indo–us workshop on “intraplate seismicity†- The CERI Blog
indo–us workshop on “intraplate seismicity†- The CERI Blog
indo–us workshop on “intraplate seismicity†- The CERI Blog
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West<strong>on</strong> Observatory, Department of Earth and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Sciences, Bost<strong>on</strong> College,<br />
Devlin Hall 213,140 comm<strong>on</strong>wealth Avenue, Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts 02467,USA.<br />
It has been suggested that in intraplate regi<strong>on</strong>s aftershocks of str<strong>on</strong>g earthquakes can be<br />
observed for many hundreds of years or even l<strong>on</strong>ger. This may be because regi<strong>on</strong>al stresses<br />
build up very slowly within the tect<strong>on</strong>ic plates, and thus relatively little of the intraplate<br />
seismicity reflects regi<strong>on</strong>al stress accumulati<strong>on</strong>. Thus, for intraplate regi<strong>on</strong>s spatial clusters<br />
of locally enhanced small earthquake activity may indicate locati<strong>on</strong>s where past str<strong>on</strong>g<br />
earthquakes have taken place. In eastern North America (ENA), there are many localized<br />
clusters of small earthquakes that may indicate where str<strong>on</strong>g earthquakes have occurred,<br />
most notably in the New Madrid and Charlevoix seismic z<strong>on</strong>es. A number of M≥4<br />
earthquakes have taken place near the edges of many of ENA clusters, and these moderate<br />
earthquakes may reflect the ends of faults that ruptured in the str<strong>on</strong>g earthquakes that give<br />
rise to the aftershock clusters. Thus, localized clusters of locally enhanced earthquake<br />
activity in intraplate regi<strong>on</strong>s may give clues about where to look for seismically active<br />
structures. In ENA there are a number of such localized clusters that may reflect the<br />
locati<strong>on</strong>s of str<strong>on</strong>g earthquakes (M 7 or greater) that have taken place during the past 1000-‐<br />
2000 years. An example of such a localized cluster is in central New Hampshire, where an<br />
earthquake of about M 6.5 is suspected to have taken place in 1638. A few scattered<br />
historical reports from Massachusetts and Quebec document this earthquake, but its<br />
locati<strong>on</strong> and size are impossible to determine from the historical accounts al<strong>on</strong>e.<br />
S3.4<br />
On Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) Modeling for Finding Anomalous Behaviour<br />
of Seismicity<br />
A. R. Bansal and V. P. Dimri (Email:dimrivp@yahoo.com)<br />
Nati<strong>on</strong>al Geophysical Research Institute (CSIR), Uppal Road, Hyderabad – 500 007, India<br />
<strong>The</strong> epidemic type aftershock sequence Model (ETAS) model is based <strong>on</strong> point process<br />
representati<strong>on</strong> of the seismicity. In the ETAS model background rate and aftershocks are<br />
assumed to follow stati<strong>on</strong>ary and n<strong>on</strong>-‐stati<strong>on</strong>ary Poiss<strong>on</strong> process, respectively. <strong>The</strong><br />
aftershocks are governed by modified Omori laws and each aftershock can trigger their own