Surnames and a Theory of Social Mobility - University of Chicago ...

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ln Wealth - Ave. ln Wealth Figure 5: Log Average Wealth relative to the Average, 1858-2011 6 5 4 3 2 Rich Poorer Prosperous 1 0 1860 -1 1890 1920 1950 1980 2010 -2 Table 5: Rare English Surname Samples, 1858-1887 Sample A Sample B Sample C Ahmuty Aller Agace Allecock Almand Agar-Ellis Angerstein Angler Aglen Appold Anglim Aloof Auriol Annings Alsager Bailward Austell Bagnold Basevi Backlake Benthall Bazalgette Bagwill Berthon Beague Balsden Brandram Berens Bantham Brettingham Beridge Bawson Brideoake Berners Beetchenow Broadmead Bigge Bemmer Broderip Blegborough Bevill Brouncker Blicke Bierley Brune
Table 6: b Values Between Death Generations Generation Rich Prosperous Rich and Prosperous Poor 1888-1917 0.66 (0.026) 0.86 (0.052) 0.75 (0.028) 0.66 (0.061) 1918-1959 0.68 (0.031) 0.64 (0.041) 0.66 (0.030) 1.12 (0.136) 1960-1987 0.73 (0.040) 0.74 (0.051) 0.73 (0.035) 0.30 (.076) 1999-2011 a 0.70 (0.098) 0.80 (0.125) 0.74 (0.078) 0.41 (0.615) Average 0.69 0.76 0.72 0.61 Notes: Bootstrapped standard errors in parentheses. a The ̂ reported here is the estimated ̂ multiplied by 0.94 of to reflect that the generation gap here is only 23 years, because of the truncated generation. However, in most cases we have instead measures of the fraction of people bearing a surname who are in high or low status occupations over many generations compared to the fraction of those surnames in the general population: university graduates, doctor, attorney, member of Parliament, professor, author, or criminal. To extract implied bs for these cases we proceed as follows. Define the relative representation of each surname or surname type, z, in an elite group as With social mobility any surname which in an initial period has a relative representation differing from 1 should tend towards 1, and the rate at which it tends to 1 is determined by the rate of social mobility.
Page 1 and 2: Surnames and a Theory of Social Mob
Page 3 and 4: Education Correlation - b Earnings
Page 5 and 6: Table 1: Estimates of b from Surnam
Page 7 and 8: However, we do not typically direct
Page 9 and 10: Table 2: Correlations between the A
Page 11 and 12: Table 3: Regression to the mean con
Page 13 and 14: Figure 4: Average Earnings by Occup
Page 15 and 16: Table 4: Persistence in Education A
Page 17 and 18: Surnames To investigate the rate of
Page 19: In the years 1890-1980 fertility wa
Page 23 and 24: Density Relative Frequency Figure 6
Page 25 and 26: Table 8: Relative Representation by
Page 27 and 28: we have met this condition. Thus th
Page 29 and 30: Relative Representation Top Tax Rat
Page 31 and 32: Sweden Table 10 summarizes the surn
Page 33 and 34: and downwards mobility. However, th
Page 35 and 36: estimates. Thus in the most recent
Page 37 and 38: For the Black population convergenc
Page 39 and 40: To measure social mobility rates we
Page 41 and 42: where τ is the correlation of abil
Page 43 and 44: England has less extensive public s
Page 45 and 46: Some recent studies of the outcomes
Page 47 and 48: dominance and genic interactions wh
Page 49 and 50: Another prediction if genes are imp
Page 51 and 52: ecruit selectively from the existin
Page 53 and 54: of each other. Thus the Protestant
Page 55 and 56: The census also suggests that this
Page 57 and 58: If Jewish populations interacted wi
Page 59 and 60: But the situation in Egypt is echoe
Page 61 and 62: Table 14: Characteristics of Travel
Page 63 and 64: % of surnames % of surnames Figure
Page 65 and 66: The recent addition to the travelli
Page 67 and 68: The likely resolution to this puzzl
Page 69 and 70: Relative Representation Figure 26:
Page 71 and 72:
Source Papers Clark, Gregory. 2012.
Page 73 and 74:
Cagney, Kathleen A., and Diane S. L
Page 75 and 76:
International comparisons and fifty
Page 77 and 78:
Olshanky, S. Jay et al. 2012. “Di
Page 79:
Ward, David L., Charles D. Coleman,
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