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Session D2 Rachel Nelson

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<strong>Rachel</strong> <strong>Nelson</strong> Senior Trade Advisor Foreign Agricultural Service <strong>Rachel</strong>.<strong>Nelson</strong>@fas.usda.gov Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


Historically a net exporter; increasing reliance on imports Billions 16 14 12 10 8 6 Turkey's Exports Turkey's Imports 4 2 -­‐ Source: FAS analysis of GTIS data Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


Turkey is diversifying its export markets Billions US$ 12 10 8 6 4 2 -­‐ 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ROW EU-­‐27 Iraq Russia United States Ukraine Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


Turkey is a net importer of agricultural products from U.S. Millions 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 U.S. Exports to Turkey Turkey's Exports to U.S. 500 0 Source: FAS analysis of GTIS data Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


! Long-­‐term shi` from bulk products to consumer oriented ! Tobacco accounts for bulk shipments; consumer oriented products sebng recent records Turkey’s Exports to U.S. 1992 -­‐ 2012 (Millions US$) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 Consumer-­‐Oriented Bulk Intermediate 50 -­‐ Source: FAS analysis of GTIS and GATS data Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


Millions US$ 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 U.S. Exports to Turkey 3 Records in Top 5 Millions US$ Turkey’s Exports to U.S. 2 Records in Top 5 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Source: FAS analysis of GTIS and GATS data Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


US$ appreciates vs. Turkish Lira post 2008 crisis 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 June-­‐02 December-­‐02 June-­‐03 December-­‐03 June-­‐04 December-­‐04 June-­‐05 December-­‐05 Source: FAS analysis of Global Insight data June-­‐06 December-­‐06 June-­‐07 December-­‐07 June-­‐08 December-­‐08 June-­‐09 December-­‐09 June-­‐10 December-­‐10 June-­‐11 December-­‐11 USD/TRY June-­‐12 December-­‐12 Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


! Turkey 11 th largest market for the United States in 2012 ! Trade with Asia growing 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Top U.S. Ag Export Markets US$ billion Source: FAS analysis of GTIS and GATS data Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis


THANK YOU ! Global Policy Analysis Division Office of Global Analysis

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