11.07.2015 Views

Synthesis Report - European Science Foundation

Synthesis Report - European Science Foundation

Synthesis Report - European Science Foundation

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

2.The Challengeof an Unstable Earthl l l12 Research over the last two decades has documentedthat the Earth is undergoing major environmentaland socio-economic changes (see, for example,Steffen et al., 2004; Rockström et al., 2009; Reidet al., 2010). Climate change, land degradation,deforestation, biodiversity loss and changes of waterquality and quantity are prominent examples ofglobal environmental changes. The intensity andrate of change for many of these examples havenever been recorded in the most recent geologicalera, the Holocene, or even in the Quaternary (IPCC,2007). Globalisation, demographic changes, thescarcity of food, energy and raw materials and thewidening gap between rich and poor are examples ofsocio-economic trends that are closely linked withthe environmental changes. Furthermore, processessuch as climate change or biodiversity loss couldlead to a number of irreversible tipping points*,including the dieback of the Amazon rainforestand decay of the Greenland ice sheet (Lenton etal., 2008). Despite agreements reached almost 20years ago at the UN Conference on Environmentand Development in Rio de Janeiro, little has beenachieved in putting the planet onto a sustainabletrack. The ‘Rio+20’ United Nations Conferenceon Sustainable Development (UNCSD)9 should bea key step forward for the transitions toward sustainability.This RESCUE foresight initiative aimsto contribute to such transitions.In addition to the many ‘really global’ issues,however, it is also important to focus on local problems.For instance, the triple shock that hit Japanin 2011 (earthquake, tsunami, nuclear meltdown) isResponses to Environmental and Societal Challenges for our Unstable Earth (RESCUE)9. www.uncsd2012.org, and for instance, ec.europa.eu/environment/consultations/pdf/report_un_2012.pdf,www.earthsummit2012.org, and EEAC (2011)Figure 3.Two examples of global change issues:(above) land degradation and desertification; (below) water pollution.a marked example of the importance of the interactionswithin the physical environment and thefragility of our technologies and infrastructure. Howcould one anticipate and mitigate the risks associatedwith such cascading effects of a natural disasteror extreme event on a society which relies heavily ontechnology, without the proper involvement of manyresearch disciplines? The newly formed Integrated© iStockphoto© iStockphoto

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!