Causal effects on employment after first birth - A ... - University of York

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Table 4: Cumulative employment losses (in person-months)PooledBy Training DegreeAbsolute In Percent No training Training UniversityAfter 1 year -8.71 -72.5 % -8.64 -9.20 -8.61After 2 years -13.77 -57.4 % -14.40 -14.73 -12.76After 3 years -17.57 -48.8 % -18.88 -18.78 -15.69After 4 years -20.60 -42.9 % -22.14 -22.25 -16.91After 5 years -23.10 -38.5 % -25.10 -24.98 -17.87Figure 10: ATTs for different age groupsATT age 24 and 25ATT age 26 and 27−1 −.8 −.6 −.4 −.2 0−20 −10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60Months since birthATT age 28 and 29−1 −.8 −.6 −.4 −.2 0−20 −10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60Months since birthATT age 30 and 31−1 −.8 −.6 −.4 −.2 0−20 −10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60Months since birthATT age 32 and 33−1 −.8 −.6 −.4 −.2 0−20 −10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60Months since birth−1 −.8 −.6 −.4 −.2 0−20 −10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60Months since birth33
Treatment groupFigure 11: Childbirth rates by ageControl group, IPW-weighted0 .2 .4 .60 .2 .4 .624 26 28 30 32Age groupAfter 1 yearAfter 3 yearsAfter 5 yearsAfter 2 yearsAfter 4 years24 26 28 30 32Age groupAfter 1 yearAfter 3 yearsAfter 5 yearsAfter 2 yearsAfter 4 yearsFigure 12: Evaluating a policy change−.8 −.6 −.4 −.2 0 .20 10 20 30 40 50 60Months since birthTreatment effectPolicy effectFigure 13: Evaluating a policy change: Effects for subgroupsChildren born in 2001 or afterwards Children born before 2001and still affected by reforms−.05 0 .05 .1 .150 10 20 30 40 50 60Months since birth−.1 0 .1 .2 .30 10 20 30 40 50 60Monthly age at which policy kicks in34
Page 3 and 4: This reform increases the income su
Page 5 and 6: a similar propensity to have a firs
Page 7 and 8: our empirical analysis, we will onl
Page 9 and 10: 3.1 Dynamic Treatment ApproachThe t
Page 11 and 12: an average counterfactual outcome f
Page 13 and 14: Correspondingly, the alignment betw
Page 15 and 16: pose a problem if the selection of
Page 17 and 18: drops to zero due to mandatory mate
Page 19 and 20: for university graduates (17 months
Page 21 and 22: of the interaction variables, where
Page 23 and 24: 6 ConclusionsIn a critical phase of
Page 25 and 26: Fortin, N. (2009). Gender role atti
Page 27 and 28: Troske, K. R. and Voicu, A. (2010).
Page 29 and 30: Table 3: Propensity to have first c
Page 31 and 32: Figure 3: Partnership one yearbefor
Page 33: Figure 9: ATTs for different educat

Causal effects on employment after first birth - A ... - University of York

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