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Download Full Volume - UDC Law Review

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YES WE CAN, PASS THE BAR. 39(X 2 =4.85, p=O.0885); thus the relationship between the PTEX class and bar passagefor low LSAT students was statistically significant. 132G. Logistic Regression133More detailed results from a logistic regression analysis are contained in theappendix to this article. This analysis covers the impact of UGP A, <strong>UDC</strong>-DCSLCumulative GPA, LSAT scores, and the PTEX essay exam writing practicum onfirst time bar passage rates for students in the bottom half of the class, again asmeasured by the <strong>UDC</strong>-DCSL Cumulative GPA. These results are largely consistentwith the previous findings. Over the whole period, <strong>UDC</strong>-DCSL GPA, LSATscores, and the bar review class/PTEX were statistically significant variables inexplaining the odds of bar passage for students with a low GPA. The relationshipbetween these variables and first time bar passage was also positive. UGPA didnot have a statistically significant impact on bar passage rates in this model. Mostsignificantly, the results show that holding UGPA, <strong>UDC</strong>-DCSL CumulativeGP A, and LSAT scores constant, the odds of a low GPA student passing the barexam on the first time was 157 % higher if they took the bar skills programIPTEXpracticum than if they did not take the class. 134We want to continue to sail!CONCLUSIONOur article has demonstrated that, over the past five years, <strong>UDC</strong>-DCSL's barpassage program and increased academic profile had a significant impact on theimproved bar passage rate. No single factor is responsible, but rather, it is a combinationof increased admissions scores, strengthening of the academic curriculum,and a full scale effort at early bar preparation.132 Cf, lellum & Reeves, supra note 15, at 675. ("[I]mposition of the floor LSA T was notresponsible for the improvement we observed; hence, we again are left with the bar support programas the explanation.").133 See, e.g., Logil Regression, UCLA Academic Technology Services, www.ats.ucla.edulstatlspss/dae/logit.htm. Logistic regression is commonly used in statistical analysis where there is a binarydependent variable. The dependent variable in this instance is first time bar passage. The dependentvariable (first time bar passage) is binary in this case because the result is either yes or no. In logisticregression the dependent variable is the natural log of the odds. Linear regression generally does notwork in this instance because of the violation of homoscedasticity when there is a binary dependentvariable. Homoscedasticity is the assumption that each probability distribution for the dependentvariable has the same standard deviation as each probability distribution for the independent variable.134 See infra App. A. In the logistic regression with multiple independent variables each estimatedcoefficient in the model is the expected change in the log odds of first time bar passage for aunit increase in the independent variable holding the other independent variables constant. Theseestimated coefficients are the numbers in the coefficient column in the appendix. These coefficientsare then transformed into odds ratios by taking exp(coefficient). in this case, exp (0.947), resulting inthe odds ratio of 2.5779. The odds ratio of 2.5579 has the interpretation given in the paragraph above.

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