P A R A D I G M S H I F TThe<strong>powers</strong>in the c<strong>on</strong>tinentThe growing engagement of India and China in <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> has compelledwestern <strong>powers</strong> to shift their attenti<strong>on</strong> to a renascent c<strong>on</strong>tinent,says Sanjukta Banerji BhattacharyaU.S. President Barack Obama addresses the Ghanaian parliament in Accra, Ghana, <strong>on</strong> July 11, 2009.<str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s relati<strong>on</strong>s with India and Chinaas a whole have been the subject ofmuch discussi<strong>on</strong> in the media andacademia in recent years because ofthe rather sudden and exp<strong>on</strong>entialgrowth of trade and other relati<strong>on</strong>s ofthese two countries with the c<strong>on</strong>tinentand the impact this has had <strong>on</strong><str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n countries previously written off as ‘basket cases’.Today, they have emerged as significant ec<strong>on</strong>omic actors withgrowth rates that, in many cases, have shown more promisethan that of western countries for the past few years. In fact,their terms of relati<strong>on</strong>ship have been very different from thatof western countries and have included infrastructuredevelopment, aid and lines of credit — instruments that haveacted as drivers of growth rather than agents of exploitati<strong>on</strong>,and have helped draw <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n states into the <strong>emerging</strong>markets of an increasingly globalised world.Today, several states of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> are attractive destinati<strong>on</strong>s forforeign direct investment and trade, and many countries, inadditi<strong>on</strong> to India and China, are vying for an entry or are-entry into the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n market and are offering terms andc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s similar to those offered by India and China. Theseinclude major <strong>powers</strong> like the United States, the EU as a bloc,and countries from regi<strong>on</strong>s that had so far had very littleinterest in the c<strong>on</strong>tinent, that is, South East Asia and Latin28August 2011-January 2012
A F R I C A Q U A R T E R L YAmerica. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n countries, too, are realising the potential ofgetting the best deals out of the increasing competiti<strong>on</strong> andare taking the initiative to engage with countries other thanIndia, China and the major <strong>powers</strong>. Moreover, having beenvictims of exploitati<strong>on</strong> from col<strong>on</strong>ial times to the post-independenceperiod, they have perhaps learnt the less<strong>on</strong> of notputting their eggs in <strong>on</strong>e basket and are diversifying theirrelati<strong>on</strong>s to include other <strong>powers</strong> that are <strong>emerging</strong> and whoare interested in <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> for the same reas<strong>on</strong>s that India andChina profess, that is, to foster South-South cooperati<strong>on</strong> topromote mutual growth. This article provides an overview of<str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s relati<strong>on</strong>s with these ‘other’ <strong>powers</strong>, both major andthe new <strong>on</strong>es, with a view to understanding what the futureholds for India’s relati<strong>on</strong>s with <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>.It needs to be menti<strong>on</strong>ed at the outset that the relati<strong>on</strong>shipthat states in general now seek with <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> and <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>ncountries is not of the earlier type marked by exploitative trade.Relati<strong>on</strong>ships are underlined by the lexic<strong>on</strong> of ‘partnership’,be it strategic or ec<strong>on</strong>omic. The questi<strong>on</strong> is why? There aremany reas<strong>on</strong>s for this: (a) <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> is rich in resources that arefast diminishing in other parts of the world; (b) <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> is poorin infrastructure and infrastructural capacity and, therefore,welcomes partnerships that will bebeneficial to them and help themto develop; (c) the instituti<strong>on</strong>alstructure of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n Uni<strong>on</strong> (AU)is perhaps better equipped forpartnerships than that of theOrganisati<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n Unity(OAU) ever was; (d) the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>nc<strong>on</strong>tinent has 54 states and they areall members of AU and therefore,potentially, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> can be a goodpartner in multilateral fora like the World Trade Organisati<strong>on</strong>(WTO), the United Nati<strong>on</strong>s (UN) and climate change forawhere issues are raised that pit states against other states andwhere the support of 54 countries may be crucial in decidingan issue; and (e) the climate for ec<strong>on</strong>omic relati<strong>on</strong>swith <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n states has shown an overall upswing with animprovement in the political envir<strong>on</strong>ment in many states.These reas<strong>on</strong>s are by no means the <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>es that act asmotivating factors in bilateral and multilateral relati<strong>on</strong>sbetween <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n and other states or regi<strong>on</strong>s or regi<strong>on</strong>al blocs,but they are some of the more important <strong>on</strong>es. It will also beuseful to remember that the new interest in <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>, whichinvolves paying at least lip service to <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n ownership,co-management and co-resp<strong>on</strong>sibility, goes back <strong>on</strong>ly to theturn of the century. That was the time when India andChina’s success in evolving a new pattern of relati<strong>on</strong>shipwith <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n states, which had begun five to ten yearsearlier, had started paying dividends in terms of increasingtrade figures. Also, the benefits of such trade viewed interms of entry into the energy sector of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s largelyunexploited oilfields became self-evident.Of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s ample resources, oil is not the <strong>on</strong>ly areaMuch of the mineralresources in <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> arestill being explored.Therefore, there is scopefor new countries andcompanies to competefor a share of the pieattractive to states all over the world. Its mineral and otherresources range from cobalt and copper to gold, diam<strong>on</strong>ds,uranium, hydrocarb<strong>on</strong>s and other energy sources. Some ofthese energy sources such as solar energy, thermal power andwind energy have great future potential. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> is alsoendowed with large tracts of land where plants for bio-fuelscan be cultivated. Other resource-rich parts of the world areeither developed or being developed by their own countries’private or public sectors or are under the c<strong>on</strong>trol of foreigncompanies who do not encourage competiti<strong>on</strong> from othertransnati<strong>on</strong>al companies. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n countries, <strong>on</strong> the otherhand, lack the skills needed to exploit their own resources.Moreover, they need investment for not <strong>on</strong>ly overall developmentbut also for infrastructure and capacity building.Further, much of the mineral resources in <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> are stillbeing explored and therefore, there is scope for newcountries and companies to compete for a share of the pie inareas where resources are diminishing in other parts of theworld. Petroleum is a case in point. At 4 milli<strong>on</strong> bpd,Sub-Saharan <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> already produces as much oil as the totaloutput of Iran, Mexico and Venezuela put together. As such,it is <strong>on</strong> a forward curve in terms of oil producti<strong>on</strong> unlike mostof the known oil producing regi<strong>on</strong>swhere older oil fields are located[Khapoya, 1998:112]. The output,for instance, increased 36 percent inthe past 10 years; for most of theother regi<strong>on</strong>s, the figure was around16 percent [Servant, 2003]. Quite afew of the most promising fields arelocated offshore in the SouthAtlantic.However, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>n states such asNigeria, Angola, or Equitorial Guinea do not have thetechnology to extract deep offshore oil embedded in theirrespective territorial seas. Even Chinese companies are not ata par with western developed countries in such technologies.On the other hand, the U.S. and some EU countries possessstate-of-the-art technologies that are necessary for theextracti<strong>on</strong> of deep-sea oil [Khapoya, 1998]. Another factorthat makes this oil attractive to other countries is that apartfrom Nigeria, n<strong>on</strong>e of the other countries where oil is beingdiscovered and new fields are being opened up, is a memberof the Organisati<strong>on</strong> of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC) and, therefore, has more flexibility in producti<strong>on</strong>and pricing. This amplifies their attractiveness to interested<strong>powers</strong>.In earlier years, much of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g> had been subject todictatorships, c<strong>on</strong>flicts and coups. Some major <strong>powers</strong>,notably, France, the U.K. and the U.S., had carved outspheres of influence and interest and in some cases had helpedto prop up dictatorships if it suited their purpose, providingarms (clandestinely or otherwise) and aid in their owninterest. So far as <str<strong>on</strong>g>Africa</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s mineral wealth was c<strong>on</strong>cerned,while a select few multinati<strong>on</strong>al companies had benefitedAugust 2011-January 2012 29