THE FUTURE OF THE AMAZON - Philip M. Fearnside - Inpa

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20Pará. Biotropica 21:98-106.Uhl, C., and J. B. Kauffman. 1990. Deforestation, fire susceptibility, and potential treeresponses to fire in the eastern Amazon. Ecology 71:437-449.Veríssimo, A., P. Barreto, M. Mattos, R. Tarifa, and C. Uhl. 1992. Logging impacts andprospects for sustainable forest management in an old Amazonian frontier: thecase of Paragominas. Forest Ecology and Management 55:169-199.Verissimo, A., P. Barreto, R. Tarifa, and C. Uhl. 1995. Extraction of a high-valuenatural resource in Amazonia: the case of mahogany. Forest Ecology andManagement 72:39-60.Veríssimo, A., M. A. Cochrane, and C. Souza, Jr. 2002. National forests in theAmazon. Science 297:1478.Viña, A., and J. Cavalier. 1999. Deforestation rates (1938-1988) of tropical lowlandforests on the Andean foothills of Colombia. Biotropica 31:31-36.Walker, G. 1996. Kinder cuts. New Scientist 151(2048):40-42.Whitmore, T. C., 1997. Tropical forest disturbance, disappearance, and species loss.Pages 3-12 in W. F. Laurance and R. O. Bierregaard, editors. Tropical forestremnants: ecology, management, and conservation of fragmented communities.University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois.Woods, P. 1989. Effects of logging, drought, and fire on tropical forests in Sabah,Malaysia. Biotropica 21:290-298.Table 1. Data layers used in analyses of land-use trends in Brazilian Amazonia.Infrastructure projects include railroads, hydroelectric reservoirs, power lines, gas lines,and river-channelization projects.
LayerCurrent forest cover and rivers21Data SourcesForest/non-forest coverage produced by the NationalOceanographic and Atmospheric Administrationbased on 1999 AVHRR imageryExisting highways (paved) and 1995 map of Brazilian Legal Amazon (1:3,000,000roads (unpaved)scale) produced by Brazilian Institute for Geographyand Statistics (IBGE); supplemented by 1999 map ofAmazonian protected areas (1:4,000,000 scale,Instituto Socioambiental, São Paulo, Brazil), JERS-1radar imagery for 1999, and personal knowledgePlanned roads and highways, Maps and information provided by the Avança Brasiland highway upgrades program (Avança Brasil 1999)Existing infrastructure projectsPlanned infrastructure projectsFire proneness of forestsLogging and mining activityFederal and state parks andreserves, national forests,extractive reserves, andindigenous lands and reserves1995 IBGE map of Brazilian Legal Amazon,supplemented by personal knowledgeMaps and information provided by Avança Brasil(1999), Eletrobrás (1998), and personal knowledgeMap of areas with high, medium, and low firevulnerability produced by Nepstad et al. (1998,1999b), based on analyses of forest cover, seasonalsoil moisture, logging activity, and recent fires duringthe 1998 dry season1998 map of estimated legal and illegal logging,wildcat gold mining, and industrial mining, producedby IBAMA, Brazil’s national environmental agency1995 IBGE map of Brazilian Legal Amazon,supplemented by 1999 map of Amazonian protectedareas and personal knowledgeTable 2. Legally permitted activities within conservation areas in the Brazilian Amazon 1 .Recreation AgricultureNon-timberType of Area & Tourism & Livestock Logging Harvests Hunting MiningAreas with nominally high protectionNational/State Parks Yes No No No No No
Page 1 and 2: Chapter --1THE FUTURE OF THE AMAZON
Page 3 and 4: 370-75% of all deforestation in the
Page 5 and 6: pattern has been likened to the rib
Page 7 and 8: 7Changing Patterns of Deforestation
Page 9 and 10: 9the next two decades. We confine o
Page 11 and 12: 11category is “high-impact areas,
Page 13 and 14: 13(Nepstad et al. 1998, Cochrane an
Page 15 and 16: 15editors. As florestas do Rio Negr
Page 17 and 18: 17Ecology and Evolution 15:134-135.
Page 19: 19conservation of biodiversity. Con
Page 23 and 24: Moderately degraded zone 25-50 km 5

THE FUTURE OF THE AMAZON - Philip M. Fearnside - Inpa

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