BEWARE THE PERFECT STORM - FHLBank Topeka
BEWARE THE PERFECT STORM - FHLBank Topeka
BEWARE THE PERFECT STORM - FHLBank Topeka
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9 STEPS YOU CAN TAKE RIGHT NOW<br />
CONTINUED FROM PAGE 3<br />
ASSET/LIABILITY STRATEGIES<br />
3. PRE-INVESTING CASH FLOW NOW COULD PAY BIG<br />
DIVIDENDS FOR ASSET SENSITIVE BANKS IF RATES<br />
CONTINUE TO FALL.<br />
Most bank investment portfolios will soon be throwing off considerable cash flows<br />
that need to be reinvested as loan demand has slowed. Now is an excellent time to<br />
consider restructuring some of those “callable” securities and buying call protection.<br />
Special note: Be careful of floating rate TRUPs, especially at discounts.<br />
4. LIABILITY SENSITIVE BANKS SHOULD GIVE SERIOUS<br />
CONSIDERATION TO EXTENDING FUNDING AND<br />
LOWERING <strong>THE</strong>IR DEPENDENCY ON CDS.<br />
Banks can extend funding and lower their costs considerably. Don’t waste marketing<br />
dollars promoting CDs; now is an excellent time to design your own liability structure<br />
at bargain prices.<br />
5. CONSIDER EMBEDDED DERIVATIVES TO OFFSET<br />
OPTIONALITY.<br />
Embedded caps and structured advances are very compelling now. Keep in mind that<br />
you don’t want to extend too far and create a falling rate problem down the road.<br />
6. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF <strong>THE</strong> CURRENT LIQUIDITY CRISIS.<br />
The best way to increase yields is to hold loans in portfolio and take advantage of the<br />
risk premium of both conforming and non-conforming loans. Yield premiums are significantly<br />
higher than normal, particularly on Jumbo loans.<br />
7. CONSIDER BUYING LOANS IF YOU CANNOT GENERATE<br />
<strong>THE</strong>M YOURSELVES OR IF YOU HAVE CONCERNS OVER<br />
CONCENTRATION RISK.<br />
C&I loans can be purchased at attractive rates from some very large banks. We<br />
encourage you to do your due diligence and underwrite these loans accordingly.<br />
8. SELL OPTIONS AND GET PAID A PREMIUM RATE.<br />
Offer a no-cost refinance option on mortgage loans for a stated period but charge a<br />
quarter point higher. Most consumers won’t refinance until rates fall significantly, in<br />
which case they would have refinanced anyway, but maybe not with your bank! A win/<br />
win for the bank and customer. The same applies to “no penalty” CDs that pay a lower<br />
rate initially for the opportunity to withdraw funds before final maturity (after seven<br />
days). In a falling rate environment, this is a real winner that competes well with highercosting<br />
term CDs.<br />
9. LASTLY, REVISIT YOUR LIQUIDITY AND CONTINGENT<br />
LIQUIDITY POLICIES TO ENSURE COMPLIANCE AND<br />
TO PROVIDE FLEXIBILITY FOR <strong>THE</strong> BANK.<br />
<strong>FHLBank</strong> advances are significantly less expensive than brokered CDs and national<br />
market CDs, yet I still see banks rolling over CDs because they are reaching their<br />
internal borrowing limit even though they have sufficient collateral to borrow from<br />
an <strong>FHLBank</strong>. Hint: Change your borrowing limit if it makes good business sense.<br />
BOTTOM LINE:<br />
NOW IS A GOOD<br />
TIME TO TAKE<br />
ACTION REGARDLESS<br />
OF YOUR BANK’S IRR<br />
POSITION. DON’T<br />
WAIT FOR RATES TO<br />
CHANGE BEFORE<br />
MAKING BALANCE<br />
SHEET MANAGE-<br />
MENT DECISIONS;<br />
IT MAY BE TOO LATE!<br />
AND, REMEMBER<br />
<strong>THE</strong> ANDREA GALE.<br />
The Darling Consulting Group specializes in<br />
education, strategic planning and management<br />
tools for banks, thrifts and credit unions. DCG’s<br />
nearly 300 clients consistently outperform their<br />
peers by over 60 percent, based on ROE.<br />
Frank Farone is a managing director of DCG,<br />
working nationwide with financial institution<br />
CEOs and CFOs to increase earnings through<br />
the proactive management of capital, liquidity/funding<br />
risk and interest rate risk. He assists<br />
clients in anticipating the effects of changing<br />
market conditions on their balance sheets and<br />
develops strategies based on a clear understanding<br />
of risk/reward tradeoffs.<br />
Contact Mr. Farone at 978.463.0400, ext. 171, or<br />
e-mail him at ffarone@darlingconsulting.com.<br />
This article may not be reproduced or distributed<br />
without written permission from DCG.<br />
4<br />
<strong>FHLBank</strong> Focus | Winter 2007