An Economic Analysis of GRDC's Investment in the Functional ...
An Economic Analysis of GRDC's Investment in the Functional ...
An Economic Analysis of GRDC's Investment in the Functional ...
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1 Executive SummaryThe <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> gene manipulation for gra<strong>in</strong>s has been <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g over <strong>the</strong> past decade.<strong>Investment</strong> <strong>in</strong> cereal genomics had been grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> early 2000s <strong>in</strong> both <strong>the</strong> public andprivate sectors. Access to and control <strong>of</strong> gene sequences and <strong>the</strong> associated <strong>in</strong>tellectualproperty were seen as key factors <strong>in</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g a competitive plant improvementprogram and <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>tenance <strong>of</strong> control over improved cereal varieties.The GRDC supported projects (UA523 to 529) identified and cloned a large number <strong>of</strong>genes and/or prote<strong>in</strong>s with putative function. The overall <strong>in</strong>vestment produced a number<strong>of</strong> patent applications <strong>in</strong> which GRDC has an <strong>in</strong>tellectual property <strong>in</strong>terest.Of <strong>the</strong> patent applications two technologies and <strong>the</strong>ir related patent applications werelicensed to <strong>the</strong> Australian Centre for Plant <strong>Functional</strong> Genomics (ACPFG):• Polysaccharide Synthase (IP status - a PCT application)• Tissue Specific Expression (IP status – provisional)These are <strong>the</strong> only technologies developed by <strong>the</strong> GRDC <strong>in</strong>vestment that are likely to becommercialised <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> medium term future. The long-term benefits are likely to beprospective new cereal varieties, but <strong>the</strong>re would be a number <strong>of</strong> future steps requiredbefore new varieties were successfully developed and benefits captured by Australia.The most prom<strong>in</strong>ent and most well def<strong>in</strong>ed commercial application underway is that <strong>of</strong><strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> dietary fibre content <strong>of</strong> wheat due to <strong>the</strong> manipulation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> family <strong>of</strong>genes <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> express<strong>in</strong>g levels <strong>of</strong> beta-glucans. Such manipulation has implicationsfor human health via reduced cardiovascular disease and colorectal cancer. Already asignificant level <strong>of</strong> expression <strong>of</strong> beta glucans has been atta<strong>in</strong>ed and pro<strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong> concept hasnearly been completed.Without <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> UA523 to UA529 and <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g projects to December 2007,it is assumed <strong>the</strong> discovery and patent<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> beta-glucan synthase would not haveoccurred, ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong> Australia or elsewhere.This cluster represents a high risk–high return <strong>in</strong>vestment for GRDC. Research <strong>in</strong> thiscluster is highly strategic and long term. The valuation <strong>of</strong> benefits from <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestmentneeds to lean heavily on o<strong>the</strong>r projects and events along <strong>the</strong> biotechnology productpipel<strong>in</strong>e requir<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>tical costs and expected values <strong>of</strong> both benefits andcosts. The results show that <strong>the</strong> expected value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong>vestment by GRDC ispositive with a net present value <strong>of</strong> $3.8 million and a benefit cost ratio <strong>of</strong> 1.4 to 1. Theseresults should be considered an underestimate as <strong>the</strong> technology valued is only one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>two potential commercial applications that resulted from <strong>the</strong> GRDC <strong>in</strong>vestment.________________________________________________________________________________Agtrans Research Page 4