C. Cramez, Switzerland

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HC Problems3) In early 2005, estimated global oil demandwas forecast to reach 86 Mb/d (millions barrelsa day) or more by the end of the year.Demand increases had exceeded forecastseach year from 2002 to 2004.4) Sooner or later, the worldwide use of oilmust peak, because oil, like the other twofossil fuels, coal and natural gas, is nonrenewable.Évora, 8-9th May, 20066C. Cramez, Switzerlandccramez@compuserve.com
Oil Production Forecast(Salvador, A. vs Laherrere, J.)A. Salvador’s recent paper is quite optimistic in relation to our prediction. However, we believe that ourdata is technical data and so less influenced by politics whether of Governments or Oil companies. Noticethat our all liquids and oil curves are made for a 3 Tb (3.000 Gb) of ultime reserves.Évora, 8-9th May, 20067C. Cramez, Switzerlandccramez@compuserve.com
Page 1 and 2: 1HC Problems&Nature PrinciplesCarlo
Page 3 and 4: Part IHC ProblemsReviewÉvora, 8-9t
Page 5: Peak Oil DepletionTrend lines, scen
Page 9 and 10: HC Problems7) The volume of water p
Page 12 and 13: HC ProblemsThis plot indicates the
Page 14 and 15: Middle East Oil FieldsAccording to
Page 16 and 17: Ignoring the risks posedby the oil
Page 18 and 19: Conjectures.Évora, 8-9th May, 2006
Page 20 and 21: HC ProblemsThe oil production in th
Page 23 and 24: Part IINature PrinciplesReviewÉvor
Page 25 and 26: InequalityEquality may exist atthe
Page 27 and 28: Inequality27On this subject, it is
Page 29 and 30: Self-similarityNature is characteri
Page 31 and 32: A natural object, or geometric figu
Page 33 and 34: Geoscientists know a scale is neces
Page 35 and 36: Geology is Scale Dependent.Interpre
Page 37 and 38: Fractal Distribution- Galactic inte
Page 39 and 40: 39Fractal DistributionIndeed, as il
Page 41 and 42: Fractal ParabolicIt is evident that
Page 43 and 44: Fractal Parabolic43The size plotted
Page 45 and 46: CyclicityLive births, deaths, natur
Page 47 and 48: CyclicityDepositional Systems are C
Page 49 and 50: CyclicityMajor Geologic Events are
Page 51 and 52: Cyclicity51The stratigraphic distri
Page 54 and 55: FinitenessThe rate of decline varie
Page 56 and 57:
56What means finitenessin mathemati
Page 58 and 59:
58In Nature, too simple is often fa
Page 60 and 61:
The simplest natural answer is2, 4,
Page 62 and 63:
Finiteness62Proven + ProbableProven
Page 64 and 65:
Gravitation64Gravity AnomaliesThe g
Page 66 and 67:
Marine Clastic Deposition(after P.
Page 68 and 69:
LifeLake MichiganThe bright color t
Page 70 and 71:
70Carbonate BuildupsCarbonate build
Page 72:
LifeLife is controlled by three maj
Page 75 and 76:
Fibonacci’s law(Principle of Maxi
Page 77 and 78:
Determinism & ProbabilismNatural ev
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Nature is not linearProblems need m
Page 81 and 82:
Symmetry(Central Limit Theorem)Symm
Page 83 and 84:
Symmetry83Symmetry exists also in m
Page 85 and 86:
Central Limit Theorem(Large numbers
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C. Cramez, Switzerland

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