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AAPG Explorer - June 2010 - American Association of Petroleum ...

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<strong>AAPG</strong><br />

EXPLORER<br />

‘Crackle Frac’ some chalk<br />

Rockies’ Niobrara Play Expanding<br />

By LOUISE S. DURHAM, EXPLORER Correspondent<br />

Gas was hot. Now it’s not.<br />

Whiplash, anyone?<br />

Owing to the past couple <strong>of</strong><br />

years when highly productive shale gas<br />

plays have sprouted like weeds in myriad<br />

locales in the United States, essentially in<br />

sync with cratering demand, oil is king –<br />

for now.<br />

Given the current oil-gas price<br />

differential hovering around 15:1 or more,<br />

it comes as no surprise that a number <strong>of</strong><br />

E&P folks, principally independents, are<br />

moving at near warp speed to stake their<br />

claim in oil plays, particularly oil shales<br />

and those rich in NGLs.<br />

Meanwhile, some <strong>of</strong> the Big Guys, e.g.,<br />

ExxonMobil, BP, Total and others, have<br />

bought into the shale gas plays via joint<br />

ventures and acquisitions, with the long<br />

term in mind.<br />

In addition to these deals, some <strong>of</strong> the<br />

independents’ positions in shale gas have<br />

begun to pay <strong>of</strong>f, so these trailblazers<br />

in commercial shale gas have cash on<br />

hand to dig into something currently more<br />

lucrative.<br />

This is good news for the Rocky<br />

Mountain region, which has been<br />

pummeled by low prices and sinking<br />

demand for natural gas.<br />

There’s oil in them thar’ hills.<br />

For example, operators have been<br />

working diligently the past couple <strong>of</strong><br />

years to successfully wrest oil from the<br />

high pr<strong>of</strong>ile Upper Devonian-Lower<br />

Mississippian Bakken shale play in<br />

Montana and North Dakota.<br />

According to a U.S. Geological<br />

Survey assessment, the Bakken harbors<br />

an estimated 3.65 billion barrels <strong>of</strong><br />

undiscovered, technically recoverable oil,<br />

1.85 Tcf <strong>of</strong> associated/dissolved natural<br />

gas and 148 mbo <strong>of</strong> natural gas liquids.<br />

Early attempts to produce the Bakken<br />

economically were an exercise in<br />

frustration for the operators, and it was<br />

usually looked on as a bailout zone. <strong>AAPG</strong><br />

member and 2006 <strong>Explorer</strong> <strong>of</strong> the Year<br />

Dick Findley is credited with cracking the<br />

10 JUNE <strong>2010</strong> WWW.<strong>AAPG</strong>.ORG<br />

Photos courtesy <strong>of</strong> Randy Ray<br />

Niobrara Formation-Fort Hayes member: Vertical fractures in thick bedded limestones, east<br />

dipping outcrop, north <strong>of</strong> Boulder, Colo., along the Colorado Front Range.<br />

code for the Bakken in 1995, ultimately<br />

leading to development <strong>of</strong> the giant Elm<br />

Coulee Field in the Bakken in eastern<br />

Montana.<br />

Today, the prolific Bakken has some<br />

respectable competition.<br />

For example, the underlying<br />

Three Forks formation – which now is<br />

considered to be separate from the<br />

Bakken – reportedly may contain as much<br />

recoverable oil as the Bakken, which has<br />

more oil overall.<br />

The North Dakota Department <strong>of</strong><br />

Mineral Resources has released more<br />

conservative numbers than the USGS<br />

estimate. It reportedly credits the<br />

Bakken with a mere two billion barrels<br />

recoverable, but also forecasts two<br />

billion as well for the Three Forks, which<br />

contains about one-eighth the total oil <strong>of</strong><br />

the Bakken.<br />

Niobrara Potential<br />

Higher up the geologic section in the<br />

Cretaceous, there’s apparently a mother<br />

lode just waiting to be seriously exploited.<br />

“When you ask what’s happening in the<br />

Rockies, the answer is oil shale plays,”<br />

said Denver-based <strong>AAPG</strong> member Randy<br />

Ray, “and the hot topic is the Niobrara.<br />

“The Niobrara is part <strong>of</strong> the Cretaceous<br />

seaway that covered the whole middle<br />

<strong>of</strong> the U.S,” Ray noted. “We’ve had cycle<br />

after cycle <strong>of</strong> exploration for Niobrara<br />

fractures, mainly oil but some gas where<br />

it’s buried deeper.<br />

See Rockies, page 24

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