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Preface to First Edition - lib

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CHAPTER 9Recursive Partitioning: PredictingBody Fat and Glaucoma Diagnosis9.1 IntroductionWorldwide, overweight and obesity are considered <strong>to</strong> be major health problemsbecause of their strong association with a higher risk of diseases of themetabolic syndrome, including diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease, aswell as with certain forms of cancer. Obesity is frequently evaluated by usingsimple indica<strong>to</strong>rs such as body mass index, waist circumference, or waist-<strong>to</strong>hipratio. Specificity and adequacy of these indica<strong>to</strong>rs are still controversial,mainly because they do not allow a precise assessment of body composition.Body fat, especially visceral fat, is suggested <strong>to</strong> be a better predic<strong>to</strong>r of diseasesof the metabolic syndrome. Garcia et al. (2005) report on the developmen<strong>to</strong>f a multiple linear regression model for body fat content by meansof p = 9 common anthropometric measurements which were obtained forn = 71 healthy German women. In addition, the women’s body compositionwas measured by Dual Energy X-Ray Absorptiometry (DXA). This referencemethod is very accurate in measuring body fat but finds little applicability inpractical environments, mainly because of high costs and the methodologicalefforts needed. Therefore, a simple regression model for predicting DXA measurementsof body fat is of special interest for the practitioner. The followingvariables are available (the measurements are given in Table 9.1):DEXfat: body fat measured by DXA, the response variable,age: age of the subject in years,waistcirc: waist circumference,hipcirc: hip circumference,elbowbreadth: breadth of the elbow, andkneebreadth: breadth of the knee.Table 9.1:bodyfat data (package mboost). Body fat predictionby skinfold thickness, circumferences, and bonebreadths.DEXfat age waistcirc hipcirc elbowbreadth kneebreadth41.68 57 100.0 112.0 7.1 9.443.29 65 99.5 116.5 6.5 8.9161© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC

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