Assessment of CFSRR medium range forecast skill

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• horizontal resolution matters in the medium range • T126 vs T384 CFSRR vs GFS 2006-2008
Future ? • Replace 1948 -1978 R1 ? • Clues from Uccellini and Kocin, Northeast Snowstorms • Details of storm systems are improved by higher resolution • R1 forecast skill as measured by the NH day 5 AC may be difficult to exceed • Limited obs limit forecast skill
Page 1 and 2: Medium Range Forecast Skill CFSRR,
Page 3 and 4: Acknowledge other Reanalyses • Th
Page 5 and 6: Polar Orbiter Satellite Profiles
Page 7 and 8: 1994, Start of R1 • GFS T126L28 5
Page 9 and 10: 1998 - 2003 • 2000 T170L42 500 mb
Page 11 and 12: CFSRR Lite 500 mb 5 Day Forecasts
Page 13 and 14: CFSRR Full vs Lite • ATOVS appear
Page 15: CFSRR vs R1 500 mb 5 Day Forecasts
Page 20: 500 mb 5 Day Forecasts 90 NH CFSRR

Assessment of CFSRR medium range forecast skill

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