394 INDEXFinancial industry stocks (C<strong>on</strong>tinued)commercial banks, large, 304–307financial assets, nature of, 296–297general informati<strong>on</strong>, 293–295management skills, 298–304mature, established company, 166–167pi<strong>on</strong>eer company, 175–176product lines, 295–296spread business, 298–304subsectors, products/services, 296Financial leverage, cyclical companies <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>,172–173Financial organizati<strong>on</strong>s, 54Financial projecti<strong>on</strong>s, 181–192, 256. See alsoForecastsalternate means of forecasting, 183–185Ballard Power Systems, 325–327cascade of projecti<strong>on</strong>s, 66–67, 182c<strong>on</strong>structing, 181–182cyclical company forecast, 189–190in discounted cash flow valuati<strong>on</strong>, 205emerging markets, 360–361hockey stick phenomen<strong>on</strong>, 190–192Huntsman Chemical projecti<strong>on</strong>, 185–186Neiman Marcus statement of operati<strong>on</strong>s,136preparing projecti<strong>on</strong>s, seven steps to,186–189publicly traded company, 272typical projecti<strong>on</strong>, 182–183Financial ratios:comparable, 132–134investigating changes in, 129Financial sector, 295Financial Services Authority (FSA), 370Financial Shenanigans (Schilit), 148Financial statement analysis, 119–137. See alsoAccountingbasic approach to, 123–136evoluti<strong>on</strong> of the approach to, 122–123as first step of investigati<strong>on</strong>, 120–121footnotes to, 161Huntsman Chemical Corp., 187matrix of accounting data <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> analytical toolsfor, 122Neiman Marcus, 135–137property <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> casualty company, 313–317raw material of analysis, 121–122of spread business, 300–302Financial Statement <str<strong>on</strong>g>Analysis</str<strong>on</strong>g> (Frids<strong>on</strong>), 148Financial statement ratios, 317Financial Times, 270, 375Financial <str<strong>on</strong>g>Valuati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g>: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Business</str<strong>on</strong>g>es <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Business</str<strong>on</strong>g>Interests (Zukin), 318FINRA. See Financial Industry RegulatoryAuthority (FINRA)First-in, first-out method (FIFO), 153, 154First Pacific Advisors, 370Fitch, 26“Five Competitive Forces That Shape a Strategy,The” (Porter), 96Florida, 87Flowers Foods, 336Food <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> restaurant industries, 81Food Li<strong>on</strong>, 256Forbes, 52, 75, 375Ford Motor, 15, 25, 154Forecasts. See also Financial projecti<strong>on</strong>scascade of, 66–68causal techniques, 185cyclical company, 189–190earnings, 65, 188for Harris Teeter <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> A&E, 256industry dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, input/output <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 91macroec<strong>on</strong>omic, 70of Mexican cement market, 88, 89of operati<strong>on</strong>s data, 136qualitative techniques, 185of supply availability, 92–94supply/dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Mexican cement industry <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>,94time series techniques, 184Foreign discount, 114Foreign exchange (FX) movements, 345Foreign exchange rates, 65Foreign influences:industries <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 85sales <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> profitability <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 81U.S. casino-style gambling industryopportunities <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> threats, 87Foreign regulators, 36Foreign risk premium (FRP), 348Foreign sales, 115Formati<strong>on</strong>/Genesis Health Care, 240Fortigent LLC, 377Fortress Investment Group, 169Fortune, 52Fosters (Australia), 349France, 347Franchise value, 102Franklin Mutual Advisors, 338Fraud, 147, 148–149, 153Freddie Mac, 370Free cash flow (FCF), 128Free Internet, 53Freeport-McMoRan, 291Frids<strong>on</strong>, Martin, 148Friedman, Stephen, 295Fr<strong>on</strong>t-running client orders, 376FRP. See Foreign risk premium (FRP)FSA. See Financial Services Authority (FSA)Fuld, Richard, 294Full cost accounting, 284Fund managers, fees for, 271
Index 395Fur retailing industry, 81Futures c<strong>on</strong>tracts, 24GAAP. See Generally Accepted AccountingPrinciples (GAAP)Gabelli, Mario, 250Gambling industry, 86Games, financial, 176–180Game theory, 8–9, 217Garofalo, David, 172Gatehouse Media, Inc., 169Gates, Bill, 115GDP change vs. EPS changes, 80Geithner, Timothy, 375General Bearing, 115General Electric, 74, 150, 236Generally Accepted Accounting Principles(GAAP), 145, 146, 147, 156, 159, 344General Mills, 144General Motors, 15Genzyme, 74, 114Germany, 84, 347, 348, 356GlaxoSmithKline, P/E ratio of, 74Global Crossing, 106, 153Global themes, using in investing, 23GNP, 65, 86, 88, 185Goldberg, Glen, 55Goldman Sachs, 20, 54, 189, 295, 322,377Gold prices, 172Golf equipment industry, 81Goodwill, 142, 144, 158–159, 162Goodyear Tire, 211Google, 21, 229, 322Governance structure of small instituti<strong>on</strong>s,25Government. See also Government regulati<strong>on</strong>simpact <strong>on</strong> industry, 83–84industry analysis <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 81sales <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> profitability <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 81U.S. casino-style gambling industry, 87Government publicati<strong>on</strong>s, 54Government regulati<strong>on</strong>s. See also Federal ReserveBank; Governmentin company-specific analysis, 115as risk factor, 44Government regulators, 294, 374Government regulatory agencies, 372Grabowski, Roger, 213Grade inflati<strong>on</strong>, 374Graham, Benjamin, xv, 3–5, 10, 21, 68, 69, 70,181Great Depressi<strong>on</strong>, 32Greed, investors <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, 6Greenlight Capital, 322Grocery store industry, 255Gross nati<strong>on</strong>al product (GNP). See GNPGrowth:acquisiti<strong>on</strong>, 103–104Capitol Federal Financial Corporati<strong>on</strong>, 302of index funds <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> ETFs, xvii, 24internal, in business analysis, 102–103life cycle phase, 76–77, 106in mergers <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> acquisiti<strong>on</strong>s, 142–145ratios, 128, 131, 220, 221real <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> nominal, in industry analysis, 76Growth companies:GNP vs. EPS, 80, 175, 184sales/receivables ratio of, 130types of, 167–169Growth industries, 76, 77, 78, 79, 91, 184Growth/share matrix (BCG), 105Growth stocks, 22Gunther, Andrew, 357Haffenreffer, Nicholas, 371Halo effect, 160Hannaford Bros., 256Harrah’s Entertainment, 297Harris Teeter, 253, 255, 257, 258, 260, 261,262HBOS, 370Health care industry, 82Health South, 153, 157Heavy equipment/machinery manufacturers, 79,108Hedgefund.net, 270Hedge funds, xvi, 222under management, 270managers, 20, 217origin of, 26Heineken (Holl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>), 349Helmut, Paul, 359Herd psychology, xiv, 6–7Hidden value, 250Highly speculative stocks. See Speculative stocks,highlyHigh-tech firms, 373High-tech stocks, 210, 329Hill, Judd, 276Hockey stick phenomen<strong>on</strong>, 190–192Home builder, forecast for, 66Home building company, cascade of forecasts, 66H<strong>on</strong>da Motors, 347H<strong>on</strong>duras, 110H<strong>on</strong>eywell Internati<strong>on</strong>al, 245–250H<strong>on</strong>g K<strong>on</strong>g, 353Hoover administrati<strong>on</strong>, 32Hotels, 231Housing bubble, collapse of, 370–371Hughes Hubbard, 354Huntsman Chemical Corporati<strong>on</strong>, 183, 189–190c<strong>on</strong>densed forecast financial data, 187critiquing the projecti<strong>on</strong>, 185–186
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ContentsPrefaceWhat Is Secu
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ContentsviiCHAPTER 7Company-Specifi
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ContentsixCase Study: Keane, Inc. 2
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xviiiPREFACEOVERVIEW OF THE CONTENT
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CHAPTER 1Why Analyze a Secu
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CHAPTER 3Seeking a Level Playing Fi
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CHAPTER 12Valuation</strong
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Valuation Methodol
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CHAPTER 18Sum-of-the-Parts
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Sum-of-the-Parts Analysis</
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Sum-of-the-Parts Analysis</
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CHAPTER 20Private EquityThous<stron
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Private Equity 2712 percent of comm
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Private Equity 275in public compani
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280 SPECIAL CASES4. Management’s
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CHAPTER 23Insurance CompaniesInsura
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Insurance Companies 311PRINCIPAL FU
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CHAPTER 24Highly Speculative Stocks
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Highly Speculative Stocks 325Gross
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CHAPTER 25Distressed Securities<str
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