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Education kit: What are the odds? - Powerhouse Museum

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<strong>What</strong> <strong>are</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>odds</strong>?<br />

10. False. Gambling is a big and rapidly growing business in Australia.<br />

(Australia’s gambling industries, inquiry report, Productivity<br />

Commission, December 1999, vol 1: summary, p 2)<br />

11. False. There <strong>are</strong> 290 000 adult problem gamblers, representing 2.1%<br />

of Australian adults. (Australia’s gambling industries, inquiry report,<br />

Productivity Commission, December 1999, vol 1: summary, p 2)<br />

12. True. One in ten [problem gamblers] said <strong>the</strong>y had contemplated<br />

suicide due to gambling. (Australia’s gambling industries, inquiry<br />

report, Productivity Commission, December 1999, vol 1: summary,<br />

p 2)<br />

13. False. There is substantial evidence that people have been<br />

gambling for thousands of years.<br />

14. True. The chance of winning Powerball is 1 in 54 979155.<br />

15. True. Poker machines don’t return <strong>the</strong> full amount invested.<br />

Usually only 90% is returned. You can expect <strong>the</strong> machine to return<br />

90% of your investment. When that’s invested again <strong>the</strong> machine<br />

will return 90% of <strong>the</strong> 90% of <strong>the</strong> original investment. This table<br />

shows <strong>the</strong> proportion of <strong>the</strong> original amount left after winnings <strong>are</strong><br />

reinvested.<br />

After After After After After After After<br />

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 10th 20th 30th<br />

invest- invest- invest- invest- invest- invest- investment<br />

ment ment ment ment ment ment<br />

0.9 (.9)*= (.9)*= (.9)*= (.9)**= (.9)**= (.9)**=<br />

.81 .729 .656 .35 .12 .04<br />

16. False. Every set of <strong>the</strong> same quantity of numbers has an equally<br />

small probability of winning.<br />

Budgets and gambling<br />

1. a. $700 b. $210 c. entertainment d. $84 e. go to <strong>the</strong> movies,<br />

hire DVD<br />

2. a. $3 480 000 000 or $3.48 billion b. Between 1 450 000 and<br />

2 900 000 people c. Between 7.25% and 14.5%<br />

EDUCATION KIT 41

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