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indo–us workshop on “intraplate seismicity” - The CERI Blog

indo–us workshop on “intraplate seismicity” - The CERI Blog

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aftershocks. <strong>The</strong> model is found suitable to define anomalous behaviour of the seismicity in<br />

many parts of the world before the large earthquakes in term of activati<strong>on</strong> and quiescence.<br />

We apply this model to the seismicity of North – Eastern Himalaya and Sumatran seismicity.<br />

A stati<strong>on</strong>ary ETAS model is found suitable for the North-­‐Eastern Himalayan seismicity<br />

whereas Sumatran seismicity before the mega event of 2004 follows a n<strong>on</strong>-­‐stati<strong>on</strong>ary ETAS<br />

model. <strong>The</strong> activati<strong>on</strong> in Sumatran seismicity started around 4.3 years before the mega<br />

event of 2004. During this period seismicity changes from sub-­‐critical to the critical stage.

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