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Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 7 – Land Erodibility Dynamics 1980-20067.3 Model DescriptionLand susceptibility to w<strong>in</strong>d erosion, i.e. land erodibility, was modelled with the <strong>Australia</strong>nLand Erodibility Model (AUSLEM). AUSLEM was developed by Webb et al. (2009), and adescription of the model formulation, <strong>in</strong>put parameters and performance characteristics arepresented <strong>in</strong> Chapter 5. For the current analysis the model was run at a 5 x 5 km spatialresolution on a daily time-step. In the absence of an operational model to predict temporalchanges <strong>in</strong> soil erodibility (Chapter 4), soil textural effects, E tx (tx), were considered static(after Lu and Shao, 2001) at time scales less than one month. In do<strong>in</strong>g this the analysis ofmodel output was restricted to scales ~10 4 km 2 at which the <strong>in</strong>put conditions were found tobest model land erodibility (Webb et al., 2009; Chapter 5, Section 5.5.3).7.4 Model Simulation and Analysis Methods7.4.1 Spatial PatternsAUSLEM was run to assess land erodibility on a daily time-step from January 1980 toDecember 2006. Output was then aggregated <strong>in</strong>to monthly and annual means. Patterns <strong>in</strong> thedistribution of erodible land were exam<strong>in</strong>ed by assess<strong>in</strong>g the frequency at which modeloutput was recorded <strong>in</strong> four land erodibility classes. Arbitrary class boundaries were def<strong>in</strong>edfor land that was highly erodible (1–0.15); moderately erodible (0.15–0.0375); had lowerodibility (0.0375–0.0091); and was not erodible (0.0091–0). The class boundaries werenecessarily non-l<strong>in</strong>ear to account for the exponential <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> land erodibility withdecreas<strong>in</strong>g vegetation cover and soil moisture. Mean monthly model output was classified<strong>in</strong>to the four erodibility groups, and the percentage of years (out of 27) <strong>in</strong> which landoccurred <strong>in</strong> each class was computed on a per-pixel basis.7.4.2 Seasonal VariabilitySeasonal variations <strong>in</strong> land erodibility were exam<strong>in</strong>ed by analysis of po<strong>in</strong>t time-series data.Mean monthly model output values were extracted from areas with 50 km radius aroundmeteorological stations at Birdsville, Boulia, Charleville, Longreach, Thargom<strong>in</strong>dah, Quilpie,Urandangie and <strong>W<strong>in</strong>d</strong>orah (Figure 7.1). Summary statistics of the time-series data were170

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