Education Analysis and Projection Model - UNESCO Bangkok

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Mekong Institute-UNESCO Course on Decentralized Education Planning in the context of Public Sector Management Reform(or construction expenditure per classroom). Other investment expenditure includes all exceptconstruction of classrooms, and derived through a growth rate.OutputsOnce you have set the input parameters described in the above-mentioned section in the sheet name“Pupil” and the module is executed (press the button “Simulate”), an new sheet with the name“Projection” will be appeared with the projection results for each of the next 10 years in 10 tables. Thetables include:1. Demographic (population) data and gross enrollment ratio (GER)2. Gross admission rate (AIR) and new entrants to first grade of primary3. Enrollments by grade and total enrollments at the primary level.4. Pupil-class ratio by grade and classes per classroom5. Number of classes by grade and classrooms need6. Teachers and non-teaching school staff7. Recurrent expenditure8. Capital and total education expenditureIt is recommended that you save the “scenario” by giving a name to the EXCEL file, in order to beable to compare various scenarios.6
Mekong Institute-UNESCO Course on Decentralized Education Planning in the context of Public Sector Management ReformHow to Use Enrollment Projection (Simulation) Model – A step-by-stepGuideStep 1. Start Microsoft Excel and open “UNM-Simulation.XLS”You will see the following sheet.Step 2. Click on the light green area or where it says, “click here to start data entry”.Step 3. Prepare the following baseline data (see below data requirement).Data Requirements1. Education level (e.g., Primary)2. Years of study (in that level)3. Starting grade of the level (e.g., 1 for Primary level)4. Minimum admission age ( e.g., 6 years for Primary level)5. Base-year for projection6. Entrance-age population for the education level (e.g., 6 years old population for Primary)7. School-going age population for the education level (e.g., 6-11 year-olds for Primary)8. Number of schools9. Number of teaching staff10. Number of non-teaching staff11. Enrollment and repeaters by grade for a minimum of two consecutive years12. Number of graduate for base year13. Number of classes (pupil groups) by grade14. Major education expenditurea. Average annual salary per teacherb. Annual salary per non-teaching staffc. Pupil-related expenditure per pupild. School-related expenditures per schoole. Central & other non-school expenditures (administrative expenditure of the area)7
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Education Analysis and Projection Model - UNESCO Bangkok

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