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Department of Mathematics & Statistics STAT 2593 Midterm ...

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A machine has a component which is subject to deterioration over time. A backup component issupplied, along with the machine, at the time that the machine is purchased. Suppose that theoriginal component has a lifetime (in years) which is Gamma distributed with parameters α = 30and β = 0.2; the backup component has a a lifetime (in years) which is Gamma distributed withparameters α = 10 and β = 0.5.31. How long do you expect the machine to last, all told? (I.e. what is the expected total lifetime<strong>of</strong> the two components, original and backup)?11 years32. Assume that the lifetime <strong>of</strong> the backup component is independent <strong>of</strong> the lifetime <strong>of</strong> the originalcomponent. What is the variance <strong>of</strong> the time that the machine lasts? (I.e. what is the variance<strong>of</strong> the total lifetime <strong>of</strong> the two components, original and backup)?3.7 years 2The breaking strength <strong>of</strong> rivets <strong>of</strong> a certain type has a mean value <strong>of</strong> 10,000 psi and a standarddeviation <strong>of</strong> 500 psi. A random sample <strong>of</strong> 40 such rivets is obtained.33. What (approximately) is the probability that the sample mean breaking strength is between9900 and 10200 psi?0.890534. What is the name <strong>of</strong> the theorem that allows you to make the foregoing approximation?The Central Limit TheoremThe rain in Spain has an annual mean <strong>of</strong> 17 inches, with a standard deviation <strong>of</strong> 4 inches. The rainin Calcutta 1 has an annual mean <strong>of</strong> 64 inches with a standard deviation <strong>of</strong> 12 inches. Assume thesetwo random variables to be normally distributed and to be independent <strong>of</strong> each other (a dubiousassumption, but make it anyway).35. What is the probability that the rainfall in Calcutta in a given year exceeds the rainfall inSpain in the same year by more than 55 inches?0.26431 The rain in Spain stays mainly in the plain; the rain in Calcutta stays mainly in the gutta.8

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