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Improved Pricing on the Stock Market with Trading Agents

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view. Until <strong>the</strong>n, let us have some fun running artificial agents! People love sports andexcitement! Besides, c<strong>on</strong>sidering <strong>the</strong> fees stockbrokers and equity funds charge <strong>the</strong>yneed to be challenged.AcknowledgementFirst of all, I would like to extend my gratitude to David Lybäck, who, always sharinghis insights <strong>with</strong> me, has, I feel, g<strong>on</strong>e much fur<strong>the</strong>r than duty required. Through <strong>the</strong>many discussi<strong>on</strong>s we have had, I have become aware of many important aspects of<strong>the</strong> subject I have been grappling <strong>with</strong>.I am also grateful to Dr. Magnus Boman who was instrumental to this project at<strong>the</strong> very outset. He has given me important advice steering my work towards saferwaters. He has this tacit, maybe subc<strong>on</strong>scious, sense for where good research can befound, research that is both safe and at <strong>the</strong> same time fruitful. He gave me <strong>the</strong> courageto go into a field I was not too well acquainted <strong>with</strong> at <strong>the</strong> outset. Actually, I realisedthrough my own work that knowledge can even be a hindrance as it c<strong>on</strong>fines <strong>on</strong>e’sacti<strong>on</strong>s to a world limited by that which can be prec<strong>on</strong>ceived.I would also like to thank Dr. Mats Daniels<strong>on</strong> for <strong>the</strong> time he has given mediscussing different aspects of research and finance, and life at large. A man of solidreading, he has shared <strong>with</strong> me his clear visi<strong>on</strong> of research methodology.I must also express special thanks to my mo<strong>the</strong>r, Dr. Shiu-Pang Almberg, everfull of encouragement, for making time to proofread this material.OM AB has provided me <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> financial means and facilities needed for <strong>the</strong>project.Finally, and most of all, I stand in great gratitude to life itself. I cannot pretendthat I have been happy and relaxed all way through, but <strong>the</strong>re has been peace and asense of meaning accompanying my work. My wish is that <strong>the</strong> work I do – I have <strong>the</strong>acti<strong>on</strong> itself in mind and not its results – <strong>on</strong>e day will become an utter celebrati<strong>on</strong> oflife. Kahlil Gibran has expressed this state of being beautifully in <strong>the</strong> novel ‘TheProphet’. A ploughman asks <strong>the</strong> prophet to speak to <strong>the</strong> crowd of work, and he says:“You work that you may keep pace <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> earth and <strong>the</strong> soul of <strong>the</strong> earth.For to be idle is to become a stranger unto <strong>the</strong> seas<strong>on</strong>s, and to step out oflife’s processi<strong>on</strong> that marches in majesty and proud submissi<strong>on</strong> towards <strong>the</strong>infinite.When you work you are a flute through whose heart <strong>the</strong> whispering of <strong>the</strong>hours turns to music.”These words have stuck to me. ‘When you work you are a flute through whose heart<strong>the</strong> whispering of <strong>the</strong> hours turns to music.’ [Gibran, 1923, p.13].References[Black, 1976] F. Black. Studies of stock price volatility changes. Proceedings of <strong>the</strong>1976 American Statistical Associati<strong>on</strong>, Business and Ec<strong>on</strong>omical Statistics Secti<strong>on</strong>,177.[Bloomfield et al, 2000] Robert Bloomfield, Robert Libby, Mark W. Nels<strong>on</strong>.Underreacti<strong>on</strong>s, overreacti<strong>on</strong>s and moderated c<strong>on</strong>fidence. Journal of FINANCIALMARKETS, 3:113-137, 2000.21

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