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Descriptive and Predictive models of dengue epidemiology: an ...

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Modeling uuu <strong>dengue</strong> fever <strong>epidemiology</strong><br />

The two-infections model<br />

without strain structure <strong>of</strong> the pathogens<br />

Ṡ = − β M 0<br />

SV + µ(N − S)<br />

˙ I P = β M 0<br />

SV − (γ + µ)I P<br />

R˙<br />

P = γI P − (α + µ)R P<br />

(2)<br />

˙ S P = − β M 0<br />

S P V + R P α − S P µ<br />

˙ I S = β M 0<br />

S P V − (γ + µ)I S<br />

Ṙ = γI S − µR<br />

˙U = ψ − θ N (M(t) − V )(I P + ρ · N + φI S ) − νU<br />

˙V = θ N (M(t) − V )(I P + ρ · N + φI S ) − νV

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