MAN BUSINESS MAIN 07-28-08 A 1 MBDB.qxd - Edocr
MAN BUSINESS MAIN 07-28-08 A 1 MBDB.qxd - Edocr
MAN BUSINESS MAIN 07-28-08 A 1 MBDB.qxd - Edocr
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6 NEWS<br />
Winners<br />
and Losers<br />
SUMMER HEATS UP<br />
HOLIDAYBREAK SHARES<br />
The start of the summer holiday<br />
period was a good week for<br />
Holidaybreak. The Northwichbased<br />
company saw its shares<br />
rise 7.25 per cent after saying<br />
that the business continues<br />
to perform well in what is a “more<br />
difficult” trading environment. It<br />
also said the prospects for the<br />
current financial year remain<br />
“broadly satisfactory”.<br />
Conversely things were not<br />
looking so good for those<br />
with shares in Enegi Oil. The<br />
Manchester-based oil and gas<br />
exploration group that listed on<br />
AIM in March last week said it<br />
had abandoned one of its wells<br />
after failing to find any<br />
hydrocarbons. The shares fell 31<br />
per cent.<br />
Meanwhile shares in insolvency<br />
specialist Begbies Traynor rose<br />
8.9 per cent. The Manchesterbased<br />
company is one of the<br />
few beneficiaries of the<br />
negative economic<br />
sentiment as this increases the<br />
number of companies getting into<br />
financial difficulty and in turn<br />
boosts Begbies’ business. Last<br />
week it said that more than 600<br />
companies in the North West and<br />
North Wales faced critical<br />
problems in the three months to<br />
the end of June, a near 10-fold<br />
increase over the number in<br />
trouble in the same period a year<br />
earlier. About 15 per cent of these<br />
are expected to go into formal<br />
insolvency.<br />
Things were looking up for those<br />
with shares in Lookers. The<br />
Manchester-based car<br />
dealership has struggled in<br />
recent weeks after saying that<br />
trading was more challenging,<br />
but last week the stock climbed 12<br />
per cent to close at 58p on<br />
Thursday.<br />
Elsewhere shares in Expansys fell<br />
12 per cent. The Manchesterbased<br />
online mobile phone<br />
retailer revealed a tripling of<br />
its pre-tax losses to £2.5m in<br />
the year to April. The company<br />
said that US and UK sales had<br />
been hit by the credit crunch<br />
while Europe was more resilient<br />
and Asian markets were stronger.<br />
It was a good week for Bodycote.<br />
Shares in the Macclesfieldbased<br />
engineering company<br />
climbed 8.9 per cent to close<br />
at 183p. The stock has been<br />
steadily rising since the<br />
company revealed it had made its<br />
first foray into France with the<br />
acquisition of Centech, a<br />
Toulouse-based materials testing<br />
laboratory. Bodycote is also<br />
currently considering bids for its<br />
own thermal testing division,<br />
which it put up for sale with a<br />
price tag of at least £400m in<br />
May.<br />
Shares in ServicePower<br />
Technologies put in a rare<br />
positive performance, climbing<br />
25 per cent after several<br />
weeks of heavy losses.<br />
Analysts may now be starting<br />
to see some value in the<br />
Stockport-based company which<br />
last month announced plans to<br />
move from the main market to<br />
Aim and said it had agreed a new<br />
loan facility to fund the group’s<br />
working capital needs.<br />
Individual Restaurant Company<br />
again had a bad week, with<br />
its shares falling 13 per cent<br />
to 55p. There was no company<br />
specific news to prompt the<br />
decline, but the shares have<br />
been under pressure recently<br />
amid concerns that a slowdown in<br />
consumer spending will mean a<br />
fall in the number of people<br />
choosing to eat out.<br />
● Closing prices as of Thursday.<br />
Taking Stock<br />
BY CLAIRE SHOESMITH<br />
The rollout of one of its catalogues<br />
into Germany next year may be just<br />
the tip of the iceberg for Manchesterbased<br />
home shopping group N<br />
Brown, which has its longer term<br />
sights on North America.<br />
“Germany is all about learning,”<br />
chief executive Alan White told<br />
Crain’s, adding that the company<br />
hopes by next March it will have<br />
adapted its website to enable people<br />
from all over the world to order N<br />
Brown items online. For the German<br />
market it is translating its Spring-<br />
Summer Simply Be catalogue.<br />
White said he expects the move to<br />
add a “few per cent” to group sales,<br />
but more importantly to give the company<br />
an idea of where future demand<br />
growth may come from.<br />
John Stevenson, an analyst at Shore<br />
Capital in Liverpool, welcomed the<br />
development, saying that it required<br />
no capital investment and as such was<br />
a good way to seek to grow the business.<br />
“It’s a relatively easy thing to do,”<br />
he said, adding that a similar move<br />
into Europe has already been successfully<br />
executed by internet clothing<br />
retailer Asos.<br />
Unsure<br />
However, Jonathan Pritchard, an<br />
analyst at Oriel is not so sure about the<br />
move into the USA. “The American<br />
market is a pretty tough market to<br />
crack,” he said, adding that there is a<br />
long list of UK retailers that have tried<br />
and failed. In addition, there are<br />
already several big players in the catalogue<br />
and online clothes<br />
retailing market in the US<br />
such as L.L. Bean and Land’s<br />
End, which already offer<br />
plus-sized clothing.<br />
Still, with an estimated 62<br />
per cent of American females<br />
and 67 per cent of males<br />
classed as overweight,<br />
there is no doubting<br />
the potential for N<br />
Brown’s niche focus<br />
on larger, older customers.<br />
N Brown is<br />
bucking the general<br />
negative<br />
trend in the retail<br />
sector at the moment<br />
thanks to its niche<br />
focus and its suc-<br />
BY CLAIRE SHOESMITH<br />
The share price of Premium Bars &<br />
Restaurants’ collapsed after a forced<br />
stock sale by troubled banking and<br />
property conglomerate Dawnay Day,<br />
its second largest shareholder. But<br />
analysts familiar with the situation<br />
see a silver lining.<br />
“It has traditionally been a very<br />
illiquid stock, with more than 60 per<br />
cent of the shares in the hands of two<br />
stakeholders,” said one City analyst<br />
who declined to be named. “The<br />
forced sale of a near 30 per cent stake<br />
should improve the liquidity as the<br />
shares are likely to be bought by a<br />
series of smaller investors or institutions.”<br />
Mark Jones, executive chairman,<br />
is also hoping that the increased liquidity<br />
will in turn encourage more<br />
individual investors to tap into the<br />
stock and in the long run make it a<br />
more attractive investment. Londonbased<br />
property investors the Reuben<br />
brothers remain the group’s largest<br />
shareholder with a 32.5 per cent<br />
stake.<br />
Premium Bars, which owns the<br />
Living Room and Bel and the Dragon<br />
chains, saw its share fall 45 per cent<br />
on July 18 when Dawnay Day was<br />
N Brown casts<br />
its eye on USA<br />
Catalogue retailer to try on Germany first<br />
cessful adoption of the internet as an<br />
advertising and sales channel.<br />
Last month it<br />
revealed a 12.3 per cent<br />
increase in turnover in<br />
the 17 weeks ended June<br />
<strong>28</strong>, citing the strong sunny<br />
spell in May which<br />
coincided with the mailing<br />
of its summer catalogues.<br />
It said 31 per<br />
cent of total<br />
sales came from<br />
the internet, a<br />
number that White<br />
expects to increase to<br />
about 45 per cent over<br />
the next three years,<br />
Left and top,<br />
clothing from N Brown<br />
forced to offload more than 2m<br />
shares after failing to meet margin<br />
calls on contracts for difference.<br />
“It is not a surprise that the share<br />
price took a battering,” said the analyst.<br />
“The market just needs to think<br />
there is going to be a forced sale and<br />
a share price will fall.” The forced sale<br />
had nothing to do with the performance<br />
of Premium Bars and the disposal<br />
was one of a series of investments<br />
dumped by Dawnay Day<br />
because of its financial difficulties.<br />
Jones told Crain’s it was business<br />
as usual at the company, which has<br />
recently moved its headquarters to<br />
although he would like even more.<br />
“Among our younger customers —<br />
those aged 30-45 — I can see that getting<br />
to between 75 and 80 per cent,”<br />
he said.<br />
Even though the shift into online is<br />
proving good news for N Brown, 53year-old<br />
White said he would be “very<br />
surprised” if the company were to get<br />
rid of its catalogues during his tenure.<br />
Online orders are on average 24 per<br />
cent higher than those made on the<br />
telephone and the company is able to<br />
tailor its advertising to suit the weather<br />
and trends more quickly than in<br />
catalogues, which take several<br />
months to put together. As a result it is<br />
now seeking to increase cross promotion<br />
by encouraging catalogue customers<br />
to look on line for wider product<br />
ranges and reductions.<br />
Still, while the outlook is currently<br />
Hale from Newcastle upon Tyne. Its<br />
finances and future plans remained<br />
unaffected by the share price decline,<br />
he added. Since the drop, the shares<br />
have climbed 3 per cent, and are currently<br />
trading at 35.5p — a marginal<br />
improvement on the 34.5p they hit<br />
on July 18, but well off the 155p level<br />
where they stood at the start of the<br />
year.<br />
“On a day to day basis it does not<br />
affect the business,” Jones said, but<br />
added: “As far as the share price is<br />
concerned we are in completely<br />
uncharted territory.”<br />
Unfortunately for Jones, the com-<br />
Crain’s Manchester Business / July <strong>28</strong>, 20<strong>08</strong><br />
Alan White<br />
rosy — analysts are upbeat on the<br />
company’s prospects — there is one<br />
blip on the horizon. To cater for the<br />
expected growth from the current<br />
5.5m-strong database, N Brown is<br />
seeking to expand both its warehouse<br />
sites at Shaw, near Oldham, and Hadfield.<br />
The initial planning permission<br />
for a £20m expansion at Shaw was<br />
rejected and the company will resubmit<br />
its updated plans in the next<br />
month or so.<br />
If this were to fail too, White said it<br />
could force the group to relocate to a<br />
new site.<br />
COMMENTS? cshoesmith@crain.com<br />
Analysts see silver lining for Premium Bars<br />
Premium Bars & Restaurants executive chairman Mark Jones and The Living Room restaurant in London<br />
pany is in a close period, meaning<br />
that he and the other directors are<br />
not able to buy stock themselves in a<br />
bid to show support for the company<br />
and in turn shore up the share price.<br />
As a result all he can do is sit tight<br />
and wait to see in whose hands the<br />
remaining shares end up. Still, with a<br />
usual average of between 10,000 and<br />
20,000 Premium Bars & Restaurants’<br />
shares trading each day, getting rid of<br />
several million could prove difficult.<br />
Neither Dawnay Day nor the Reuben<br />
brothers returned calls for comment.<br />
COMMENTS? cshoesmith@crain.com