Descriptive and Predictive models of dengue epidemiology: an ...

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Modeling uuu dengue fever epidemiology β - Infection rate φ- Second. infection contribution to the force of infection (ADE ratio) α- Cross-immunity period γ- Recovery rate µ- Demographic rate
Modeling uuu dengue fever epidemiology The n-strain epidemiological model and for i = 1, ..., n Ṡ = µ (N − S) − ˙ I i = β N ⎛ n∑ i=1 ⎝I i + ρ · N + φ ⎝ ⎛ ⎛ β N S ⎝I i + ρ · N + φ ⎝ ⎛ n∑ j=1,j≠i n∑ j=1,j≠i ⎞⎞ I ji ⎠⎠ − (γ + µ) I i ⎞⎞ I ji ⎠⎠ ˙ R i = γI i − (α + µ) R i ˙ S i = αR i − n∑ j=1,j≠i and for i = 1, ..., n and j = 1, ..., n with j ≠ i ⎛ and finally ˙ I ij = β N S i ⎛ ⎛ β N S i ⎝I j + ρ · N + φ ⎝ ⎛ ⎝I j + ρ · N + φ ⎝ ⎛ Ṙ = γ ⎝ n∑ n∑ i=1 j=1,j≠i n∑ k=1,k≠j n∑ k=1,k≠j ⎞⎞ I kj ⎠⎠ − µS i ⎞⎞ I kj ⎠⎠ − (γ + µ) I ij I ij ⎞ ⎠ − µR
Page 1 and 2: uuu Descriptive and Predictive mode
Page 3 and 4: Madeira: uuu Autochthonous Dengue C
Page 11 and 12: Dengue uuu fever epidemiology Deng
Page 13 and 14: Dengue uuu fever epidemiology Infe
Page 15 and 16: Dengue fever epidemiology uuu ADE i
Page 25 and 26: Dengue fever epidemiology uuu It i
Page 27 and 28: Dengue uuu fever notification data
Page 29: Dengue uuu fever notification data
Page 33 and 34: Modeling uuu dengue fever epidemiol
Page 55 and 56: Modeling dengue fever epidemiology
Page 65 and 66: uuu Summary Long term epidemiologi

Descriptive and Predictive models of dengue epidemiology: an ...

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