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A dangerous campagin: Why we shouldn’t risk the Schengen Agreement(enlarged) EU of the order of 0.7%, or €74 billion. This result is not negligible intimes of slow growth in the entire EU area. More benefits will come as the assimilationof immigrants proceeds and they get jobs fitting their competences, rather thandowngrading their skills.Given the larger size and the slightly lower per capita income in the Mediterraneancountries neighbouring the EU, the economic gains from potential migration fromnorthern Africa are even larger. Clearly, it is much too early to consider a freemovement of workers from these countries similar to the eastern enlargement of theEU. But adopting more realistic restrictions vis-à-vis northern African countries andencouraging skilled immigration from Egypt, Tunisia, and other countries in that areacan reduce pressures for illegal migration and create substantial economic gains in boththe receiving and sending regions.ReferencesBaas, T., Bruecker, H. (2012), The macroeconomic impact of migration diversion:Evidence from Germany and the UK, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics(forthcoming),Boeri, T. (2009), “Immigration to the Land of Redistribution”, Economica 77(308).651-687.Bruecker, H. et al. (2009), Labour mobility within the EU in the context of enlargementand the functioning of the transitional arrangements, European Integration Consortium.Hatton, T. (2005) European Asylum Policy, National Institute Economic Review 194(1), 106-119.EC (2009). “Official Journal of the European Communities - The Schengen Acquis”,2009.163

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