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STAT 211 Business Statistics I 1<br />

KING FAHD UNIVERSITY OF PETROLEUM & MINERALS<br />

DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES<br />

DHAHRAN, SAUDI ARABIA<br />

STAT 211: BUSINESS STATISTICS I<br />

Semester 061<br />

Final Exam<br />

Saturday January, 27, 2007<br />

Please circle your:<br />

Instructor’s name & section number<br />

Dr. Ibrahim Rahimov 1 2<br />

Mr. Esam Al Sawi 3 4 5<br />

Name: ID# Serial#<br />

Question No Full Marks Marks Obtained<br />

1<br />

12<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

15<br />

9<br />

10<br />

5 10<br />

6 12<br />

7 12<br />

Total<br />

80


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 2<br />

Q1. (12 pts.) True or False:<br />

STATEMENT<br />

T/F<br />

1. Statistics is the science <strong>of</strong> collecting, summarizing, analyzing, <strong>and</strong> drawing<br />

conclusions.<br />

2. The primary tools used to draw inferences in statistics are charts <strong>and</strong> graphs.<br />

3. Open-ended questions are typically included in a survey when the objective is to<br />

provide the maximum opportunity for the respondent to express his or her opinion.<br />

4. Selection bias occurs when the respondent decides which <strong>of</strong> the questions on the<br />

survey to answer.<br />

5. If stratified r<strong>and</strong>om sampling is performed correctly, one <strong>of</strong> the advantages is that<br />

the total required sample size to generate a specified level <strong>of</strong> information may be<br />

less than what would be required from a simple r<strong>and</strong>om sample.<br />

6. Cluster sampling <strong>and</strong> stratified r<strong>and</strong>om sampling are essentially the same type <strong>of</strong><br />

statistical sampling technique.<br />

7. Nominal data are typically considered to be qualitative.<br />

8. The data level that will provide the greatest flexibility when it comes to analyzing<br />

the data is nominal data.<br />

9. A variable which has all the properties <strong>of</strong> an interval variable, but also has a true<br />

zero, is a ratio level variable<br />

10. A qualitative variable can be either nominal or ordinal, but cannot be interval or<br />

ratio level.<br />

11. A small engine repair shop tracks the number <strong>of</strong> customers who call each day.<br />

This variable is a time series variable <strong>and</strong> also ratio level.<br />

12. Data collected on marital status (married, divorced, single, other) would be an<br />

ordinal level variable.


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 3<br />

For Q2, write all your choices in this table:<br />

Question<br />

Answer<br />

Q1 a b c d<br />

Q2 a b c d<br />

Q3 a b c d<br />

Q4 a b c d<br />

Q5 a b c d<br />

Q6 a b c d<br />

Q7 a b c d<br />

Q8 a b c d<br />

Q9 a b c d<br />

Q10 a b c d<br />

Q11 a b c d<br />

Q12 a b c d<br />

Q13 a b c d<br />

Q14 a b c d<br />

Q15 a b c d


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 4<br />

Q2. (15 pts.) Choose the correct answer for the flowing question:<br />

1. Consider the following chart. Which <strong>of</strong> the following statements is most correct<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

Y variable<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />

X variable<br />

a. There is a negative linear relationship between the two variables.<br />

b. There is a positive linear relationship between the two variables.<br />

c. There is a perfect linear relationship between the two variables.<br />

d. There is no apparent relationship between the two variables.<br />

2. A small company has 7 employees. The numbers <strong>of</strong> years these employees have worked for<br />

this company are shown as follows:<br />

4 14 3 16 9 8 16<br />

Based upon this information, the median number <strong>of</strong> years that employees have been with<br />

this company is:<br />

a. 9 years.<br />

b. 16 years.<br />

c. 10 years.<br />

d. None <strong>of</strong> the above.<br />

3. A sample <strong>of</strong> people who have attended a college football game at your university has a<br />

mean= 3.2 members in their family. The mode number <strong>of</strong> family members is 2 <strong>and</strong> the<br />

median number is 2.0. Based on this information:<br />

a. The population mean exceeds 3.2.<br />

b. The distribution is bell-shaped.<br />

c. The distribution is right-skewed.<br />

d. The distribution is left-skewed<br />

4. Which <strong>of</strong> the following measures is not affected by extreme values in the data<br />

a. The mean<br />

b. The median<br />

c. The range<br />

d. The st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation.


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 5<br />

5. If the age distribution <strong>of</strong> customers at a major retail chain is thought to be bell-shaped with<br />

a mean equal to 43 years <strong>and</strong> a st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation equal to 7 years, the percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

customers between the ages <strong>of</strong> 29 <strong>and</strong> 50 years is:<br />

a. Approximately 81.5.<br />

b. Approximately 68.<br />

c. At least 75.<br />

d. Approximately 95.<br />

6. A recent study in the restaurant business determined that the mean tips for male waiters per<br />

hour <strong>of</strong> work are $6.78 with a st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation <strong>of</strong> $2.11. The mean tips per hour for<br />

female waiters are $7.86 with a st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation <strong>of</strong> $2.20. Based on this information,<br />

which <strong>of</strong> the following statements do we know to be true<br />

a. The distribution <strong>of</strong> tips for both males <strong>and</strong> females is right-skewed.<br />

b. The variation in tips received by females is more variable than males.<br />

c. The median tip for females exceeds that <strong>of</strong> males.<br />

d. On a relative basis, males have more variation in tips per hour than do females.<br />

7. Which <strong>of</strong> the following statements is incorrect<br />

a. The expected value <strong>of</strong> a discrete probability distribution is the long-run average<br />

value assuming the experiment will be repeated many times.<br />

b. The st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation <strong>of</strong> a discrete probability distribution measures the average<br />

variation <strong>of</strong> the r<strong>and</strong>om variable from the mean.<br />

c. The distribution is considered uniform if all the probabilities are equal.<br />

d. The mean <strong>of</strong> the probability distribution is equal to the square root <strong>of</strong> the expected<br />

value.<br />

8. If events E <strong>and</strong> F are independent with P(E) = 0.3 <strong>and</strong> P(F) = 0.5, find P(E ∪ F).<br />

a. 0.35<br />

b. 0.65<br />

c. 0.80<br />

d. None <strong>of</strong> the above.


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 6<br />

9. The following probability distribution has been assessed for the number <strong>of</strong> accidents that<br />

occur in a mid-western city each day:<br />

Accidents Probability<br />

0 0.25<br />

1 0.20<br />

2 0.30<br />

3 0.15<br />

4 0.10<br />

Based on this probability distribution, the mean <strong>of</strong> the number <strong>of</strong> accidents per day is:<br />

a. 2.<br />

b. 0.12.<br />

c. 1.65.<br />

d. None <strong>of</strong> the above.<br />

10. A manufacturer produces thermostats, 10% <strong>of</strong> which are defective. From a production run,<br />

a sample <strong>of</strong> four thermostats is r<strong>and</strong>omly selected. Determine the probability that three <strong>of</strong><br />

the selected thermostats are defective. You may assume that the four trials are independent<br />

<strong>and</strong> that the number <strong>of</strong> defective items in the sample has a binomial distribution.<br />

a. 0.0035<br />

b. 0.0036<br />

c. 0.0037<br />

d. 0.0038<br />

11. If Z has a st<strong>and</strong>ard normal r<strong>and</strong>om variable <strong>and</strong> P(Z > a) = 0.9938, find P(a


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 7<br />

13. Which <strong>of</strong> the following statements is not consistent with the Central Limit Theorem<br />

a. The Central Limit Theorem applies without regard to the size <strong>of</strong> the sample.<br />

b. The Central Limit Theorem applies to non-normal distributions.<br />

c. The Central Limit Theorem indicates that the sampling distribution will be<br />

approximately normal.<br />

d. The Central Limit Theorem indicates that the mean <strong>of</strong> the sampling distribution will<br />

be equal to the population mean.<br />

14. A Company produces frozen French fries that are then sold to customers such as<br />

McDonald’s. The “prime” line <strong>of</strong> fries has an average length <strong>of</strong> 6.00 inches with a<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation <strong>of</strong> 0.50 inches. To make sure that company continues to meet the<br />

quality st<strong>and</strong>ard for “prime” fries, they plan to select a r<strong>and</strong>om sample <strong>of</strong> n = 100 fries<br />

each day. Yesterday, the sample mean was 6.05 inches. What is the probability that the<br />

mean would be 6.05 inches or more if they are meeting the quality st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

a. Approximately 0.235<br />

b. Approximately 0.3413<br />

c. Approximately 0.9413<br />

d. None <strong>of</strong> the above.<br />

15. In a recent report, it was stated that the proportion <strong>of</strong> employees who carpool to their work<br />

is 0.14 <strong>and</strong> that the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation <strong>of</strong> the sampling proportion is 0.0259. However, the<br />

report did not indicate what the sample size was. What was the sample size<br />

a. 100<br />

b. 180<br />

c. 460<br />

d. Can’t be determined without more information.


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 8<br />

Q3. (4+5=9pts.) The president <strong>of</strong> a company believes that 30% <strong>of</strong> the firm’s orders come from new<br />

customers. A sample r<strong>and</strong>om sample <strong>of</strong> 100 orders will be used to estimate the true proportion <strong>of</strong><br />

new customers. The results <strong>of</strong> the sample will be used to verify the president’s clime.<br />

a. Assume that the president is correct <strong>and</strong> P=0.30. What is the sampling distribution <strong>of</strong> p for<br />

this study<br />

b. What is the probability that the sample proportion p will be between 0.20 <strong>and</strong> 0.40<br />

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

Q4. (2+4+4=10 pts.) In an effort to estimate the mean amount spent per customer for dinner at a<br />

restaurant, data were collected for a sample <strong>of</strong> 49 customers over a three-week period. Assume that<br />

the population st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation is $2.50.<br />

a. What is the st<strong>and</strong>ard error <strong>of</strong> the mean<br />

b. At the 95% confidence, what is the margin <strong>of</strong> error<br />

c. If the sample mean is $22.6, what is the 95% confidence interval for the population mean


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 9<br />

Q5. (4+3+3=10 pts.) In the testing <strong>of</strong> a new production method 18 employees were selected<br />

r<strong>and</strong>omly <strong>and</strong> asked to try the new method. The sample mean production rate for the 18 employees<br />

was 80 parts per hour <strong>and</strong> the sample st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation was 10 parts per hour.<br />

a. Provide 95% confidence intervals for the population mean.<br />

b. Comment on your answer.<br />

c. What assumptions you made to solve the problem


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 10<br />

Q6. (2+6+4=12 pts.) CNN TV poll asked 814 adults to respond to a series <strong>of</strong> questions about their<br />

feelings toward the state <strong>of</strong> affairs within the USA. A total <strong>of</strong> 562 adults responded “Yes” to the<br />

question: “Do you feel things are going well in the United States these days”<br />

a. What is the point estimate <strong>of</strong> the proportion <strong>of</strong> the adult population who feel thing are going<br />

well in the USA<br />

b. What is the 90% confidence interval for the proportion <strong>of</strong> the adult population who feel thing<br />

are going well in the USA<br />

c. How large a sample would be necessary to estimate the true proportion <strong>of</strong> the adult who feel<br />

thing are going well in the USA within 3%, with 95% confidence Assume p =0.69.


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 11<br />

Q7. (2+6+4=12 pts.) An urban planning group is interested in estimating the difference between the<br />

mean household incomes for two neighborhoods in a large area. Independent r<strong>and</strong>om samples <strong>of</strong><br />

households in the neighborhoods provided the following results.<br />

Neighborhood 1 Neighborhood 2<br />

Sample size=8<br />

Sample size=12<br />

Sample mean=$15700 Sample mean $14500<br />

Sample St. Deviation=$700 Sample St. Deviation=850<br />

a. Find point estimate for the difference between the mean incomes in the two neighborhoods.<br />

b. Find a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the mean incomes.<br />

c. What assumptions were made to compute the interval estimate in part (b)


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 12<br />

Some Useful Formulas<br />

• Sample st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation:<br />

S<br />

⎛<br />

( x ) 2 ⎞<br />

⎜ 2 ∑<br />

2 ∑ x − ⎟<br />

∑( − )<br />

⎜ n ⎟<br />

⎝<br />

⎠ ∑<br />

x x x − nx ( )<br />

= = =<br />

n −1 n −1 n −1<br />

2 2<br />

• P( E or E ) = P( E ) + P( E ) − P( E <strong>and</strong> E )<br />

1 2 1 2 1 2<br />

• Conditional Probability: P ( E E )<br />

• Binomial: ( )<br />

• Poisson: ( )<br />

( E1<strong>and</strong><br />

E2)<br />

P ( E )<br />

P<br />

1 2 =<br />

2<br />

n!<br />

x n − x<br />

P x = pq , µ = E ( X ) = n p,<br />

σ = npq<br />

x! ( n−<br />

x!<br />

)<br />

x<br />

( λt<br />

)<br />

− t<br />

P x<br />

e λ<br />

= , µ = λt , σ = λt<br />

x !<br />

• Hyeprgeometric: P( x )<br />

• Uniform: f ( x )<br />

If a c d b<br />

=<br />

C<br />

C<br />

N − X X<br />

n−<br />

x x<br />

N<br />

n<br />

C<br />

⎧ 1<br />

⎪ if a ≤x ≤b<br />

= ⎨b<br />

− a<br />

,<br />

⎪⎩ 0 otherwise<br />

≤ < ≤ P( c≤ X ≤ d ) = ( d − c) f ( x)<br />

P 0≤ x ≤ a = 1−<br />

e − λ a<br />

• Exponential: ( )<br />

• Sampling Error = Statistics Value – Parameter Value.<br />

σ<br />

• µ x = µ , σx<br />

=<br />

n<br />

If the population is finite <strong>and</strong> sampling is without replacement σx<br />

• µ = p,<br />

σ<br />

p p<br />

p(1 − p)<br />

= ,<br />

n<br />

If the population is finite <strong>and</strong> sampling is without replacement σ =<br />

p<br />

σ N−<br />

n<br />

=<br />

n N−1<br />

p(1−<br />

p) N − n<br />

n N−1


STAT 211 Business Statistics I 13<br />

• Confidence interval estimate for µ ( σ known)<br />

x ± zα/2<br />

σ<br />

n<br />

• Confidence interval estimate for µ ( σ unknown ) x ± tα<br />

/2<br />

s<br />

n<br />

•<br />

2 2<br />

2<br />

zα/2 σ ⎛zα/2<br />

σ⎞<br />

Required sample size: n = =<br />

2 ⎜<br />

e e ⎟<br />

⎝ ⎠<br />

• Confidence interval for population proportion : p ± zα<br />

/2<br />

• Required sample size is: n =<br />

2<br />

α /2<br />

2<br />

z p(1 − p)<br />

e<br />

p(1 − p)<br />

n<br />

2 2<br />

σ1 σ2<br />

• The confidence interval for µ1 – µ2 ( ( σ1, σ<br />

2<br />

are known ) is:( x1 − x2 ) ± z α /2 +<br />

n1 n2<br />

• Ifσ1 <strong>and</strong> σ2 unknown, <strong>and</strong> we have large samples, then: The confidence interval for µ1 – µ2<br />

2 2<br />

s1 s2<br />

is:( x1 − x2 ) ± z α /2 +<br />

n1 n2<br />

• If σ1 <strong>and</strong> σ2 unknown, <strong>and</strong> small samples: ( )<br />

( − ) + ( − )<br />

1 1 2 2 2<br />

2<br />

1 1<br />

x1 − x2 ± t α /2 sp<br />

+ , where<br />

n n<br />

1 2<br />

n 1 s n 1 s<br />

sp<br />

=<br />

n1 + n2<br />

−2<br />

sd<br />

• Paired Samples: d ± t α /2<br />

n<br />

• The confidence interval for the difference between two population proportions<br />

p(1<br />

1<br />

p)<br />

1<br />

p<br />

2(1 p<br />

2)<br />

( p1 − p2) ± z − −<br />

α /2<br />

+<br />

n n<br />

1 2

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