends are for the chop.”<br />
MERRY CHRISTMAS<br />
MR COWEN<br />
As the Christmas lights are now up in the shops,<br />
it is time wish An Taoiseach a ‘Merry Christmas’,<br />
writes JOSEPH MORGAN<br />
cutting back on their spending this Christmas due <strong>to</strong> the current<br />
economic environment and fears about whether they will have a<br />
job this time next year. Some of them have already lost their jobs<br />
this year and as the redundancy payment and savings run out,<br />
every item of spending is being scrutinised <strong>to</strong> ensure the mortgage<br />
is paid and there is a roof over their heads.<br />
Presents <strong>to</strong> nieces, nephews, in-laws and other less immediate<br />
relatives or friends are for the chop. The extra spending on luxuries<br />
for the table will be pared back.<br />
Figures from the Central Statistics Office (CSO), released earlier this<br />
year, show that sales in December 2008 fell by over 8% compared<br />
<strong>to</strong> a year earlier. And its looking like this December is going <strong>to</strong> be a<br />
lot worse.<br />
And cross-border shopping figures prominently in that prediction.<br />
One friend showed me the UK and Irish catalogues of a ‘well known<br />
retail chain’ that showed the price for a particular child’s <strong>to</strong>y at €50<br />
here and £30 (about €33 at current exchange rates) in the North.<br />
Her words: “It’s a no-brainer really. I’m going <strong>to</strong> be buying all the<br />
presents in Newry and I might as well get the food and the wine<br />
while I’m there as that’s cheaper <strong>to</strong>o.”<br />
Meanwhile, back in the car park, the long queue of cars with <strong>Dublin</strong><br />
registrations lined up one after the other made spotting a local<br />
Northern Ireland plate rather like looking for a hen’s teeth. Those<br />
shoppers were clearly paying a lot of heed <strong>to</strong> our leader’s words.<br />
The ‘consumer-led recovery’, allegedly <strong>to</strong> be brought about by<br />
NAMA getting credit flowing in<strong>to</strong> the economy again, is one of<br />
the key drivers that our government is telling us will lift the Irish<br />
economy out of recession.<br />
Quite apart from the fact that my poll shows that nobody wants<br />
the banks’ credit facilities in the foreseeable future, Ireland’s<br />
economic recovery is starting <strong>to</strong> look as likely as bumping in<strong>to</strong> the<br />
real Santa on Christmas morning.<br />
As An Taoiseach sits down <strong>to</strong> his dinner on December 25th, I hope<br />
he spares a minute <strong>to</strong> think about the many thousands of men,<br />
women and children who have gone without this year. Perhaps he<br />
will resolve <strong>to</strong> reduce his own salary in the New Year <strong>to</strong> less than<br />
that of the President of the United States – it is currently greater<br />
- and pump that back in<strong>to</strong> our ailing retail sec<strong>to</strong>r if it so concerns<br />
him.<br />
Merry Christmas, Mr Cowen.<br />
16<br />
Pulling in<strong>to</strong> the car park<br />
at the shopping centre in<br />
Newry, Northern Ireland,<br />
this weekend, I couldn’t help<br />
but recall the words of An<br />
Taoiseach, Brian Cowen, earlier this year<br />
as he criticised the public for ‘crossborder<br />
shopping’. At the time, it was all<br />
being blamed on a 30% drop in the value<br />
of Sterling and ‘unpatriotic’ behaviours.<br />
To paraphrase George Orwell: “Shopping<br />
in the rip-off Republic good, shopping<br />
in Northern Ireland - at greatly reduced<br />
prices - bad.” There is nothing quite<br />
like the sight of a politician wrapping<br />
themselves in the national flag.<br />
What Mr Cowen was less keen <strong>to</strong> point<br />
out is that the government has already<br />
started down the road of delivering a<br />
‘triple-whammy’ <strong>to</strong> the Irish retail sec<strong>to</strong>r<br />
just in time for the run-up <strong>to</strong> Christmas.<br />
“One has <strong>to</strong> wonder why<br />
Mr. Cowen would hit<br />
those most in need.”<br />
The first hit came earlier this year. In<br />
the budget last April, it was announced<br />
that the Christmas bonus paid <strong>to</strong> welfare<br />
benefit claimants would be axed this<br />
December.<br />
There is plenty of evidence <strong>to</strong> prove that<br />
welfare claimants spend all the money<br />
they receive directly in<strong>to</strong> the economy.<br />
So it’s not as if they money isn’t needed<br />
by those that receive it and one has <strong>to</strong><br />
wonder why Mr Cowen would hit those<br />
most in need.<br />
The second punch will be far harder than<br />
the first. The next budget statement is<br />
due in the first week of December. It<br />
has already been widely forecast (by the<br />
government, as well as the pundits) that<br />
most of the €4 billion in savings required<br />
will be achieved by taking the axe <strong>to</strong><br />
welfare payments and public sec<strong>to</strong>r pay.<br />
Once again, it is coming directly out of<br />
the economy.<br />
The third strike is the real knockout blow<br />
<strong>to</strong> the retail sec<strong>to</strong>r this Christmas.<br />
In a straw poll of fifty friends and<br />
relatives, the overwhelming majority<br />
(94%) said that they will be drastically<br />
“Ireland’s economic recovery<br />
looks as likely as bumping in<strong>to</strong><br />
the real Santa on Christmas<br />
morning.”<br />
Nancy Pineda