C. Cramez, Switzerland

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Ignoring the risks posedby the oil peak of SaudiArabia any longer isfolly.I don’t seeanythingÉvora, 8-9th May, 200616C. Cramez, Switzerlandccramez@compuserve.com
Applying the Basic Principles ruling the Nature on theavailable data base:HC Problems- OPEC,- OGJ,- Petroconsultants,-IHS,- BP review,- World Oil,- USDOE/EIA,the following conjectures on Exploration / Productioncan be postulated:Évora, 8-9th May, 200617C. Cramez, Switzerlandccramez@compuserve.com
Page 1 and 2: 1HC Problems&Nature PrinciplesCarlo
Page 3 and 4: Part IHC ProblemsReviewÉvora, 8-9t
Page 5 and 6: Peak Oil DepletionTrend lines, scen
Page 7 and 8: Oil Production Forecast(Salvador, A
Page 9 and 10: HC Problems7) The volume of water p
Page 12 and 13: HC ProblemsThis plot indicates the
Page 14 and 15: Middle East Oil FieldsAccording to
Page 18 and 19: Conjectures.Évora, 8-9th May, 2006
Page 20 and 21: HC ProblemsThe oil production in th
Page 23 and 24: Part IINature PrinciplesReviewÉvor
Page 25 and 26: InequalityEquality may exist atthe
Page 27 and 28: Inequality27On this subject, it is
Page 29 and 30: Self-similarityNature is characteri
Page 31 and 32: A natural object, or geometric figu
Page 33 and 34: Geoscientists know a scale is neces
Page 35 and 36: Geology is Scale Dependent.Interpre
Page 37 and 38: Fractal Distribution- Galactic inte
Page 39 and 40: 39Fractal DistributionIndeed, as il
Page 41 and 42: Fractal ParabolicIt is evident that
Page 43 and 44: Fractal Parabolic43The size plotted
Page 45 and 46: CyclicityLive births, deaths, natur
Page 47 and 48: CyclicityDepositional Systems are C
Page 49 and 50: CyclicityMajor Geologic Events are
Page 51 and 52: Cyclicity51The stratigraphic distri
Page 54 and 55: FinitenessThe rate of decline varie
Page 56 and 57: 56What means finitenessin mathemati
Page 58 and 59: 58In Nature, too simple is often fa
Page 60 and 61: The simplest natural answer is2, 4,
Page 62 and 63: Finiteness62Proven + ProbableProven
Page 64 and 65: Gravitation64Gravity AnomaliesThe g
Page 66 and 67:
Marine Clastic Deposition(after P.
Page 68 and 69:
LifeLake MichiganThe bright color t
Page 70 and 71:
70Carbonate BuildupsCarbonate build
Page 72:
LifeLife is controlled by three maj
Page 75 and 76:
Fibonacci’s law(Principle of Maxi
Page 77 and 78:
Determinism & ProbabilismNatural ev
Page 79 and 80:
Nature is not linearProblems need m
Page 81 and 82:
Symmetry(Central Limit Theorem)Symm
Page 83 and 84:
Symmetry83Symmetry exists also in m
Page 85 and 86:
Central Limit Theorem(Large numbers
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C. Cramez, Switzerland

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