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Indore City Resilience Strategy - ImagineIndore.org

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A. Variability & Change B. Possible Impacts C. Evaluation & Assessment D. Prioritized Strategies<br />

Temperature<br />

1. Observed Climate<br />

2. Temperature Change<br />

Prognosis<br />

Observed and Future mean monthly temperature ranges: 2021-2100<br />

1. Observed Climate<br />

<strong>Indore</strong> is located on the drought prone Malwa plateau. <strong>Indore</strong><br />

was known for salubrious climate with night temperatures<br />

less than 25 0 C and day temperatures reaching around 40 o C in<br />

summers. The winter temperatures at present go as low as<br />

10 0 C. The long term average annual rainfall is about 943 mm,<br />

with variation within the years. The monsoon rainfall account<br />

for about 90% of the annual rainfall.`<br />

2. Temperature Change Prognosis<br />

Result from the climate change models indicate that the<br />

monthly notable average minimum temperature in <strong>Indore</strong><br />

may increase by about 2 0 C by 2030’s to about 3-4 0 C by 2080’s.<br />

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effects may add another 2-4 0 C<br />

over and above these figures.<br />

Source: TARU analysis, 2010; GHCN 2009 and CSAG, 2010<br />

Most of the models indicate that the maximum increase is<br />

expected during winters. This may extend viability period of<br />

some of the disease vectors well into winters. The March to<br />

September period may require space cooling devices working<br />

through the day and night, considering the addition from UHI<br />

effects. The maximum temperatures on some summer days<br />

may reach close to 50 0 C, which impact people who maybe<br />

travelling for work. This increased temperature may increase<br />

the consumption of energy for cooling.<br />

Urban Heat Islands<br />

Effect<br />

Source:<br />

Based on Voogt, 2000<br />

20<br />

Urbanization Poverty Climate Conditions<br />

Temperature | Precipitation

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