Descriptive and Predictive models of dengue epidemiology: an ...

Modeling uuu dengue fever epidemiology
The two-infections model
without strain structure of the pathogens
Ṡ = − β(t)
N S(I P + ρ · N + φI S ) + µ(N − S)
˙ I P
= β(t)
N S(I P + ρ · N + φI S ) − (γ + µ)I P
R˙
P = γI P − (α + µ)R P
(1)
˙ S P
= − β(t)
N S P(I P + ρ · N + φI S ) + R P α − S P µ
I˙
S = β(t)
N S P(I P + ρ · N + φI S ) − (γ + µ)I S
Ṙ = γI S − µR