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Does Enforcement of Intellectual Property Rights Matter in China ...

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the exclusion restriction criterion.<br />

In Table 3, we exam<strong>in</strong>e the impact <strong>of</strong> IP rights enforcement on new external equity. In the<br />

probit regressions, IPP2 has a negative and significant impact on the new external equity as<br />

predicted, while the coefficient <strong>of</strong> IPP1 is <strong>in</strong>significant or weak. In the IV regressions, however,<br />

neither measure <strong>of</strong> IP rights enforcement is significant. Therefore, the support for Corollary 1 is<br />

weak, at best.<br />

Insert Table 3<br />

4.1.2 Informal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g ratio<br />

We now <strong>in</strong>vestigate the determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g. To facilitate comparison, we use<br />

the same specification as <strong>in</strong> Equation (1) to estimate the effects <strong>of</strong> IP rights enforcement on the ratio<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g. The difference is that we now use l<strong>in</strong>ear regressions, s<strong>in</strong>ce the dependent<br />

variable is a cont<strong>in</strong>uous variable. The standard errors are robust to correction for heteroskedasticity<br />

and with<strong>in</strong>-prov<strong>in</strong>ce correlations.<br />

Insert Table 4<br />

Column 1 <strong>of</strong> Table 4 shows that IPP1 <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong>formal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g ratio, as predicted <strong>in</strong><br />

Hypothesis 2. A one-standard-deviation <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> IPP1 raises the <strong>in</strong>formal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g ratio by 2.6<br />

percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts. Mov<strong>in</strong>g from lowest-IPP1 prov<strong>in</strong>ce to the highest-IPP1 prov<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>in</strong>creases the<br />

<strong>in</strong>formal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g ratio by 13.8 percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts, about half <strong>of</strong> the sample mean.<br />

After controll<strong>in</strong>g for the prov<strong>in</strong>cial-level characteristics, IPP1 still has a positive and<br />

statistically significant effect on the proportion <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> new debt (Column 2). The<br />

development <strong>of</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g system has a negative and significant effect on the <strong>in</strong>formal f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g ratio,<br />

i.e., better bank<strong>in</strong>g development enables firms to rely less on the more expensive external f<strong>in</strong>ance.<br />

25

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