Education Analysis and Projection Model - UNESCO Bangkok

Mekong Institute-UNESCO Course on Decentralized Education Planning in the context of Public Sector Management ReformIn order to analyze different outputs by providing different input resources, the module lets the userset different targets or policy variables. For examples, in output table 7, based on the data provided,pupils-teacher ratio and required teachers for next 10 years are as follows:Then, there is a policy target by the year 2010, the government plans to achieve the pupils-teacherratio to be 35 with gradual changes while other effecting parameters such as school age population,enrollment, promotion rate, etc will remain the same as today.The new scenario can be simulated as follows:1. first, copy the sheet “projectionX” to a new sheet “projectionY”;2. set the target pupil-teacher ratio to 35 in 2010 (in the new sheet);3. then, change all the intermediate cells appropriately, from which you would like to starteffecting, to the cell before with the policy target was entered. In this example from 2007 to2009;(you can also use the “linear interpolation” function if you want to interpolate linearlly); and4. the module will project required number of teachers to reach the ratio and changes will beinplaced in all the associated cells (see below).12