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depend to a growing extent on <strong>the</strong> quality of <strong>the</strong> research that underpins our interventions in <strong>the</strong>m.<br />

Underlying <strong>the</strong> quality of research is <strong>the</strong> quality of <strong>the</strong> researchers and this depends in considerable<br />

part on <strong>the</strong> quality of <strong>the</strong> research training <strong>the</strong>y have received. However, it is well to remember that<br />

research training can take place on <strong>the</strong> job in business as well as more formally (although still on <strong>the</strong><br />

job) in universities. Not all research positions in business require a PhD.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> USA <strong>the</strong> Bureau of Labor Statistics has prepared projections of <strong>the</strong> number of jobs that require<br />

a doctorate or professional degree for entry. These projections forecast an increase of 20 per cent<br />

between 2010 and 2020, a growth rate which is greater than <strong>the</strong> projected growth for all occupations of<br />

14 per cent. Taking into account <strong>the</strong> demand resulting from <strong>the</strong> need to replace workers who retire, <strong>the</strong><br />

Bureau estimates that by 2020 <strong>the</strong>re will be 1.7 million openings in <strong>the</strong> US that will require a doctorate<br />

or professional degree. The largest projected increases in occupations requiring an advanced degree<br />

are marriage and family <strong>the</strong>rapists, physical <strong>the</strong>rapists, audiologists, medical scientists, mental health<br />

counsellors and veterinarians. 43 These clearly seem to represent <strong>the</strong> personal service demands of an<br />

aging population, are not necessarily <strong>the</strong> areas that one might anticipate form a move to an innovative,<br />

knowledge economy, and seem to focus more on professional ra<strong>the</strong>r than research degrees. 44<br />

In Australia <strong>the</strong> data provided in <strong>the</strong> government’s Research Workforce Strategy envisage that <strong>the</strong><br />

number of employed individuals with a doctorate by research qualification will rise by 3.2 per cent per<br />

year over <strong>the</strong> period to 2020, given <strong>the</strong> government’s aspirations for expanding university education,<br />

increasing business investment in research and <strong>the</strong> need to address major problems such as climate<br />

change. 45<br />

Employment destinations of PhD graduates<br />

While <strong>the</strong>oretical arguments about <strong>the</strong> importance of PhD education are interesting, it is worth<br />

examining <strong>the</strong> empirical data on where PhD graduates find employment and on <strong>the</strong> extent to which<br />

<strong>the</strong>y find that <strong>the</strong>ir doctoral education was necessary or useful in fulfilling <strong>the</strong> responsibilities of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

job. This could provide <strong>the</strong> information necessary to examine <strong>the</strong> fit between PhD education and <strong>the</strong><br />

skills and knowledge needs of <strong>the</strong> careers that PhD graduates find for <strong>the</strong>mselves. Unfortunately, <strong>the</strong><br />

data necessary to do this are in short supply.<br />

Some of <strong>the</strong> most useful, interesting and important information on this topic comes from <strong>the</strong> Royal<br />

Society’s 2010 report The Scientific Century: securing our future prosperity. 46 A diagram on page 14 of <strong>the</strong><br />

report shows that 53 per cent of science PhDs in <strong>the</strong> UK take up careers outside science on graduating,<br />

17 per cent move to non-university research positions and 30 per cent take early career research<br />

positions in universities. However, only 3.5 per cent of <strong>the</strong> original cohort eventually achieves <strong>the</strong><br />

status of permanent research staff in universities and 0.45 per cent become professors. In o<strong>the</strong>r words,<br />

while 30 per cent take up early career research positions in universities, <strong>the</strong> vast majority of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

eventually move to presumably better paid, more certain and secure careers outside academia – and<br />

potentially outside of science. 47<br />

43. http://www.cgsnet.org/march-2012<br />

44. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics had earlier estimated employment projections 2008 to 2018. Of <strong>the</strong> 30 fastest growing occupations, 12<br />

required short-term on <strong>the</strong> job training, 5 required moderate-term on <strong>the</strong> job training, 1 long-term on <strong>the</strong> job training, 2 work experience,<br />

2 postsecondary vocational awards, 1 an associate degree, 5 a bachelor’s degree, 1 a first professional degree and 1 a doctoral degree. See:<br />

http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2009/11/art5full.pdf<br />

45. http://www.innovation.gov.au/Research/ResearchWorkforceIssues/Documents/ResearchSkillsforanInnovativeFuture.pdf<br />

46. http://royalsociety.org/uploadedFiles/Royal_Society_Content/policy/publications/2010/4294970126<br />

47. Andrew Hacker and Claudia Dreifus in <strong>the</strong>ir book Higher Education? How Colleges Are Wasting Our Money and Failing Our Kids — and What We<br />

Can Do About It provide a complementary perspective to that of <strong>the</strong> Royal Society – but one which leads to a similar conclusion – when <strong>the</strong>y<br />

note that <strong>the</strong> USA produced 100 000 doctoral <strong>the</strong>ses over <strong>the</strong> period 2005-09 when <strong>the</strong>re were just 16 000 new professorships.<br />

THE CHANGING PHD PAGE 24

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