Electric vehicle market penetration in Switzerland by 2020 - Alpiq

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2. Switzerland’s energy challengesand objectivesChart 1: Primary energy balance sheet219.7719 %633.9256 %2.1 High dependence on fossil energySwitzerland is highly dependent on fossil energy imports.Foreign oil and gas currently account for 56 % of thecountry’s primary energy consumption. Domestic energyresources are limited to 19 % of national use, of whichhydroelectricity resources are predominant with 11.5 %.287.9925 %Fossil energy Nuclear fuel Domestic resourcesSource: Swiss energy statistics 2007, SFOE2.2 Latent risk with fossil energy importsAfter the dramatic surge of crude oil prices in the summerof 2008, the global recession caused oil prices to plunge to$ 40/bbl. But prices will doubtlessly increase rapidly againonce the economy recovers. Some experts1 forecast a priceof $ 200/bbl by 2030.Chart 2: Crude oil pricesBrent crude $/bbl250200150?In the long term, once peak oil is passed there will ensuean inevitable and irreversible cost increase of petrol-basedfuels. This rise will last several decades before oil finallyruns out completely.100502000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20301See IEA World Energy Outlook 20086
2.3 Switzerland’s energy strategyThe energy challenges to be met by Switzerland are twofold:• Mitigation of the peak oil threat and ensuing drasticprice increase by reducing Switzerland’s dependency onoil & gas• Meeting the climate challenge by significantly reducingnational GHG emissionsThe Swiss government accordingly published its energystrategy at the beginning of 2007, based on four pillars:• Increased energy efficiency and control of growth inenergy demand• Increased share of renewable energy• Construction of large electricity generation plants to replaceaging nuclear plants and construction of combinedcycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants as a transitory solution• Strengthening of international collaborationMuch will therefore depend on the outcomes of the EUClimate and Energy package and the 2009 COP 2 post-KyotoProtocol international discussions in Copenhagen. However,the global climate issue is already well known: theprevention of dangerous climate interference requires areduction in worldwide CO2 emissions to around 23 billionstons by 20303, equivalent to the level of 2005 emissions.This is an enormous challenge for which Switzerland willhave to do its share.The Swiss climate strategy will be addressed by Parliamentin 2009/2010. The two alternative solutions proposed bythe Swiss government consist of 1) an alignment withEU climate policy for a 20 % reduction in greenhouse gas(GHG) emissions by 2020, obtained primarily by domesticmeasures, and 2) a more ambitious reduction of 50 % by2020, mainly through concerted measures at the internationallevel.2Annual Conference of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol3Source: International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)7
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Electric vehicle market penetration in Switzerland by 2020 - Alpiq

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