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Stat 5101 Lecture Notes - School of Statistics

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2.3. BASIC PROPERTIES 33expectation more complicated is that not all real-valued random variables haveexpectations. The set <strong>of</strong> real valued random variables that have expectation isdenoted L 1 or sometimes L 1 (P ) where P is the probability measure associatedwith the expectation, the letter “L” here being chosen in honor <strong>of</strong> the Frenchmathematician Henri Lebesgue (1875–1941), who invented the general definition<strong>of</strong> integration used in advanced probability theory (p. 67 <strong>of</strong> these notes),the digit “1” being chosen for a reason to be explained later. The connectionbetween integration and expectation will also be explained later.An expectation operator is a function that assigns to each random variableX ∈ L 1 a real number E(X) called the expectation or expected value <strong>of</strong> X.Every expectation operator satisfies the following axioms.Axiom E1 (Additivity). If X and Y are in L 1 , then X + Y is also in L 1 ,andE(X + Y )=E(X)+E(Y).Axiom E2 (Homogeneity). If X is in L 1 and a is a real number, then aXis also in L 1 , andE(aX) =aE(X).These properties agree with either <strong>of</strong> the informal intuitions about expectations.Prices are additive and homogeneous. The price <strong>of</strong> a gallon <strong>of</strong> milk anda box <strong>of</strong> cereal is the sum <strong>of</strong> the prices <strong>of</strong> the two items separately. Also theprice <strong>of</strong> three boxes <strong>of</strong> cereal is three times the price <strong>of</strong> one box. (The notion <strong>of</strong>expectation as fair price doesn’t allow for volume discounts.)Axiom E3 (Positivity). If X is in L 1 , thenX ≥ 0 implies E(X) ≥ 0.The expression X ≥ 0, written out in more detail, meansX(s) ≥ 0, s ∈ S,where S is the sample space. That is, X is always nonnegative.This axiom corresponds to intuition about prices, since goods always havenonnegative value and prices are also nonnegative.Axiom E4 (Norm). The constant random variable I that always has the valueone is in L 1 , andE(I) =1. (2.3)Equation (2.3) is more commonly writtenE(1) = 1, (2.4)and we will henceforth write it this way. This is something <strong>of</strong> an abuse <strong>of</strong> notation.The symbol “1” on the right hand side is the number one, but the symbol“1” on the left hand side must be a random variable (because the argument <strong>of</strong>an expectation operator is a random variable), hence a function on the samplespace. So in order to understand (2.4) we must agree to interpret a number in acontext that requires a random variable as the constant random variable alwaysequal to that number.

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