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Proposed Power Development Plan (PDP) 2012 - Palang Thai

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<strong>Proposed</strong> <strong>Power</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> (<strong>PDP</strong>) <strong>2012</strong>and a Framework for Improving Accountability and Performance of <strong>Power</strong> Sector <strong>Plan</strong>ningResults: the <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> and the <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 compared 27• Resource mix: <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> vs. <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 27• Cost savings: <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> vs. <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 30• Meeting government objectives: <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 vs. <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> 31• Adequacy of energy resource 31• Energy self-reliance: reduced dependency on imports 32• Promotion of renewable energy 32• Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions 33• Minimizing health and environmental impacts 35• Cost to consumers 36Policy recommendations 37References 40List of TablesTable 1: Four dimensions to energy security, from a search of 91 academic, 8peer-reviewed articles.Table 2: <strong>Proposed</strong> framework of indicators to introduce links of accountability. 9Table 3: Projected and actual GDP growth in 2007 - 2011, as well as predicted 11growth in <strong>2012</strong>-16Table 4: Assumptions used in <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> demand forecast 12Table 5: Comparison of peak demand forecasts used in <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 vs. <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>. 13Table 6: Government’s energy saving target (20-year Energy Efficiency <strong>Plan</strong>) 16Table 7: VSPP and SPP renewable energy installed and with signed PPAs 16as of September 2011.Table 8: Dependable capacity of renewable energy generation as assumed in the 18<strong>PDP</strong> 2010 and the <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>.Table 9: Cogeneration pipeline and potential in <strong>Thai</strong>land. 19Table 10: Cumulative energy savings from energy efficiency in <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> and <strong>PDP</strong> 2010. 22Table 11: Generation from renewable energy in MW in the <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 and the <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>. 23Table 12: Dependable capacity assumptions used in <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 and <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>. 24Table 13: Comparison of cogeneration capacity (MW) in the <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 vs the <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>. 25Table 14: List of power plants scheduled to retire during the <strong>PDP</strong> 2010. 26Table 15: Comparison of resource additions through year 2030 in <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 28vs. <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>.Table 16: <strong>Power</strong> projects included in the <strong>PDP</strong> 2010 but which are unnecessary and 29thus not included in the <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>.Table 17: Summary of power projects deemed unnecessary in the <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> and 30their associated investments costs.Table 18: Types of investments called for and investment budget required for <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>. 30Table 19: Reserve margin according to <strong>PDP</strong> <strong>2012</strong> 314

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