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IT Jan 2008 - Industrial Technology Magazine

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In Their View...<br />

Three industry heavyweights air their views on the key topics of the<br />

moment. You can have your say, too, via feedback@itmagazine.uk.com<br />

Serving two masters<br />

We all know that running a profitable business<br />

isn’t easy, and for some years climate change<br />

considerations have made it even more<br />

difficult. But now the Climate Change Bill requires that<br />

we address both of these simultaneously. The<br />

imperative to make money remains, but now there is a<br />

need to show equal aptitude at reducing carbon. In truth<br />

very few companies are prioritising carbon reduction in<br />

their development plans and very few business<br />

managers list carbon as a high priority, although a few<br />

talk about cost saving through energy efficiency.<br />

Critically, most business managers today are concerned<br />

far more with financial success than carbon reduction.<br />

The disciplines required for maintaining profitability<br />

in competitive markets oblige companies to focus on<br />

the short-medium term. They find it very hard to look<br />

more than a year or two ahead. An investment that<br />

will pay back handsomely in five years is very much a<br />

dent in the bottom line for the preceding four years.<br />

Politicians, on the other hand, love the long-term.<br />

They know that their life at the top of the<br />

governmental tree is probably going to be about five<br />

years. They think it makes them look good if they set<br />

grand ten year targets and they can leave the detailed<br />

implementation up to their successors.<br />

Resolving this to its simplest form we see that<br />

carbon reduction is required for the long term<br />

continuance of the human race, but this is transformed<br />

in a free market economy into energy management<br />

driven by economic criteria. These two approaches are<br />

in fact fundamentally different, but currently<br />

coincident. Left to their own devices they will drift<br />

apart again relatively soon.<br />

The European Energy Trading Scheme should allow<br />

investors to realise a return on expenditure in low<br />

carbon technologies, but the problem is that its<br />

sophisticated economic analysis requires a<br />

commitment to long term investments. Large parts of<br />

an open economy do not do these things: small<br />

businesses, low margin operators and rapidly growing<br />

markets are going to be very hard to get on side.<br />

Jeff Whiting<br />

Energy Spokesman<br />

Mitsubishi Electric<br />

The death of the PLC<br />

Both inverter and servo technologies appear to<br />

be near the limit of their design capabilities,<br />

but the final refinements will in fact improve<br />

their performance levels considerably. The twin holy<br />

grails of inverter design are full regenerative capability<br />

and zero harmonics. Both are possible, but neither is<br />

commercially viable in standard drive systems at<br />

present. However both are within reach.<br />

The great gains for servo drives will come in the<br />

form of far greater dynamic responsiveness, because we<br />

can confidently expect that processing speed of the<br />

controlling electronics will increase at least four fold over<br />

the coming years. Equally important, prices will drop<br />

significantly and user-friendliness will reach levels such<br />

that a servo can be installed and programmed by a<br />

relatively unskilled person in a matter of minutes. This<br />

will open up whole new fields of applications of servos.<br />

Both servos and inverters will become very much<br />

more intelligent that they currently are. The technology<br />

for achieving this already exists, we are just waiting for<br />

the market to appreciate the fact and start using it.<br />

Interestingly this will reduce the need for local<br />

controllers such as PLCs and we can forecast that<br />

PLCs will have to adapt. It is realistic to consider that<br />

large and medium PLCs will either disappear<br />

altogether or evolve into something just about<br />

unrecognisable from today’s stand point. Small PLCs<br />

will actually fare better; they will become smaller with<br />

fewer I/O because there will be greater reliance on<br />

remote and distributed I/O. The small PLCs will<br />

perform a higher functionality processing, physically<br />

connecting different parts of a control system together.<br />

In a parallel development, some PLCs will<br />

become ‘soft PLCs’, software programs that function<br />

like a physical PLC. To date determinism has been an<br />

issue, but it seems obvious to me that it is not beyond<br />

the wit of programmers to build adequate determinism<br />

into their industrial control programs. The fact that<br />

they have not done this yet does not indicate that it is<br />

impossible, simply that so far they have been paid<br />

more money to concentrate on other areas.<br />

Stuart Harvey<br />

Managing Director<br />

Silverteam<br />

Forgotten heroes<br />

Mechanical engineers will be at the forefront of<br />

all the most important technical and scientific<br />

developments for the next fifty years. Yet for<br />

some reason they are the forgotten heroes – the<br />

backroom boys who never step up to the limelight to<br />

receive praise for their contributions.<br />

I can understand people wanting to avoid the public<br />

gaze, but if there is no recognition of engineers’<br />

contribution, there can be no general appreciation of<br />

their efforts. It’s little wonder that kids are not enthused<br />

to go into engineering careers. If we are not constantly<br />

nurturing the next generation of engineers, I wonder<br />

what will become of the national economy.<br />

Nearly all fields of human endeavour require an<br />

element of mechanical engineering. Yet how many<br />

mechanical engineers today achieve the celebrity status<br />

of geneticist Prof Sir Robert Winston, historian Michael<br />

Sharma, architect Norman Foster, retailer Philip Green,<br />

businessman Richard Branson?<br />

Perhaps we should merge engineering with<br />

entertainment – engitainment if you will – and push TV<br />

executives to create a couple of ‘celebrity engineers’.<br />

They’d be more entertainer than engineer, but perhaps<br />

they would do for technology what celebrity chefs have<br />

done for British cuisine. There are precedents, too:<br />

Stephenson and Brunell, Barnes-Wallis and Whittle, who<br />

in their day were embraced by the public. And we are<br />

nearly there now with TV programmes like The Great<br />

Egg Race and Scrapheap Challenge. We just need to<br />

shift the balance slightly more towards appreciating the<br />

technology and the engineers.<br />

If we are to solve many of the problems facing the<br />

human race, mechanical engineers will have to play a<br />

major role. Mechanical engineers created the industrial<br />

revolution, enabled global trade in Victorian times,<br />

created a new world order for the Edwardians, led the<br />

development of aircraft and the push into space. Their<br />

role today and tomorrow is just as vital and a little more<br />

recognition would be appropriate and would<br />

undoubtedly help secure some economic certainty for<br />

the future.<br />

Ray Barnes<br />

Managing Director<br />

Hoerbiger-Origa<br />

26<br />

INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY • <strong>Jan</strong>uary <strong>2008</strong>

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