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Assessing Temporary Carbon Storage in Life Cycle Assessment and ...

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Explicit consideration of impacts <strong>and</strong> relevant tim<strong>in</strong>g also changes the relative importance of different<br />

greenhouse gases. It would reduce the relative importance of methane <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease focus on the<br />

longer-lived greenhouse gases, <strong>in</strong>stead.<br />

7.4.1 Introduction<br />

Climate change is now recognised as a global problem, <strong>and</strong> the global community is seek<strong>in</strong>g costeffective<br />

means of reduc<strong>in</strong>g the net emission of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. The use of trees,<br />

or more correctly the use of the biosphere for carbon storage, is often considered as a cost-effective<br />

means of reduc<strong>in</strong>g net emissions to the atmosphere. Trees are used as a means to ‘buy time’. The<br />

question is addressed here whether trees, or the biosphere more generally, can make a useful<br />

contribution to reduc<strong>in</strong>g net emissions to the atmosphere. This discussion is based on previous work<br />

(Kirschbaum 2003a, 2003b, 2006) <strong>and</strong> is developed further from those publications <strong>in</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

It essentially comb<strong>in</strong>es considerations of feedbacks via natural carbon reservoirs, especially the<br />

world’s oceans, with an explicit def<strong>in</strong>ition of the key climate-change impacts we are concerned about.<br />

It leads to important consequences for the choice of tim<strong>in</strong>g of emissions <strong>and</strong> emission reduction<br />

activities.<br />

Importantly, it allows a dist<strong>in</strong>ction to be made between net emissions <strong>and</strong> the atmospheric<br />

concentration of greenhouse gases. Net emissions are not important on their own, but it is the ultimate<br />

atmospheric concentration that leads to radiative forc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> thus climatic impacts. In the case of fossil<br />

fuel emissions, there tends to be a tight l<strong>in</strong>kage between emissions <strong>and</strong> resultant atmospheric<br />

concentrations. There is little choice <strong>in</strong> the tim<strong>in</strong>g of emissions. Fossil fuels are emitted when they are<br />

needed to produce a service, such as generat<strong>in</strong>g electricity or driv<strong>in</strong>g a car. The tim<strong>in</strong>g of emissions is<br />

therefore determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the dem<strong>and</strong> for the ultimate service.<br />

In the case of biospheric carbon stocks, however, there is more choice <strong>in</strong> affect<strong>in</strong>g the tim<strong>in</strong>g of<br />

emissions, <strong>and</strong> more choice <strong>in</strong> affect<strong>in</strong>g carbon-stock changes that are not associated with any end-use.<br />

L<strong>and</strong> can be converted between non-productive grassl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> forests, with large carbon implications,<br />

or productive l<strong>and</strong> can be managed <strong>in</strong> different ways to achieve lower or higher carbon stocks without<br />

necessarily affect<strong>in</strong>g the service the products are put to. S<strong>in</strong>ce these carbon stock changes can be<br />

undertaken at different po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> time, the importance of tim<strong>in</strong>g needs to be explicitly addressed.<br />

7.4.2 The <strong>Carbon</strong> <strong>Cycle</strong><br />

The World conta<strong>in</strong>s massive carbon pools that naturally <strong>in</strong>terchange carbon between each other<br />

(Kirschbaum 2003b). The pr<strong>in</strong>cipal ones are the atmosphere, the oceans <strong>and</strong> the l<strong>and</strong> area. The<br />

<strong>in</strong>terchange between the atmosphere <strong>and</strong> these other carbon pools is diagrammatically represented <strong>in</strong><br />

Figure 7.4.1.<br />

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