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Assessing Temporary Carbon Storage in Life Cycle Assessment and ...

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7 Appendix<br />

7.1 Need for Relevant Timescales <strong>in</strong> <strong>Temporary</strong> <strong>Carbon</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Credit<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Susanne Vedel Jørgensen <strong>and</strong> Michael Hauschild<br />

When evaluat<strong>in</strong>g possible global warm<strong>in</strong>g mitigation potential of temporary carbon storage, it should<br />

be recognized that the challenge is two-fold: One aspect is the long-term persistence of anthropogenic<br />

CO 2 <strong>in</strong> the atmosphere, another is the urgent risk of cross<strong>in</strong>g possibly irreversible tipp<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>ts. For<br />

the long-term issue, only storage of carbon on timescales long enough to simultaneously remove<br />

carbon from the near-surface parts of the global carbon cycle is relevant <strong>in</strong> terms of mitigation<br />

potential. This contradicts many current suggestions for credit<strong>in</strong>g of temporary carbon storage, only<br />

consider<strong>in</strong>g removal from the atmosphere by natural uptake <strong>in</strong> terrestrial biosphere <strong>and</strong> upper ocean.<br />

From these superficial s<strong>in</strong>ks, the carbon has a great risk of re-emission, due to e.g. global warm<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Closer exam<strong>in</strong>ation of the global carbon cycle reveals timescales of thous<strong>and</strong>s of years for removal of<br />

carbon from the near-surface parts, whereas regeneration of fossil fuels takes millions of years. Many<br />

current suggestions for credit<strong>in</strong>g temporary carbon storage, however, are based on a 100-year time<br />

horizon for global warm<strong>in</strong>g potential, which seems <strong>in</strong>sufficient compared to the removal times of the<br />

global carbon cycle. It is illustrated how this time horizon disregards the long atmospheric lifetime of<br />

anthropogenic CO 2 , hid<strong>in</strong>g long-term impacts of fossil fuel consumption <strong>and</strong> how the decision on time<br />

horizon is essential for the credit<strong>in</strong>g results, mak<strong>in</strong>g it crucial that the chosen time horizon ensures real<br />

climatic benefits. For the urgency issue however, storage on much shorter timescales may have a<br />

‘bridg<strong>in</strong>g potential’ <strong>in</strong> terms of buy<strong>in</strong>g time. For this aspect, timescales need only be long enough to<br />

reach <strong>in</strong>to a more carbon neutral future. It is recommended to separate credit<strong>in</strong>g of global warm<strong>in</strong>g<br />

mitigation potential for the long-term issue <strong>and</strong> the short-term bridg<strong>in</strong>g potential, so possible shortterm<br />

solutions can be acknowledged without appear<strong>in</strong>g to solve long-term problems.<br />

23

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