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Pressures on and in national<br />

education systems<br />

Increasing demand for higher education<br />

Over recent years <strong>the</strong>re have been significant changes within national education systems. A primary<br />

driver of many of <strong>the</strong>se changes has been <strong>the</strong> increasing demand for tertiary education. This<br />

reflects a more widespread understanding of <strong>the</strong> direct personal benefits that can result from higher<br />

qualifications (such as greater earning capacity 35 and <strong>the</strong> decreased probability of unemployment 36 ), as<br />

well as <strong>the</strong> more intangible benefits of personal development.<br />

Some of <strong>the</strong> tangible benefits of higher education are <strong>the</strong> result of <strong>the</strong> growing need for highly skilled<br />

people. There is an argument that <strong>the</strong> proportion of available jobs requiring higher levels of skills and<br />

knowledge is constantly growing. In part this is because technological development is playing an<br />

ever more important role in structuring <strong>the</strong> economy, so that <strong>the</strong> opportunities for unskilled people<br />

are disappearing or moving overseas. In a highly competitive jobs market, credentials can be vital in<br />

getting a foot in <strong>the</strong> door. However, increasing demand for higher education and greater competition<br />

for jobs may also reflect or result in <strong>the</strong> inflation of credentials, such that postgraduate qualifications<br />

become <strong>the</strong> entry point for employment that formerly required only a bachelor’s degree. Indeed, a<br />

recent paper on <strong>the</strong> future of graduate education in <strong>the</strong> USA noted that:<br />

...in <strong>the</strong> knowledge economy, a graduate degree will become <strong>the</strong> new bachelor’s degree, <strong>the</strong> minimum<br />

education credential that high-skills employers require. 37<br />

One unemployed Australian PhD has reported being told by a recruiter:<br />

A PhD is not enough <strong>the</strong>se days ... You need something else to make you stand out. Go do an MBA or a<br />

graduate diploma in clinical trials or a masters in patent law. 38<br />

Greater cohort diversity<br />

One characteristic of an education system that is growing in both absolute terms and in terms of <strong>the</strong><br />

proportion of <strong>the</strong> population taking advantage of it, especially at <strong>the</strong> tertiary level, is that <strong>the</strong> system<br />

tends to become more diverse. This can happen at two levels.<br />

First, <strong>the</strong>re is inevitably a much more varied group of people taking advantage of <strong>the</strong> educational<br />

opportunities on offer. More means different. 39 This is both a cause and an effect of <strong>the</strong> expansion.<br />

Because people’s aspirations (for <strong>the</strong>mselves and for <strong>the</strong>ir family) tend to increase in line with <strong>the</strong>ir level<br />

of education, expansion can create even greater demand for expansion, and at all levels.<br />

35. The Graduate Careers Australia Postgraduate Destinations 2011 report found that median salaries for graduates in first full time employment<br />

was $58 000 for those with a postgraduate diploma/certificate, $57 000 for those with a coursework masters and $68 000 for those with<br />

a research masters/PhD. See http://www.graduatecareers.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/Postgraduate-Destination-Report-2011-<br />

secured.pdf<br />

36. In 2011 <strong>the</strong> unemployment rate for postgraduates was around 2.7 per cent, compared with 3 per cent for bachelor degree holders and 7.1<br />

per cent for people without any post-secondary qualification.<br />

37. Commission on <strong>the</strong> Future of Graduate Education in <strong>the</strong> United States, ‘The Path Forward’, April 2010.<br />

38. http://www.<strong>the</strong>australian.com.au/higher-education/opinion/no-gold-at-<strong>the</strong>-end-of-<strong>the</strong>-rainbow/story-e6frgcko-1226401538010<br />

39. In his notorious essay in Encounter in <strong>the</strong> mid-1960s, Kingsley Amis argued that “more means worse”. But this begs <strong>the</strong> question – worse at<br />

what?<br />

THE CHANGING PHD PAGE 17

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