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Application of Climate Predictions and Simulation Models for the ...

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Using medium <strong>and</strong> long-range climate<br />

<strong>for</strong>ecasting to reduce impacts <strong>of</strong> climate<br />

variability (1)<br />

‣ Better knowledge <strong>of</strong> climatic variability toge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong><br />

availability <strong>of</strong> climate <strong>for</strong>ecasts <strong>and</strong> agrometeorological models are<br />

key components <strong>for</strong> improving agricultural decision making at <strong>the</strong><br />

farm or policy level;<br />

‣ Medium range <strong>for</strong>ecasts are <strong>of</strong> great usefulness <strong>for</strong> farmers in<br />

short-term decisions:<br />

• whe<strong>the</strong>r to carry out or not specific agricultural practices<br />

• to schedule farm work (to decide if to sow or not, to<br />

spray or not, to irrigate or not)<br />

• if <strong>the</strong> decision is made to irrigate what should be <strong>the</strong><br />

amount <strong>of</strong> irrigation.

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