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Assessment of CFSRR medium range forecast skill

Assessment of CFSRR medium range forecast skill

Assessment of CFSRR medium range forecast skill

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Future ?<br />

• Replace 1948 -1978 R1 ?<br />

• Clues from Uccellini and Kocin,<br />

Northeast Snowstorms<br />

• Details <strong>of</strong> storm systems are improved by<br />

higher resolution<br />

• R1 <strong>forecast</strong> <strong>skill</strong> as measured by the NH day<br />

5 AC may be difficult to exceed<br />

• Limited obs limit <strong>forecast</strong> <strong>skill</strong>

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