E3_EDT_Phase2_Methodology_and_Sensitivities_2011-04-22
E3_EDT_Phase2_Methodology_and_Sensitivities_2011-04-22
E3_EDT_Phase2_Methodology_and_Sensitivities_2011-04-22
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4. Use day ahead forecast of windoutput for unit commitment cycleNREL data provides historical day-aheadforecasts of the actual 2006 wind profilesused for TEPPC• Phase 1 Gridview simulations: use perfect foresightto optimize day ahead unit commitmentPhase 2: Will explore impact of day-aheaduncertainty of wind output by committingunits based on day-ahead forecasts ofhistorical wind profiles• Potentially could result in wind curtailment(or load curtailment) in limited number of hoursif day-ahead forecast is too low (or too high)• May result in reduced efficiency in all cases• EIM case likely to respond more easily due todiversity <strong>and</strong> deeper resource stack• Approach not well tested, so may need to useas sensitivity case only21
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