download the turkey energy revolution scenario

GLOBAL ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION
A SUSTAINABLE TURKEY ENERGY OUTLOOK
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energy resources & security of supply | RESERVES & POLITICS IN TURKEY
turkey: rich in its domestic reserves, poor in politics
Turkey has few economic gas and oil reserves, however, it is the first
country in Europe with the potential of a complete renewable
energy scenario. Unfortunately, current politics do not offer this as
a long term vision, but instead, rely on solving the short term
security issues surrounding supply and demand.
Turkey’s current energy strategy is based on becoming an energy
hub between east and west via oil and gas pipelines. However, this
strategy does not allow Turkey to focus on long-term investment on
its own domestic resources, resulting in the security of supply -in
political terms, energy independence- becoming a major problem.
Short sighted energy policies in the last decade have proven that
increasing imports in gas and oil have rendered the economy more
fragile to political tensions -especially with Russia. As well, the
country’s current account deficits have risen due to energy imports.
Moreover, the current legal system does not encourage maximum
efficiency with the use of oil and gas technology. The majority of
Turkey’s lignite reserves are of low quality due to low thermal value
and high pollution content. Thus, the industry recently turned to
imported coal, which is also increasingly dependent on oil prices, as
the markets become global. Increasing the diversity of suppliers is
considered as an option to ease the threats to security of supply.
However, unless strong efficiency measures are taken, and domestic
renewable energies are exploited, primary energy demand will
remain one of the biggest causes of deficit in the national exportimport
scheme.
In preparing our alternative scenario, we limited the increase in gas
demand by 2030 -the last year of most of the gas supply contracts
with Russia and Iran-. We also kept the gas and crude oil demand
lower than the reference scenario by increasing the efficiency
standards in their technologies (ex: CHP and transport vehicles).
It is obvious that a climate friendly energy future helps also the
economy by decreasing the deficits in the import-export schemes
and creates wider security of supply.
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