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Trading Time. - CQG.com

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Peak Range<br />

Various workarounds were contemplated, but we kept returning to the most obvious<br />

solution. This was to calculate a user-defined moving average of range (1000 periods in<br />

the examples that follow); if the current range is less than the average the Peak level will<br />

not move. Often this means that the trailing stop and step theories remain powerful.<br />

An additional benefit that applies to all markets and timeframes is that it automatically<br />

prevents Peak levels changing just because a market is waiting for a specific news event<br />

and is unusually quiet ahead of the number <strong>com</strong>ing out. The chart (see fig. 107) shows<br />

the Dollar Swiss, which is waiting for a Federal Reserve meeting to declare its hands on<br />

interest rates. The market is moribund during the afternoon ahead of the number and the<br />

normal peak is breached. However, the lack of range means that the modified peak<br />

maintains a wider stop and then trails the rest of the trend once the announcement is out.<br />

On FX this method can be used every night but at other times and on other markets is<br />

reserved for the really important events, like trade deficits, unemployment numbers and<br />

interest rate announcements.<br />

Peak Range avoids stops being hit when markets are quiet.

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