Pennsylvania Leads the Way to US House Takeover by GOP - BIPAC
Pennsylvania Leads the Way to US House Takeover by GOP - BIPAC
Pennsylvania Leads the Way to US House Takeover by GOP - BIPAC
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Page 4<br />
<strong>House</strong> Republicans posted a resounding<br />
vic<strong>to</strong>ry Tuesday, picking up 15 seats held<br />
previously <strong>by</strong> Democrats while only losing two<br />
seats <strong>the</strong>y were defending. The net gain of<br />
13 seats means Republicans will return in<br />
January with a 112 <strong>to</strong> 90 majority. [Harrisburg<br />
was saddened on November 9, <strong>by</strong> news<br />
of <strong>the</strong> death of Rep. Robert Donatucci (D-<br />
Philadelphia), creating a vacancy.] This marks<br />
<strong>the</strong> most seats Republicans have held in <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>House</strong> since it became a 203 member body<br />
in <strong>the</strong> 1967-1968 legislative session.<br />
<strong>Pennsylvania</strong> <strong>House</strong> Majority<br />
(November 15, 2011)<br />
DEM<br />
90<br />
<strong>GOP</strong><br />
112<br />
1 vacancy<br />
Headlining <strong>the</strong> Republican onslaught was<br />
Tarah Toohil, who defeated Majority Leader<br />
Todd Eachus (D-Luzerne) 55% <strong>to</strong> 45%. (For<br />
more on that race, see page 10.) Republicans<br />
defeated 11 incumbent Democrats in<br />
<strong>to</strong>tal including, in addition <strong>to</strong> Eachus:<br />
Rep. Tom Hough<strong>to</strong>n (D-Chester), defeated<br />
<strong>by</strong> John Lawrence;<br />
Rep. David Levdansky (D-Allegheny),<br />
defeated <strong>by</strong> Rick Saccone;<br />
Rep. John Pallone (D-Westmoreland),<br />
defeated <strong>by</strong> Eli Evankovich;<br />
Rep. Jim Casorio (D-Westmoreland),<br />
defeated <strong>by</strong> George Dunbar;<br />
Rep. Tim Seip (D-Schuylkill), defeated<br />
<strong>by</strong> Mike Tobash;<br />
Rep. David Kessler (D-Berks), defeated<br />
<strong>by</strong> David Maloney;<br />
Rep. Rick Taylor (D-Montgomery), defeated<br />
<strong>by</strong> Todd Stephens;<br />
Rep. Barbara McIlvaine-Smith (D-<br />
Chester), defeated <strong>by</strong> Dan Truitt;<br />
Rep. Paul Drucker (D-Chester), defeated<br />
<strong>by</strong> Warren Kampf; and<br />
Rep. John Siptroth (D-Monroe), defeated<br />
<strong>by</strong> Rosemary Brown.<br />
Republicans also won four open seats<br />
previously held <strong>by</strong> Democrats including:<br />
Kurt Masser, who won <strong>the</strong> 107th District<br />
seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Rep. Bob Belfanti<br />
(D-Northumberland);<br />
Doyle Heffley, who won <strong>the</strong> 122nd District<br />
seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Speaker of <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>House</strong> Keith McCall (D-Carbon);<br />
Joe Emrick, who won <strong>the</strong> 137th District<br />
seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Rep. Rich Grucela<br />
(D-Northamp<strong>to</strong>n); and<br />
Joe Hackett, who won <strong>the</strong> 161st District<br />
seat currently held <strong>by</strong> Rep. Bryan Lentz<br />
(D-Delaware).<br />
The two seats that Democrats were able <strong>to</strong><br />
pick-up were <strong>the</strong> seat of former Speaker of<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>House</strong> John Perzel (R-Philadelphia), which<br />
was won <strong>by</strong> Kevin Boyle, and <strong>the</strong> 164th District<br />
open seat most recently held <strong>by</strong> Rep.<br />
Mario Civera (R-Delaware), which was won <strong>by</strong><br />
Margo Davidson.<br />
The map below shows geographically<br />
where party changes occurred.<br />
Redistricting will undoubtedly change<br />
some of <strong>the</strong> district boundaries, but certainly<br />
Democrats will look <strong>to</strong> win back seats <strong>the</strong>y<br />
lost this year in 2012.<br />
Location of <strong>House</strong> Seats that Changed Parties in 2010 General Election<br />
As <strong>the</strong> map indicates, five of <strong>the</strong> Republican<br />
pick-ups occurred in <strong>the</strong> Philadelphia<br />
suburbs. The suburban counties have been<br />
trending Democrat in recent elections and<br />
voter turnout will almost certainly increase<br />
in <strong>the</strong> presidential election year.<br />
Ano<strong>the</strong>r seat <strong>to</strong> watch in 2012 is <strong>the</strong><br />
189th District won <strong>by</strong> Rosemary Brown. The<br />
district includes parts of Monroe and Pike<br />
Counties, two of <strong>the</strong> lowest turnout counties<br />
in <strong>Pennsylvania</strong> this year. The district has<br />
seen robust growth, largely through folks<br />
moving in from New York and New Jersey,<br />
and <strong>the</strong> expectation is that those new residents<br />
will vote in much higher numbers in<br />
<strong>the</strong> presidential election year.<br />
The seats of <strong>House</strong> Majority Leader Todd<br />
Eachus and Speaker of <strong>the</strong> <strong>House</strong> Keith<br />
McCall will also surely be targets for <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>House</strong> Democrat Campaign Committee in<br />
2012.<br />
<strong>Pennsylvania</strong> Political Report