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Pennsylvania Leads the Way to US House Takeover by GOP - BIPAC

Pennsylvania Leads the Way to US House Takeover by GOP - BIPAC

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Page 4<br />

<strong>House</strong> Republicans posted a resounding<br />

vic<strong>to</strong>ry Tuesday, picking up 15 seats held<br />

previously <strong>by</strong> Democrats while only losing two<br />

seats <strong>the</strong>y were defending. The net gain of<br />

13 seats means Republicans will return in<br />

January with a 112 <strong>to</strong> 90 majority. [Harrisburg<br />

was saddened on November 9, <strong>by</strong> news<br />

of <strong>the</strong> death of Rep. Robert Donatucci (D-<br />

Philadelphia), creating a vacancy.] This marks<br />

<strong>the</strong> most seats Republicans have held in <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>House</strong> since it became a 203 member body<br />

in <strong>the</strong> 1967-1968 legislative session.<br />

<strong>Pennsylvania</strong> <strong>House</strong> Majority<br />

(November 15, 2011)<br />

DEM<br />

90<br />

<strong>GOP</strong><br />

112<br />

1 vacancy<br />

Headlining <strong>the</strong> Republican onslaught was<br />

Tarah Toohil, who defeated Majority Leader<br />

Todd Eachus (D-Luzerne) 55% <strong>to</strong> 45%. (For<br />

more on that race, see page 10.) Republicans<br />

defeated 11 incumbent Democrats in<br />

<strong>to</strong>tal including, in addition <strong>to</strong> Eachus:<br />

Rep. Tom Hough<strong>to</strong>n (D-Chester), defeated<br />

<strong>by</strong> John Lawrence;<br />

Rep. David Levdansky (D-Allegheny),<br />

defeated <strong>by</strong> Rick Saccone;<br />

Rep. John Pallone (D-Westmoreland),<br />

defeated <strong>by</strong> Eli Evankovich;<br />

Rep. Jim Casorio (D-Westmoreland),<br />

defeated <strong>by</strong> George Dunbar;<br />

Rep. Tim Seip (D-Schuylkill), defeated<br />

<strong>by</strong> Mike Tobash;<br />

Rep. David Kessler (D-Berks), defeated<br />

<strong>by</strong> David Maloney;<br />

Rep. Rick Taylor (D-Montgomery), defeated<br />

<strong>by</strong> Todd Stephens;<br />

Rep. Barbara McIlvaine-Smith (D-<br />

Chester), defeated <strong>by</strong> Dan Truitt;<br />

Rep. Paul Drucker (D-Chester), defeated<br />

<strong>by</strong> Warren Kampf; and<br />

Rep. John Siptroth (D-Monroe), defeated<br />

<strong>by</strong> Rosemary Brown.<br />

Republicans also won four open seats<br />

previously held <strong>by</strong> Democrats including:<br />

Kurt Masser, who won <strong>the</strong> 107th District<br />

seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Rep. Bob Belfanti<br />

(D-Northumberland);<br />

Doyle Heffley, who won <strong>the</strong> 122nd District<br />

seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Speaker of <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>House</strong> Keith McCall (D-Carbon);<br />

Joe Emrick, who won <strong>the</strong> 137th District<br />

seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Rep. Rich Grucela<br />

(D-Northamp<strong>to</strong>n); and<br />

Joe Hackett, who won <strong>the</strong> 161st District<br />

seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Rep. Bryan Lentz<br />

(D-Delaware).<br />

The two seats that Democrats were able <strong>to</strong><br />

pick-up were <strong>the</strong> seat of former Speaker of<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>House</strong> John Perzel (R-Philadelphia), which<br />

was won <strong>by</strong> Kevin Boyle, and <strong>the</strong> 164th District<br />

open seat most recently held <strong>by</strong> Rep.<br />

Mario Civera (R-Delaware), which was won <strong>by</strong><br />

Margo Davidson.<br />

The map below shows geographically<br />

where party changes occurred.<br />

Redistricting will undoubtedly change<br />

some of <strong>the</strong> district boundaries, but certainly<br />

Democrats will look <strong>to</strong> win back seats <strong>the</strong>y<br />

lost this year in 2012.<br />

Location of <strong>House</strong> Seats that Changed Parties in 2010 General Election<br />

As <strong>the</strong> map indicates, five of <strong>the</strong> Republican<br />

pick-ups occurred in <strong>the</strong> Philadelphia<br />

suburbs. The suburban counties have been<br />

trending Democrat in recent elections and<br />

voter turnout will almost certainly increase<br />

in <strong>the</strong> presidential election year.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r seat <strong>to</strong> watch in 2012 is <strong>the</strong><br />

189th District won <strong>by</strong> Rosemary Brown. The<br />

district includes parts of Monroe and Pike<br />

Counties, two of <strong>the</strong> lowest turnout counties<br />

in <strong>Pennsylvania</strong> this year. The district has<br />

seen robust growth, largely through folks<br />

moving in from New York and New Jersey,<br />

and <strong>the</strong> expectation is that those new residents<br />

will vote in much higher numbers in<br />

<strong>the</strong> presidential election year.<br />

The seats of <strong>House</strong> Majority Leader Todd<br />

Eachus and Speaker of <strong>the</strong> <strong>House</strong> Keith<br />

McCall will also surely be targets for <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>House</strong> Democrat Campaign Committee in<br />

2012.<br />

<strong>Pennsylvania</strong> Political Report

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