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Vol. 61 No. 14 A Hearst Business Publication July 23/30, 2012 $75<br />

FLOOR COVERING WEEKLY<br />

FCW’s<br />

Statistical Report<br />

20th Anniversary<br />

STATISTICAL REPORT ’11<br />

Chart 1<br />

Flooring’s slow climb: Continued<br />

sluggishness, volatility<br />

The flooring industry showed mixed but<br />

positive results in 2011. Last year mimicked<br />

the year before in many ways, with business<br />

picking up in the first half,<br />

slowing mid-year and<br />

continuing to struggle as<br />

the year came to a close.<br />

Raw materials prices also<br />

continued to be an issue.<br />

Total sales in 2011<br />

reached $17.89 billion, a 2.5<br />

percent increase over 2010’s<br />

$17.45 billion. Square<br />

foot sales — on the other<br />

hand — dipped a slight 1.5<br />

percent from 17.89 billion<br />

square feet in 2010 to 17.62<br />

billion. Square foot wholesale<br />

prices grew from 98<br />

cents per square foot to $1.02 per square foot.<br />

Last year was another in which the traditional<br />

selling seasons seem to have disappeared.<br />

Consumers continued to look for sales, deals<br />

and specials on the residential side. The builder<br />

market remained almost nonexistent. Fortunately<br />

the commercial market held strong.<br />

According to Catalina Research, Floor<br />

Covering Weekly’s partner in the annual<br />

Statistical Report, hard surface sales showed<br />

an upward trend, as did area rugs and carpet<br />

tiles. Wall-to-wall carpet square foot sales<br />

continued to weaken, according to the report.<br />

On the hard surface side, demand strengthened<br />

for ceramic tile, wood and vinyl sheet and<br />

floor tile. According to Catalina, ceramic tile<br />

dollar sales increased by 6 percent and square<br />

foot sales by 4.5 percent. This was the highest<br />

On the inside<br />

News ................................... 3<br />

2011 Industry Statistics ...... 4<br />

marketWise ......................... 5<br />

Imports/Exports .................. 7<br />

Carpet & Area Rugs ............. 8<br />

Wood ................................. 12<br />

Tile & Stone ...................... 16<br />

Laminate ........................... 19<br />

Resilient ............................ 20<br />

The Last Word .................... 26<br />

rate for any flooring material. Vinyl sheet and<br />

floor tile dollar sales rose by 5.8 percent, while<br />

square foot sales increased by 3.2 percent. For<br />

wood flooring, the gains<br />

were 4.3 percent and 4.1<br />

percent, respectively.<br />

On the soft surface<br />

side, carpet tile continued<br />

to show increases in the<br />

commercial sector, but on<br />

the residential side, wall-towall<br />

carpet sales continue<br />

to suffer. One reason could<br />

be the more dramatic<br />

increases in price per<br />

foot of this material type,<br />

which is based on synthetic<br />

chemicals. Two things<br />

helped the area rug market:<br />

the increase in hard surface sales as well as the<br />

sluggish economy. Consumers find area rugs<br />

an inexpensive way to spruce up their homes.<br />

In 2011, the value of carpet and area rug<br />

sales was $9.51 billion — 53.1 percent of total<br />

floor covering dollar sales, down from 53.8<br />

percent in 2010 and 71.9 percent in 1987.<br />

On a square foot basis, soft surface sales were<br />

10.22 billion square feet in 2011 or 58 percent<br />

of total sales, down from 59.7 percent in 2010<br />

and 71.2 percent in 1987.<br />

The industry’s mix continues to change.<br />

Catalina Research estimates that residential<br />

sales accounted for 64.1 percent of total flooring<br />

dollar sales in 2011, down from 67.9 percent<br />

in 2007. Meanwhile, commercial sales<br />

have become approximately 31.5 percent of<br />

Continued on page 4<br />

2011 U.S. Floor Covering<br />

Sales: $17.89 billion<br />

(in wholesale dollars)<br />

5.0%<br />

10.2%<br />

12.4%<br />

5.9%<br />

11.8%<br />

1.6%<br />

53.1%<br />

Laminates<br />

Hardwood<br />

Ceramic Floor<br />

& Wall Tile<br />

Stone<br />

Vinyl Sheet &<br />

Floor Tile<br />

Other Resilient<br />

(Cork, rubber, other plastics and linoleum)<br />

Carpet &<br />

Area Rug<br />

$894.2 million<br />

0.13% from 2010<br />

$1.82 billion<br />

4.3% from 2010<br />

$2.21 billion<br />

6.0% from 2010<br />

$1.06 billion<br />

0.2% from 2010<br />

$2.11 billion<br />

5.8% from 2010<br />

$281.5 million<br />

4.2% from 2010<br />

$9.51 billion<br />

1.2% from 2010<br />

<strong>Periodical</strong><br />

For breaking news updated each business day, visit us online at www.fcw1.com<br />

For breaking news updated each business day, visit us online at www.fcw1.com<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

UP 2.5%<br />

from 2010


July 23/30, 2012<br />

News<br />

3<br />

Sturrus steps down, Babula takes lead<br />

Clarion Industries names new president, CEO<br />

By Raymond Pina<br />

[Shippenville, Pa.] Tony Sturrus announced<br />

he was stepping down as president and CEO<br />

of Clarion Industries, a vertically integrated<br />

manufacturer of particleboard and laminate<br />

flooring, based here, on July 25. The board of<br />

directors at Clarion Industries appointed Mike<br />

Babula, a fellow investor in Clarion Industries<br />

and former vice president of sales and market-<br />

Flooring America: Focus on referral business<br />

By Raymond Pina<br />

[Orlando, Fla.] Nearly 350 Flooring America/Flooring<br />

Canada members gathered here<br />

July 9th for its annual summer convention. The<br />

group focused on its Fast Phase II program that<br />

combines locally aimed TV and radio spots,<br />

web-based technology and training to increase<br />

its referral business through online testimonials<br />

and old-fashioned word of mouth.<br />

“It’s becoming more difficult to win the<br />

hearts and minds of customers with traditional<br />

advertising,” said Keith Spano, president,<br />

Flooring America. “Word of mouth is track<br />

able and inexpensive. Our Buzz Advertizing<br />

campaign is a new way to stay top of mind<br />

with our customers and getting people to talk<br />

about our products and unique services.”<br />

Supporting the strategy is data from Reuters,<br />

highlighting that 70 percent of customers con-<br />

ing, to succeed Sturrus.<br />

“The company is moving into<br />

another stage of development and<br />

it requires a leadership change,”<br />

said Sturrus. “I approached our<br />

board a year ago with a plan to<br />

create a deeper, more technical<br />

managemen t team internally and<br />

Mike was the best prospect based<br />

on experience and knowledge of<br />

Tony Sturrus<br />

Clarion and its customers. That<br />

plan put us in a place where Mike is<br />

now president and CEO. Our business<br />

has a solid foundation and I’m<br />

confident in Mike. I’m leaving my<br />

invested capital in the company.”<br />

Sturrus said the transition will<br />

allow him to focus on other business<br />

interests and his family.<br />

Sturrus and Babula were<br />

sult online reviews or ratings before making a<br />

purchase while 92 percent of consumers value<br />

word-of-mouth testimonials over advertising.<br />

What’s more, the study revealed 75 percent of<br />

consumers mistrust advertising.<br />

Guest speaker Andy Sernovitz, author of<br />

Word of Mouth Marketing, suggested members<br />

send free emails for friends and family<br />

sales instead of spending thousands of dollars<br />

printing out fliers. He also keyed in on<br />

unique services and products, such as flood<br />

proof vinyl floors, that are easy to remember<br />

and discuss. And, Sernovitz stressed the<br />

importance of searching the Internet for any<br />

comments about their stores — thanking<br />

those who commented favorably and apologizing<br />

and seeking solutions for those with<br />

negative comments.<br />

Dealers who sign up for the $87 per month<br />

Fast Phase II program receive a free iPad featuring<br />

an application to help consumers fill out<br />

testimonials as well as a system that automatically<br />

filters testimonials to members homepage,<br />

Facebook, Twitter and other social sites.<br />

The Build the Buzz campaign is also being<br />

supported by TV and radio ads featuring<br />

family and friends referrals to locally-owned<br />

Flooring America or Flooring<br />

Canada locations.<br />

“Our customers know they<br />

want a new floor but not much<br />

more beyond that,” said Marcia<br />

Hewey, direct of marketing,<br />

Flooring America. “Now we<br />

can leverage the words of her<br />

friends and family who have<br />

already been through the process.<br />

We’ve also added more<br />

diversity to our ads with different<br />

ages and ethnicities.”<br />

among a group of investors that purchased<br />

Clarion Industries from Tarkett for $26 million<br />

in 2009. With Tarkett as its original sole<br />

customer, Clarion Industries now supplies<br />

OEM laminate flooring to a number of the<br />

industry’s leading suppliers, distributors and<br />

retailers. Prior to joining Clarion Industries<br />

Babula served as president and CEO of<br />

Franke, a leading international supplier of<br />

kitchen systems.<br />

“I’m going to keep to our strategy of providing<br />

a domestic platform that executes extremely<br />

well and build upon it going forward,” said<br />

Babula. “It’s important that we have this transition<br />

and we expect it to be seamless for our<br />

customers, employees and shareholders.” FCW<br />

Members who are already deeply involved<br />

in their local communities are uniquely<br />

positioned to leverage this modern referral<br />

system, said Sue Barlett, owner of Charlevoix,<br />

Mich.-based Barlett’s Home Interiors. Barlett,<br />

a longtime Flooring America member, sponsors<br />

her local sport teams and donates to the<br />

library and battered women’s organization.<br />

“We already do a lot of referral business but<br />

this program will step it up,” she said. FCW<br />

Flooring America’s summer convention<br />

Carpet One: New wool carpet, click LVT<br />

[Orlando, Fla.] More than 500 Carpet<br />

One Floor & Home members attended the<br />

group’s Team of Champions summer convention,<br />

held here July 11-13, which focused<br />

primarily on new product.<br />

Eric Demaree, Carpet One president, told<br />

dealers that they need to get noticed, get into<br />

the consumer’s consciousness. “The best way<br />

to do that is to drive our combined product<br />

knowledge, selection and service locally,” he<br />

said. “Ultimately, it’s in each individual store<br />

where the battle is won.”<br />

The focus of this year’s convention was on<br />

new product, including Just Shorn, a high-end<br />

collection of New Zealand wool carpeting, and<br />

mechanically locking luxury vinyl tile (LVT).<br />

“Those who seek this type of luxury product<br />

will only increase as consumer confidence<br />

improves,” said Paul Johnson, a Carpet One<br />

owner in Tulsa, Okla. “The Just Shorn collection<br />

has a great green story and it’s beautiful.”<br />

Mike Mostad, general manager of Missoula,<br />

Mont.-based Loren’s Carpet One, said<br />

he was going to pick up the Just Shorn line<br />

at convention. “We have a new upper-end<br />

furniture store in our new building and their<br />

clientele will go towards this new line,” he said.<br />

Mostad said the biggest potential lies with<br />

the group’s recent advent of click LVT. “We’re<br />

pushing big into LVT,” he said. “Nationwide,<br />

that category is coming on like laminate did 20<br />

years ago. And to be competitive, you need a<br />

click LVT at glue down price points.”<br />

Also introduced were coordinated commercial<br />

carpet and carpet tiles to complement the<br />

existing hard surface Core Elements program.<br />

“These products are specifically designed<br />

to target Main Street commercial,” said<br />

Demaree. “We have come to this convention<br />

with products and programs that continue to<br />

help our members differentiate themselves.”<br />

Carpet One also reported that efforts to<br />

attract customers by pairing the strength of its<br />

buying power and product knowledge with<br />

digital and social media has driven 65,000<br />

leads from its website to local stores. FCW<br />

Kitchen of the Year features Shaw’s Epic<br />

[New York] Shaw’s Epic hardwood was<br />

the featured flooring in House Beautiful’s 5th<br />

annual Kitchen of the Year in Rockefeller Plaza.<br />

Poised to be the “new American living<br />

room,” this year’s kitchen was repositioned to<br />

generate more space and reconfigured to look<br />

and feel like a real home, according to Newell<br />

Turner, editor and chief of House Beautiful.<br />

Designed by Mick De Giulio, the con-<br />

struction of the kitchen began in early 2012.<br />

De Giulio said the inspiration behind the<br />

development was his own kitchen.<br />

“It’s all about kitchen centric living, all<br />

living can be done in this space,” said De<br />

Giulio. “I wanted to create a space that I would<br />

want to eat in. This is it, this is my style.”<br />

Shaw’s Epic in gold rush walnut was used in<br />

the kitchen and in the butler’s pantry. Made of<br />

recycled bi-product, Epic utilizes 50 percent less<br />

of the tree, and its handscraped and distressed<br />

look offers a time worn visual. It is also Cradle<br />

to Cradle certified. De Giulio stated that he will<br />

be using Shaw’s floors again and worked with<br />

the company to create his own chevron detailed<br />

pattern in the butler’s pantry.<br />

“People don’t want to compromise on<br />

style but they also want sustainability. I chose<br />

Shaw’s Epic because I wanted something stylish<br />

but organic,” said De Giulio.<br />

Continued on page 23<br />

Shaw’s Epic is the featured flooring<br />

for this year’s Kitchen of the Year.


4<br />

Table 1<br />

U.S. floor covering market sales value<br />

(in millions of dollars)<br />

Product sector 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 % change<br />

Carpet & area rugs $13,210(R) $11,870(R) $9,287(R) $9,393(R) $9,505 1.2%<br />

Hardwood flooring $2,184(R) $2,102(R) $1,506(R) $1,749(R) $1,824 4.3%<br />

Ceramic floor & wall tile $2,826(R) $2,513(R) $1,909(R) $2,084(R) $2,210 6.0%<br />

Laminate flooring $1,276 $1,047 $901.0(R) $893.0(R) $894.2 0.13%<br />

Vinyl sheet & floor tile $1,926(R) $2,105(R) $1,818(R) $2,000(R) $2,115 5.8%<br />

Other resilient flooring* $282.5(R) $279.8(R) $263.5(R) $270.1(R) $281.5 4.2%<br />

Stone flooring $1,689 $1,408 $1,079 $1,062 $1,064 0.2%<br />

Table 2<br />

U.S. floor covering market sales volume<br />

R=Revised Source: Catalina Research<br />

*Other resilient includes cork, rubber, other plastics and linoleum.<br />

(in millions of square feet)<br />

Product sector 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 % change<br />

Carpet & area rugs 14,867 12,814 10,601 10,686(R) 10,221 -4.4%<br />

Hardwood flooring 989.0 944.5 803.4 882.8(R) 919.0 4.1%<br />

Ceramic floor & wall tile 2,664 2,258 1,848 1,992 2,078 4.3%<br />

Laminate flooring 1,160 1,039 912.0 957.7 949.8 -0.8%<br />

Vinyl sheet & floor tile 3,272 3,254 2,784 2,860 2,951 3.2%<br />

Other resilient flooring* 352.9(R) 330.8(R) 280.1(R) 250.2(R) 244.0 -2.5%<br />

Stone flooring 436.4 351.6 270.8 260.0 261.5 0.6%<br />

R=Revised Source: Catalina Research<br />

*Other resilient includes cork, rubber, other plastics and linoleum.<br />

Chart 2<br />

2011 U.S. floor covering<br />

sales by volume<br />

Total: 17.63 billion square feet<br />

1.5% 1.4%<br />

16.7%<br />

5.2%<br />

5.4%<br />

11.8%<br />

Carpet &<br />

area rugs<br />

10.22 billion<br />

Ceramic floor &<br />

wall tile<br />

2.08 billion<br />

Vinyl sheet &<br />

floor tile<br />

2.95 billion<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

58%<br />

Laminate flooring<br />

949.8 million<br />

Hardwood flooring<br />

919.0 million<br />

Stone flooring<br />

261.5 million<br />

Other resilient*<br />

244.0 million<br />

R= Revised Source: Catalina Research<br />

*Other resilient flooring includes cork,<br />

rubber, other plastics and linoleum.<br />

Slow climb<br />

Continued from page 1<br />

the industry’s total, up from 27.6 percent in<br />

2007. The transportation market remains at<br />

about 4.4 percent of total industry sales.<br />

Just like 2010, commercial sales led dollar<br />

growth in 2011. Corporate, retail and healthcare<br />

are the strongest commercial markets.<br />

Education and government struggled with the<br />

down economy and lower tax bases. Hospitality<br />

is still pulling out of the recession, though<br />

activity there is picking up. Commercial sales<br />

were estimated to be $5.6 billion, rising 4.7 percent;<br />

while sales to transportation equipment<br />

manufacturers were $785 million, a 3.1 percent<br />

increase over the previous year.<br />

Throughout the recession, the residential<br />

market has been the most affected. In 2011,<br />

things improved slightly, but the industry has<br />

a long way to go. In 2011, total residential sales<br />

are estimated to be $11.5 billion (in manufacturers’<br />

dollars), a 1.5 percent increase over the<br />

previous year, according to Catalina Research.<br />

The residential construction market remains<br />

a challenge for the flooring industry, though it<br />

appears to be picking up in 2012. Existing home<br />

sales have been increasing since late summer<br />

2011 and builder starts have been increasing<br />

at double-digit rates during 2012. However, in<br />

2011, home sales remained sluggish and new<br />

home starts were severely depressed.<br />

On the remodel side of the market, which<br />

makes up roughly half of the industry’s sales,<br />

flooring sales continued to struggle. Consumers<br />

in 2011 replaced or repaired essential items.<br />

Flooring is an easy item in the home to postpone<br />

and one of the most expensive. With the<br />

continued decline in home values, consumers<br />

were reluctant to make big expenditures.<br />

Square foot sales increased year over year,<br />

with the average value per square foot going<br />

up 4.1 percent over the previous year. That’s<br />

the sharpest gain since 2006, according to<br />

Catalina. As the overall economy enjoyed<br />

some recovery in 2011, manufacturers<br />

passed along rising raw material, energy and<br />

transportation costs. Carpet and rug prices<br />

increased an average of 5.7 percent, one of<br />

the highest. Hard surface flooring average<br />

selling prices rose by only 0.9 percent in 2011.<br />

According to Catalina, price competitiveness<br />

Methodology<br />

Floor Covering Weekly collaborated with Catalina<br />

Research for this 20th annual statistical<br />

analysis of the U.S. floor covering market. Area<br />

rug numbers come from FCW research.<br />

All figures that have been revised from<br />

previously published numbers are indicated<br />

with (R). All 2011 numbers are estimates at<br />

this time and are subject to revision. The total<br />

Graph 1<br />

Looking back: 20 years of floor covering sales value<br />

(in billions)<br />

$26.0<br />

$24.0<br />

$22.0<br />

$20.0<br />

$18.0<br />

$16.0<br />

$14.0<br />

$12.0<br />

U.S. floor covering sales number posted for<br />

2010 in last year’s issue has been rev ised<br />

from $17.13 billion to $17.45 billion.<br />

Note that in this year’s edition, resilient is<br />

broken down into vinyl sheet and floor tile<br />

and other resilient which includes cork, other<br />

plastics, rubber and linoleum.<br />

U.S. market sales are in manufacturers’<br />

dollars and exclude installation costs. All retail<br />

information is courtesy of Jonathan Trivers’<br />

exclusive marketWise.<br />

improved for ceramic tile and wood flooring.<br />

2012 is shaping up to be an improvement.<br />

Existing home sales increased 7.2 percent in<br />

the first quarter. Industry experts estimate<br />

that will stimulate industry sales since a quarter<br />

of movers will replace a floor in the first<br />

year. Housing starts also increased 19.4 percent<br />

in the same time period. Commercial<br />

sales should also continue to be strong as the<br />

economy slowly improves. FCW<br />

R=Revised Source: Catalina Research<br />

Note: Stone flooring was added as its own category and is reflected in sales<br />

figures starting in 1997. Rubber flooring was removed as its own category<br />

and is reflected in “other resilient flooring” sales figures starting in 2011.<br />

’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11<br />

$12.42(R) $13.30 $14.20 $14.60 $15.20 $15.95(R) $17.40 $18.80 $19.90 $20.20 $20.65(R) $22.12(R) $24.33(R) $25.62(R) $25.89(R) $23.39(R) $21.39(R) $16.76(R) $17.45(R) $17.89


July 23/30, 2012 marketWise 5<br />

Sales velocity: So little and so slow<br />

By Jonathan Trivers<br />

If you were a runner and had to run on a road<br />

that increased in elevation so you could get<br />

real aerobic exercise, the upward slant of the<br />

road needs to get you panting and wishing for<br />

the end of the hill. If our industry’s 2011 sales<br />

(including labor) increase (3.0 percent) were<br />

the upward slant, you would not be winded<br />

and you sure would not have done much to<br />

burn calories. Forget aerobic exercise.<br />

So it is with our industry. Yes, it wasn’t<br />

down but no it wasn’t up much.<br />

As always, what happens to housing happens<br />

to the floor covering industry.<br />

New home sales for single families continue<br />

to amaze — in a bad way. New home sales<br />

have declined for six years in a row. In 2005,<br />

new home sales were 1,283,000. For 2011, new<br />

home sales were 302,000, almost one million<br />

fewer new home sales than in 2005!<br />

In 2011, new home sales dropped 10<br />

percent from pitiful sales in 2010. An average<br />

of 6,000 new homes was sold per state.<br />

That might be fine for South Dakota, but that<br />

barely shows up as an economic impact for<br />

California, Florida, New York, etc. (If the<br />

builder business increases by 13 percent a<br />

year for nine years, it will be close to the good<br />

years. It might well take that long.)<br />

Existing home sales are off 25 percent<br />

from the best year ever but they are nonetheless<br />

still pretty robust. The problem for<br />

Table 3<br />

2011 floor covering industry sales<br />

(in billions) $48.1B<br />

Product Labor Total<br />

$ Sell GP % $ Sell GP % $ Sales GP %<br />

Carpet $12.5 30.4% $3.1 17.5% $15.6 28.2%<br />

Vinyl $3.9 33.0% $1.8 26.0% $5.7 31.5%<br />

Ceramic tile $4.6 32.0% $6.3 26.0% $10.9 28.6%<br />

Stone/marble $1.1 36.0% $1.6 25.0% $2.7 29.6%<br />

Wood $3.5 28.6% $2.1 22.0% $5.6 26.9%<br />

Laminate $1.7 26.0% $1.0 20.0% $2.7 22.2%<br />

Carpet cushion $.0 9 26.0% N/A N/A $.09 26.0%<br />

Installation<br />

materials<br />

$1.0 26.0% N/A N/A $1.0 26.0%<br />

Total installed<br />

products<br />

$29.2 30.6% $15.9 23.9% $45.1 28.2%<br />

Area rugs $3.0 33.0% N/A N/A $3.0 33.0%<br />

Total floor covering $32.2 30.9% $15.9 23.9% $48.1 28.5%<br />

homeowners is that the average price of those<br />

houses sold is 30 percent less than what it<br />

was six years ago. If you are underwater you<br />

certainly won’t make investments in flooring;<br />

if you are wanting to upgrade your floors<br />

but know that the house has lost 30 percent<br />

Source: marketWise<br />

in value, you will become a much harder sell<br />

— it becomes, “should we really do this” as<br />

opposed to “which one is best for us.”<br />

Even with those headwinds, pent up<br />

demand for new flooring in existing homes<br />

continues to drive business for the residential<br />

replacement sector. Pent up demand is far<br />

greater than the negatives and will continue<br />

to push this sector with sales increases for<br />

years to come.<br />

Commercial, blessed commercial, has<br />

done better than the other sectors. That is<br />

true for large class buildings, refurbishment<br />

of existing commercial properties and Main<br />

Street commercial.<br />

The real news for 2011 is the accelerated rate<br />

of the “market splintering” at retail. Small niche<br />

markets are growing faster than traditional full<br />

service flooring stores and one niche segment<br />

has underperformed. Narrowcasting is in full<br />

bloom — specialty hard surface stores are<br />

popping up all over. The highest profile chains<br />

are Lumber Liquidators and Floor Décor and<br />

More, but there are independent hard surface<br />

stores in many towns by another name. Shop<br />

at home continues to grow as a part of full<br />

service flooring store’s marketing effort and<br />

Empire showed new vigor after consolidating<br />

and cutting back on underperforming markets.<br />

(Empire bought Luna, a direct competitor in<br />

Chicago at the beginning of 2012.)<br />

Key chapters of 2011 marketWise are:<br />

The four legged stool collapses<br />

New home’s size stabilize<br />

Narrowcasting<br />

Selling to the trade — a faltering business<br />

model?<br />

When ceramic looks like wood<br />

The vinyl revolution<br />

Baby boomers buy better and more expensive<br />

goods again FCW<br />

What we sell<br />

Our very own Ray Pina, senior editor, FCW,<br />

has been writing about the vinyl revolution;<br />

most were disbelieving. Myself included.<br />

Believe it. The vinyl industry bemoaned the<br />

fact that their product was called vinyl. Consumers<br />

thought of the vinyl in grandma’s house<br />

and didn’t even want to look at the product.<br />

The product got so much better in quality and<br />

looks but the name hurt the category.<br />

Along comes glass-backed vinyl, luxury<br />

vinyl tile and VCT all gussied up and we have<br />

a revolution. Used to be that luxury vinyl<br />

tile was sold by two companies — Amtico<br />

and NAFCO. It was a specialty product for<br />

commercial sector and they sold 10 yards<br />

into residential replacement. That might<br />

be high. VCT was purely commercial and<br />

glass-backed was some idea first advanced in<br />

Europe. So what?<br />

These three types of vinyl products are red,<br />

red hot residential replacement products. If<br />

retailers do not have large displays for these<br />

products, they are missing the revolution. I<br />

don’t mean a nice little display next to the<br />

gigantic sheet vinyl rack; I mean a large display<br />

of these products next to a small rack of<br />

sheet vinyl. Many joined the revolution but<br />

it’s not too late in 2012.<br />

The new vinyl is helping this category to<br />

regain lost market share. For 2011, vinyl had<br />

the second highest increase of any product<br />

category plus 5.7 percent (product plus labor).<br />

(See Table 4.)<br />

When ceramic tile looks like wood<br />

Carmen Chilelli, the very creative product<br />

Continued on page 7<br />

Table 4<br />

2011 product sales growth<br />

(sales in billions; product + labor)<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

% increase<br />

over last year<br />

Carpet $21.8 $20.1 $18.3 $15.0 $15.3 $15.6 +2.0%<br />

Vinyl $5.5 $5.5 $5.5 $5.0 $5.4 $5.7 +5.7%<br />

Ceramic tile $15.9 $13.5 $11.4 $9.5 $10.3 $10.9 +6.0%<br />

Stone/marble $3.5 $4.2 $3.4 $2.7 $2.7 $2.7 Even<br />

Wood $7.7 $6.7 $5.8 $5.0 $5.4 $5.6 +4.3%<br />

Laminate $4.5 $4.0 $3.4 $2.8 $2.7 $2.7 Even<br />

Table 5<br />

2011 market share installed products<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Carpet 37.6% 37.9% 38.8% 38.2% 37.1% 36.6%<br />

Vinyl 9.0% 9.9% 11.2% 12.1% 12.6% 12.9%<br />

Ceramic tile 27.4% 25.5% 24.3% 24.0% 24.9% 25.5%<br />

Stone/marble 5.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.2%<br />

Installation<br />

supplies<br />

$3.1 $2.8 $2.4 $2.0 $1.9 $1.9 Even<br />

Wood 12.6% 12.0% 11.7% 12.1% 12.6% 12.6%<br />

Rugs $5.0 $4.6 $4.0 $3.0 $3.0 $3.0 Even<br />

Total $67.0 $61.4 $54.2 $45.0 $46.7 $48.1 +3.0%<br />

Source: marketWise<br />

Laminate 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.9% 6.4% 6.2%<br />

Note: These market share numbers were computed from the sales of product, labor and the installation materials used for that product category.<br />

Source: marketWise


6<br />

marketWise<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

Who sells it<br />

There is some very good news hidden under<br />

the massive amount of bad news about single<br />

family new home construction. The number<br />

of new homes sold has declined to an abysmal<br />

low 302,000. At the same time, the average<br />

size of the new home was dropping from<br />

a high in 2006 of 2,561 square feet to right<br />

around 2,300 square feet in 2010. Talk about<br />

adding insult to injury — new home units<br />

drop 72 percent from the best year (2005)<br />

and then the average amount of square feet<br />

drops another 10 percent! That’s what flooring<br />

contractors were looking at in dismay.<br />

However, in 2011, the average size of new<br />

single family homes went up almost 100<br />

square feet to 2,480. We see the size settling at<br />

the range of the best year (2006); gone will be<br />

the over-sized and useless foyer; there will be a<br />

home office space that is not a bedroom, spacious<br />

kitchens and some creative builders will<br />

give up on the never-used living room and add<br />

a play room along with a family room.<br />

So when 2012 new home construction is<br />

reported, the actual increase in number of<br />

homes built over 2011 will not have to have<br />

an asterisk noting that the home is smaller<br />

therefore there is no gain in flooring needs.<br />

The interest rates for mortgages were<br />

at an all-time low and that will help the<br />

sales of new homes and it allows the buyer<br />

to make a modest monthly payment for a<br />

good sized homes.<br />

The four legged stool collapses<br />

For a very long time our industry has been<br />

easily broken down into four equal parts:<br />

Builder 25 percent<br />

Commercial 25 percent<br />

Residential replacement (new owner older<br />

home) 25 percent<br />

Residential replacement (existing owner<br />

improving home) 25 percent<br />

Table 6<br />

Who sells to the three end-user markets<br />

(in billions)<br />

These numbers always fluctuated as one<br />

segment got stronger but a rolling average<br />

pretty much had these segments equal. But<br />

with the collapse of the builder business,<br />

there are really only three legs to the stool and<br />

(this is a very big and) because Americans<br />

are moving far less than in the last 40 years,<br />

the flooring sales generated by a household<br />

moving into an existing home has declined<br />

dramatically. (About 17 percent of households<br />

moved every year; now that number is<br />

right around 11 percent.)<br />

This is how we think the sales by end user<br />

market looks for 2011:<br />

Commercial: 31 percent<br />

Builder: 11 percent<br />

Residential replacement (new owner older<br />

home): 18 percent<br />

Residential replacement (existing owner<br />

improving home): 40 percent<br />

The most important areas for flooring<br />

retailers are commercial and residential<br />

replacement of existing homes (owner<br />

improvement). Sales for these two sectors<br />

will come largely from word of mouth and a<br />

compelling website.<br />

The builder business should improve<br />

about plus 13 percent each year for the next<br />

nine years or so (that’s how long it will take<br />

to get back to “normal” new home construction.)<br />

These numbers (end-user balance of<br />

sale) will slowly go back to how they were<br />

and we will have four equal components;<br />

however, for some years, the key components<br />

for sales will come from commercial<br />

and sales to customers in your town who are<br />

now willing to improve their flooring.<br />

Selling to the trade — a faltering business<br />

model?<br />

Many industries that serve the home<br />

improvement sector have distributors who<br />

sell to the trade. Their distribution facilities<br />

have a showroom and contractors can<br />

bring in their customers and decide on<br />

Residential<br />

Replacement<br />

Builder Commercial Total<br />

Floor covering stores $13.4 $1.7 $7.7 $22.8<br />

Home improvement $7.5 $0.4 $0.4 $8.3<br />

Hard surface stores; $4.3 $0.4 $0.4 $5.1<br />

Internet, non-store $0.9 N/A N/A $0.9<br />

Furniture, department,<br />

discounters,home<br />

furnishing stores<br />

$1.9 N/A N/A $1.9<br />

Contractors N/A $2.6 $6.5 $9.1<br />

Total $28.0 $5.1 $15.0 $48.1<br />

% to total 58.1% 10.7% 31.2% N/A<br />

Source: marketWise<br />

Table 7<br />

Who sells it: Who the customer pays<br />

(in billions)<br />

2006<br />

(%)<br />

2007*<br />

(%)<br />

2008<br />

(%)<br />

2009<br />

(%)<br />

2010<br />

(%)<br />

2011<br />

(%)<br />

2011<br />

($)<br />

Floor covering stores 57.8 53.8 54.2 53.6 49.7 46.4 $22.8<br />

Home improvement 16.1 14.3 14.4 16.0 16.7 17.3 $8.3*<br />

- Home Depot 8.7 7.1 7.5 8.8 9.9 8.7 $4.2<br />

- Lowe’s<br />

4.8 5.2 5.5 7.2 7.5 7.0 $3.4<br />

Hard surface stores 2.6 6.2 6.5 6.9** 10.1 10.6 $5.1<br />

Internet, non-store N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.1 1.9 $0.9<br />

Furniture, department,<br />

discount, home 0.5 5.5 5.0 4.4 4.3 3.9 $1.9<br />

furnishing stores<br />

Contractor 23.0 20.2 19.9 19.0 17.1 19.9 $9.1<br />

*This number reflects better valuation of Menards and other regional home improvement retailers’ selling flooring.<br />

**Up to 2009, this number was hard surface stores and Internet and non-store. For 2010 and 2011, we have broken out Internet and non-store as a<br />

separate category.<br />

Source: marketWise<br />

what she wants. The contractor buys the<br />

merchandise from the distributor. It’s not<br />

surprising ceramic tile distributors had and<br />

have beautiful showrooms for the “trade.”<br />

Lumber yards have always marketed to the<br />

trade and Home Depot and Lowe’s are very<br />

aggressive marketing to the trade. If the<br />

percentage of pro sales (their phrase for the<br />

trade) that Home Depot and Lowe’s generate<br />

for the entire store is applied to their<br />

flooring sales, they well could be selling $1<br />

billion in flooring to the “trade.” In that<br />

way, they are competing with distributors<br />

not retailers.<br />

Contract Furnishings Mart (CFM) sells<br />

only to the trade. They have been in Portland,<br />

Ore. for 30 years. But they are not a distributor.<br />

They are a flooring/counter top hybrid<br />

selling to the trade. They have nine “stores”<br />

in the Portland/Seattle corridor.<br />

They promise excellent service and excellent<br />

pricing; CFM is a one price house for customers<br />

whether you are an architect or builder. Service<br />

and product knowledge are an important part<br />

of their brand. They have a design staff; sales<br />

people are paid salary — guarantee no pressure.<br />

If you buy more and CFM gets a price break,<br />

that is passed on to the customer.<br />

Contract Furnishings Mart has thrived in<br />

these very tough times. (The Pacific Northwest<br />

has not been hit as hard as other parts<br />

of the country but new home construction is<br />

down in this area also.)<br />

Pro-Source, a division of CCA Global,<br />

is the largest type (in number of outlets)<br />

of this form of marketing. Unlike Contract<br />

Furnishing Mart, Pro Source was<br />

established as a do-it-yourself marketing<br />

company — the designer was given a key<br />

and could come in any time of day, find a<br />

product and place the order; 2 a.m. if they<br />

wanted. Nice displays, wide assortment of<br />

all flooring products but no sales help. Pro<br />

Source is a franchise and as such pays 3<br />

percent of their gross sales to the franchisor<br />

— CCA Global.<br />

They took a tremendous hit during the<br />

downturn. The Pro Source business model<br />

was bludgeoned.<br />

According to the most recent Franchise<br />

Disclosure Document from 2007 to beginning<br />

of 2011, Pro Source had a 37 percent<br />

sales decrease; they had a 27 percent<br />

decline in number of franchise outlets; and<br />

to protect the brand they owned (at the<br />

end of 2010) 19 outlets, of which they were<br />

looking to sell 15 of them to new franchise<br />

owners; the average sale of the existing outlets<br />

went from $3.4 million to $2.7 million<br />

per outlet. (Three Pro Source outlets were<br />

closed in Oregon/Washington.)<br />

The Pro Source model is built on high<br />

volume, lower gross margins than conventional<br />

retail stores and commensurate<br />

lower cost of operations — they don’t give<br />

the same kind of personal customer service<br />

as retail stores and their outlets are in business<br />

districts or those areas with much lower<br />

occupancy cost. As long as the sales were<br />

roaring, this was a great business but with the<br />

downturn, its flaws were too apparent.<br />

Over time, it became apparent that there<br />

was a need for sales people. The fact is their<br />

“customers” knew precious little about flooring<br />

and so the self-serve system became a<br />

selling system with sales force ever present.<br />

Did the gross margin increase to pay for these<br />

additional costs?<br />

Pro Source has decided to test kitchen<br />

cabinets to expand their product mix and<br />

attract new “professional” customers. (We<br />

are not sure the allure of kitchen cabinets to<br />

a flooring outlet, but Floor and Décor just<br />

added kitchen cabinets to its assortment.)<br />

Ultimately, a business model built on<br />

high volume and fairly low margin works<br />

only in the best of times. Our industry is<br />

littered with retailers and contract houses


July 23/30, 2012<br />

2011 Import/Export<br />

Table 8<br />

U.S. floor covering imports value<br />

(in millions)<br />

Industry Sector 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Carpet & area rugs 1 $2,257.7(R) $2,039.8(R) $1,580.8(R) $1,859.3(R) $2,032.8<br />

Hardwood flooring $313.6(R) $572.8(R) $489.9(R) $632.0(R) $702.3<br />

Ceramic floor & $2,083.6(R) $1,720.7(R) $1,203.4(R) $1,275.8(R) $1,325.2<br />

wall tile<br />

Resilient<br />

Vinyl sheet & floor tile $605.8(R) $687.6(R) $613.8(R) $728.8(R) $764.4<br />

Other resilient 2 $106.1(R) $107.6(R) $95.4(R) $109.6(R) $117.2<br />

Laminates 3 $589.7(R) $453.2(R) $461.9(R) $476.2(R) $419.20<br />

Total imports $5,956.5(R) $5,581.7(R) $4,445.3 (R) $5,081.7(R) $5,361.1<br />

Year-to-year change -4.9%(R) -6.3%(R) -20.4%(R) 14.3% 5.5%<br />

Table 10<br />

U.S. floor covering exports value<br />

(in millions)<br />

Industry Sector 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Carpet & area rugs 1 $1,029.9 $1,102.9 $850.5 $999.2 1,066.6<br />

Hardwood flooring $137.8 $142.7 $102.7 $130.7(R) $136.9<br />

Ceramic floor &<br />

wall tile<br />

$52.3 $56.2 $50.3 $50.3 $52.5<br />

Resilient<br />

Vinyl sheet & floor tile $138.0 $160.9 $141.6 $163.8 $176.8<br />

Other resilient 2 $27.6 $43.3 $34.3 $40.9 $40.4<br />

Total exports $1,385.6 $1,506.0 $1,179.4 $1,384.9(R) $1,473.2<br />

Year-to-year change 4.8% 8.7% -21.7% 17.4% 6.4%<br />

Table 9 Table 11<br />

U.S. floor covering imports volume<br />

(in millions of square feet)<br />

Industry Sector 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Carpet & area rugs 1 2,060.6 1,824.6 1,654.7 1,960.7 1,956.5<br />

Hardwood flooring 152.2 258.3 282.4 330.9(R) 371.4<br />

Ceramic floor & 2,175.9 1,684.4 1,331.8 1,393.2 1,408.7<br />

wall tile<br />

Resilient<br />

Vinyl sheet & floor tile 1503.7 1,481.8 1,247.4 1,335.2 1,251.8<br />

Other resilient 2 196.7(R) 230.3 227.7 213.5 161.9<br />

Laminates 3 550.0 461.9 486.0(R) 522.7(R) 454.8<br />

Total imports 6,639.1 5,941.3 5,230.0(R) 5,756.2(R) 5,605.1<br />

Year-to-year change -8.3% -10.5% -12.0%(R) 10.1%(R) -2.6%<br />

Import Key<br />

1 Includes imports of roll goods, bath mats, area rugs, auto and aircraft carpeting and artificial grass.<br />

2 Includes imports of flooring made of other plastics, cork, linoleum, rubber and other materials.<br />

3 Estimated by Catalina Research, Inc.<br />

R=Revised<br />

U.S. floor covering exports volume<br />

(in millions of square feet)<br />

Industry Sector 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Carpet & area rugs 1 1,050.6 1,091.4 785.3 947.3(R) 1,009.4<br />

Hardwood flooring 62.9 64.5 48.3 56.8(R) 59.1<br />

Ceramic floor & 56.6 61.3 55.6 50.8(R) 53.7<br />

wall tile<br />

Resilient<br />

Vinyl sheet & floor tile 301.2 331.7 310.5 377.6 363.3<br />

Other resilient 2 51.4 91.2 70.9 76.7(R) 74.7<br />

Total exports 1,522.7 1,640.1 1,270.6 1,509.2(R) 1,560.2<br />

Year-to-year change 1.2% 7.7%% -22.5% 18.8%(R) 3.4%<br />

Export Key<br />

1 Includes exports of roll goods, bath mats, area rugs, auto and aircraft carpeting and artificial grass.<br />

2 Includes exports of flooring made of other plastics, linoleum, rubber and other materials.<br />

R=Revised<br />

going gangbusters only to be tripped up by<br />

low margins and sales decreases.<br />

Narrowcasting<br />

Think of the traditional broadcasting networks<br />

in TV — NBC, CBS and ABC. Then<br />

along came cable and satellite and now we<br />

have more cooking channels than broadcast<br />

networks. That’s narrowcasting — a narrow<br />

but more compelling focus. Happened in<br />

magazines, radio and in retail.<br />

Flooring has a small, fairly narrow array<br />

of goods. But narrowcasting has come to our<br />

industry and it is thriving. Lumber Liquidators<br />

(wood and laminate) with 270 stores<br />

and Floor & Décor (ceramic tile, stone, porcelain,<br />

etc.) with 30 stores are the two best<br />

known national multi-store narrowcasters.<br />

The downturn slowed them down but they<br />

are gaining market share in all markets they<br />

serve. In 2011, these two flooring retailers<br />

with very narrow product offerings generated<br />

more than $900 million in sales. (They<br />

both have a very narrow product focus but<br />

otherwise they market differently. Lumber<br />

Liquidators has 1,000 square foot showrooms<br />

with stock in the back; Floor & Décor has<br />

60,000 square foot stores and all inventory is<br />

on the floor.)<br />

The customer’s logic goes like this: The<br />

fewer product types a store carries the better<br />

they know these products as opposed to<br />

the general retailer (Home Depot) or even<br />

the specialty retailer (full-service flooring<br />

store). She gives up one stop shopping (she<br />

wants carpet and wood) for the belief that<br />

she will get the most knowledgeable person<br />

and the best value.<br />

Both of these narrowcasters started out<br />

as product-only retailers. Customers have<br />

pushed them into offering installation.<br />

Both now offer installation done by a third<br />

party (Home Service Store). The pressure<br />

for them to expand their assortment to<br />

carpet will be great. Remember Color Tile?<br />

We suspect that won’t happen very soon<br />

but for some reason Floor and Décor is<br />

now offering kitchen cabinets to its flooring<br />

assortment.<br />

— Jonathan Trivers<br />

What we sell<br />

Continued from page 5<br />

development manager at Canada’s Shnier<br />

(second largest flooring distributor in North<br />

America) was talking about the crosstransfer<br />

(my words, not his) of design from<br />

one substrate to the next. Laminate looks so<br />

much like wood that wood manufacturers<br />

buy laminate samples so their wood can be<br />

more wood like; ceramic tile now has really<br />

cool looking wood plank looks; luxury vinyl<br />

tile looks like ceramic, even with faux grout;<br />

ceramic tile looks like stone; and vinyl looks<br />

like all the above. And with new and different<br />

printing technologies, the crossovers will<br />

continue and expand.<br />

Chilelli is convinced that this is great<br />

news for the flooring retailer. Superior<br />

knowledge of what product is perfect for<br />

what place in the home will become very,<br />

very important. And, with setting materials<br />

products that now have a moisture barrier,<br />

products never before installed in basements<br />

can now be installed without fear of<br />

basements and or slabs.<br />

Never before has training and product<br />

knowledge been so valuable. Now she has<br />

three different product types all with the same<br />

visuals and she doesn’t want to make the<br />

wrong decision. The best trained sales person<br />

wins. Every time. Now more than ever.<br />

Baby boomers buy better and more expensive<br />

goods again.<br />

They are back. And now that they are retiring<br />

they want to buy something really cool<br />

and creative. Just ask Pinterest.com.<br />

She has been frugal long enough. For her,<br />

it’s now or never.<br />

Flooring retailers had best reduce all those<br />

value products and start adding better and<br />

better and better goods to all product categories.<br />

All.<br />

This is true for all retail categories —<br />

clothes to washing machines to roofing<br />

materials to flooring.<br />

Enough said.<br />

— Jonathan Trivers


8<br />

Carpet & Area Rugs<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

Uneven recovery haunts carpet industry<br />

By Janet Herlihy<br />

The carpet industry continued to take one<br />

step forward, half a step back in 2011, but<br />

managed to eke out a slight increase in manufacturers’<br />

sales in the U.S. — sales for 2011<br />

(shipments minus exports plus imports) are<br />

posted at $9.51 billion, compared to $9.39 bil-<br />

Chart 3<br />

Carpet & area rugs market* value and volume<br />

(in billions)<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

$13.21(R)<br />

14.87<br />

$11.87(R)<br />

12.81<br />

$9.29(R)<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales<br />

lion in 2010, according to Catalina research.<br />

Beset by necessary price increases and a shift<br />

in consumer preference, carpet lost market<br />

share, going from 59.7 percent of all flooring<br />

volume sales in 2010 to 58 percent in 2011.<br />

Residential market<br />

The residential carpet market continues to<br />

10.60<br />

$9.39(R)<br />

Square feet<br />

10.69(R)<br />

$9.51<br />

10.22<br />

*Includes roll goods, carpet tile, bathmats, area rugs, auto and aircraft carpeting and artificial grass.<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

R=Revised<br />

struggle. “For the residential carpet business,<br />

the first half was weaker and the second half<br />

was a bit stronger than anticipated,” said Tom<br />

Lape, president of Mohawk’s residential and<br />

commercial businesses. “Overall, the residential<br />

carpet industry had a puny positive increase in<br />

dollars and was down slightly (one and a half to<br />

three percent) in units,” Lape stated.<br />

“The higher end of residential carpet performed<br />

better because the luxury consumer<br />

was ready to remodel and the low end of carpet<br />

was driven by multi-family construction. The<br />

middle was still very tough,” he continued.<br />

According to Ralph Boe, CEO of Beaulieu of<br />

America, “Total demand in residential carpet<br />

stayed fairly weak because of a slow housing<br />

market that is weakened by foreclosures and<br />

short sales, was further depressed as people put<br />

off buying because the price might go lower and<br />

financing is hard to find,” Boe explained.<br />

For carpet manufacturers, slow demand<br />

is further aggravated by continued volatility<br />

of raw materials costs. Boe added, “Lately, we<br />

have seen reduction in cost of the oil, which<br />

has helped for awhile, but it is too hard to<br />

predict the future.”<br />

Randy Merritt, president of Shaw Industries,<br />

agreed, saying, “The residential side of business<br />

in 2011 was still quite a challenge. Consumers<br />

were still sitting on the sidelines. The consumer<br />

pattern was to complete necessary renovation<br />

projects but projects that were considered<br />

improvements to the home were delayed,”<br />

Merritt said, adding, “Unemployment and<br />

consumer confidence continue to be issues.”<br />

The Dixie Group’s high-end Fabrica and<br />

Masland brands performed ahead of the<br />

industry in 2011, contributing to a Dixie<br />

sales increase of 15 percent, according to<br />

the company. “Residentially, the upper end,<br />

design business was much healthier than the<br />

overall retail carpet business,” Kennedy Frierson,<br />

COO of The Dixie Group, said. “Our<br />

wool business continued to grow. In 2010<br />

and 2011, people realized that there was not<br />

going to be a total collapse, so, the upper end<br />

market started coming back.”<br />

Polyester filament increases share<br />

Polyester continued its surge in the residential<br />

carpet industry. “The fiber dynamic<br />

continued to change with filament polyester<br />

growing at the expense of staple yarns of<br />

nylon, polypropylene and polyester,” Boe said.<br />

Merritt added, “Just as we saw in nylon, polyester<br />

staple is giving way to filament replacements.<br />

Without question, the predominant<br />

face fibers in carpet today are nylon filament<br />

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July 23/30, 2012 Carpet & Area Rugs 9<br />

Chart 4<br />

Carpet & area rugs imports* value and volume<br />

(in billions)<br />

3.0<br />

2.4<br />

1.8<br />

1.2<br />

0.6<br />

0<br />

$2.26(R)<br />

2.06<br />

$2.04(R)<br />

1.82<br />

$1.58(R)<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales Square feet<br />

1.65<br />

$1.86(R)<br />

1.96<br />

$2.03<br />

1.96<br />

*Includes imports of roll goods, bathmats, area rugs, auto and aircraft carpeting and artificial grass.<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

R=Revised<br />

and polyester filament. At some point in the<br />

future, these two fibers could near equilibrium.<br />

The result may be 60 percent nylon, 40 percent<br />

polyester or vice versa, but both fibers will play<br />

important roles in the future of carpeting.”<br />

While PET has moved into the residential<br />

market, it doesn’t seem likely to be accepted<br />

in the specified commercial business. “We’ve<br />

built Interface on durable materials for<br />

performance purposes,” stated John Wells,<br />

president and CEO of Interface Americas.<br />

“In our testing, polyester doesn’t fit commercial<br />

applications because it’s more suited to<br />

residential and light traffic applications.”<br />

But according to Frierson, PET dominates<br />

the under $10 per square yard segment and<br />

continues to grow in 2012. “As long as the cost<br />

difference between nylon and PET stays as great<br />

as it is, PET will continue to grow,” he said.<br />

Lape added that Mohawk research shows<br />

that “three out of four RSA’s (retail sales associates)<br />

who sell PET filament carpet would not<br />

put it in their own homes. We need to know<br />

how the consumer sees it (PET filament carpet)<br />

and be sure they know what they are getting, or<br />

it could backlash on the industry.”<br />

Commercial market<br />

Although, Catalina reports that soft surface<br />

flooring declined from 42.8 percent in 2010 to<br />

41.6 percent of total commercial market dollar<br />

sales in 2011, commercial was the saving grace<br />

for many carpet manufacturers.<br />

Merritt of Shaw, said, “Led by strength<br />

in the carpet tile business, the commercial<br />

carpet market remained robust in 2011.<br />

On the commercial side, we saw continued<br />

strength in corporate and healthcare segments,<br />

and retail store and hospitality began<br />

to show signs of recovery that have definitely<br />

carried over into 2012.”<br />

Interface Americas posted record sales in<br />

2011, according to John Wells, president and<br />

CEO of the leading modular manufacturer.<br />

“The corporate and education markets were<br />

especially strong for Interface in 2011,” Wells<br />

noted, adding, “The greatest challenges, for<br />

the past few years, have been anticipating<br />

customer needs in an unpredictable macroeconomic<br />

downturn.”<br />

Lape reported, “Specified was stronger<br />

in the front half and weaker in the second<br />

half. For the year, commercial outperformed<br />

residential, mainly because projects on the<br />

drawing board since 2008, 2009 and 2010<br />

were finally funded. The global market was<br />

reasonably robust, mainly with the export of<br />

2011 key points<br />

The carpet and rug industry gained slightly<br />

in dollars but lost slightly in volume in<br />

2011, compared to 2010. Sales were up<br />

to $9.51 billion compared to $9.39 billion<br />

in 2010, but square feet slid from 2010’s<br />

10.69 billion to 10.22 billion in 2011.<br />

Filament fi ber — primarily nylon and<br />

polyester — continue to replace staple<br />

fi ber yarns used in the carpet and rug<br />

industry. PET fi lament continues to grow<br />

its share of the residential market, but<br />

nylon continues to hold its own in the<br />

commercial industry. The new and improved<br />

PET fi lament has allowed carpet<br />

manufacturers to hit a more popular<br />

price point in residential but some in<br />

the industry fear a backlash if some PET<br />

products are not made well enough to<br />

meet consumer satisfaction.<br />

carpet tile, and that continues in 2012. Carpet<br />

tile is fast approaching 50 percent of the commercial<br />

carpet market.”<br />

Frierson added, “On the commercial side<br />

of Dixie’s business, we saw the corporate<br />

segment break loose a bit. We attributed<br />

that to the federal 100 percent tax deduction<br />

for capital expenditures in 2011 that<br />

accelerated spending.”<br />

Continued on page 10<br />

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10<br />

Carpet & Area Rugs<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

Rugs continue slow recovery<br />

By Janet Herlihy<br />

While far from a banner year, 2011 saw<br />

some recovery in the area rug market. Total<br />

market sales, calculated from a compilation<br />

of estimates, indicates an increase in area<br />

rug manufacturers’ sales for 2011 of about 6<br />

percent to $2.01 billion overall compared to<br />

2010’s $1.90 billion.<br />

Because rugs are manufactured in every<br />

material from silk, wool, cotton, natural<br />

grasses and leather to every synthetic fiber<br />

known and are available in hand made and<br />

machine made constructions, it is a difficult<br />

category to quantify. In addition, most rugs<br />

are imported and tracked in a myriad of<br />

ways. Statistics from the U.S. Department<br />

of Commerce combine carpets and rugs,<br />

Chart 5<br />

Area rugs market value<br />

(sales in billions)<br />

$3.0<br />

$2.5<br />

$2.0<br />

$1.5<br />

$1.0<br />

$0.5<br />

$0.0<br />

$2.25<br />

$2.05<br />

$1.80<br />

$1.90(E)<br />

$2.01(E)<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: U.S. Customs Bureau and FCW research<br />

E-Estimated<br />

including roll goods, bath mats, area rugs,<br />

auto and aircraft carpeting and artificial grass<br />

all in one statistic. Distribution for rugs is as<br />

diverse as its product lines.<br />

Catalina Research reported that while battling<br />

the same volatile raw materials costs and<br />

weak demand as broadloom, area rugs got a<br />

boost from the trend to hard surface flooring as<br />

consumers often added a rug to their new hard<br />

surface floor. Rugs also benefited by being a low<br />

cost way to refresh the look of a room.<br />

Most of the increase was estimated to<br />

come from sales of imported products, which,<br />

including carpet, were up from $1.86 billion<br />

in 2010 to $2.03 billion in 2011, according to<br />

Catalina. Rugs are estimated to account for<br />

60 to 70 percent of that total.<br />

In many ways, the area rug business is the<br />

opposite of the wall-to-wall carpet business.<br />

Most broadloom sold in the U.S., is made in<br />

the U.S., while most area rugs sold here are<br />

imported. While wool accounts for a low<br />

single digit percent of all U.S. broadloom,<br />

industry sources estimated that more than 90<br />

percent of imported hand knotted and hand<br />

tufted rugs are made of wool.<br />

Challenges<br />

The greatest challenge in 2011 continued<br />

to be price pressure brought about by a combination<br />

of forces, according to Bill Kilbride,<br />

president of Mohawk Home. “First, the U.S.<br />

economy is not fully recovered, so getting the<br />

consumer to spend disposable income on rugs<br />

is an issue,” Kilbride explained. “Those consumers,<br />

who are shopping, are on a quest for<br />

value,” he said. The second issue is the price of<br />

raw materials, whether up or down. “If those<br />

prices increase, it is virtually impossible to reprice<br />

your product, but, if they go down, customers<br />

expect our prices to go down,” he noted.<br />

For importers, conditions in countries<br />

where rugs are made and the cost of shipping<br />

added to the challenge. “Last year was a perfect<br />

storm, where the housing market, as well<br />

as the overall economy, did not show any<br />

signs of relief, while our industry in general<br />

was hit with price increases due to higher cost<br />

of raw materials and labor,” said Alex Peykar,<br />

principal of Nourison.<br />

Aaron Gray, director of marketing for<br />

Oriental Weavers/Sphinx, agreed that the<br />

ever-increasing cost of raw materials is the<br />

greatest challenge as it “obviously eats at our<br />

overall margins.”<br />

Ron Couri, president and CEO of Couristan,<br />

noted, “The greatest challenge was to drive<br />

sales. We introduced 67 new rugs in January,<br />

but the tough part is getting stores to commit.<br />

Our residential area rugs and broadloom businesses<br />

are seeing up ticks, but not as great as our<br />

hospitality business. In our rug business, hand<br />

knotted rugs are the slowest, while outdoor<br />

rugs are growing fastest,” Couri stated.<br />

In terms of channels of distribution, Couri<br />

added, “Department stores, internet retail and<br />

catalogs are performing the best for us. Macy<br />

has reset 180 stores with fresh rugs this year.”<br />

Couristan is looking to broaden distribution<br />

even more, according to Couri. “In rugs,<br />

we are looking at new distribution in home<br />

centers and are considering big boxes too.”<br />

Signs of a better 2012?<br />

Continuing the pattern of the past few years,<br />

the start of 2012 is looking better. Virtually all<br />

2011 key points<br />

Area rugs continued to contend with price<br />

pressure at all levels of the market, but<br />

managed to increase sales by about 6<br />

percent, generated by consumers choosing<br />

a value-priced rug to freshen a room<br />

or accent a new hard surface fl oor.<br />

Competition from imports may be lessening<br />

as labor costs in China and India rise<br />

as well as shipping costs. Currency rates<br />

are also favoring domestic production.<br />

Fashion and innovation are critical as rug<br />

manufacturers win sales with new kinds<br />

of products such as outdoor rugs and explore<br />

new channels of distribution.<br />

the rug suppliers FCW spoke with reported<br />

sales in the first quarter running ahead of the<br />

same period a year ago. Nourison’s first quarter<br />

sales are up 5 percent, according to Peykar<br />

and the company is striving for a double-digit<br />

increase for the year.<br />

In the first quarter, OW was slightly<br />

ahead compared to 2011, as Gray sees more<br />

optimism in the marketplace and expects<br />

that momentum to carry on the rest of the<br />

year. “We are being aggressive in introducing<br />

new products and bringing them to<br />

market,” he added.<br />

Despite escalating raw materials costs<br />

and soft demand, Jeff Brown, division vice<br />

president for Shaw Living, noted a few<br />

bright spots, saying, “New collections and<br />

constructions were well received by customer<br />

base,” and “Comps were better in<br />

the first quarter of 2012 than the previous<br />

year.” Still, Brown cautioned the industry<br />

to “Expect to see slowdown and more<br />

worry about consumer demand,” in the<br />

second half. FCW<br />

Uneven<br />

Continued from page 9<br />

Balancing cost increases, lower demand<br />

During the recession and into an anemic,<br />

uneven recovery, the carpet industry has done<br />

everything possible to serve its customers and<br />

survive. Mills shuttered excess capacity and<br />

cut back labor forces, but all the cost cutting<br />

could not make up for increases in the cost of<br />

raw materials.<br />

“There is no question that over the last five<br />

years, even in this recessionary environment,<br />

manufacturers have experienced a rise in raw<br />

material costs,” Merritt explained. “Certainly<br />

these prices rise and fall over time but the<br />

overall trend has been up. As costs rise, we have<br />

to also consider the first rule of marketing —<br />

supply and demand.”<br />

Even with a highly specialized product,<br />

Interface experienced the same situation.<br />

“We’ve had to pass along cost increases,<br />

where appropriate, to our customers. To<br />

balance raw materials costs, we’re also<br />

constantly driving product innovation and<br />

Chart 6<br />

Carpet & area rugs exports* value and volume<br />

(in billions)<br />

1.5<br />

1.2<br />

0.9<br />

0.6<br />

0.3<br />

0<br />

$1.03<br />

1.05<br />

design.” said Wells.<br />

$1.10<br />

1.09(R)<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales<br />

$0.85<br />

2012 and beyond<br />

The carpet industry sees reasons for<br />

optimism in 2012. “Retail sales continue<br />

0.79<br />

$1.00<br />

Square feet<br />

0.95<br />

$1.07<br />

1.01<br />

*Includes exports of roll goods, bathmats, area rugs, auto and aircraft carpeting and artificial grass.<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

R=Revised<br />

to be a challenge through every channel,”<br />

Merritt noted. Still, “The new single family<br />

home business has shown some signs of life<br />

and they now believe we will see roughly<br />

369,000 new homes sold in 2012. This<br />

would be nominally a 20 percent increase<br />

over last year, still far from healthy but<br />

better. As we look to the fall, we of course<br />

have the election issues to deal with. Historically,<br />

this has a dampening effect on<br />

the fall business, but once we are past that<br />

event, I look for better things in 2013.”<br />

Lape at Mohawk added, “So far, 2012 has<br />

not been as robust for the residential carpet<br />

market as expected,” he said. “Still there are<br />

positive signs — gas prices were going down,<br />

there is credit available and the builder<br />

market is growing, although nowhere near<br />

the numbers before the recession.”<br />

Boe said that so far in 2012, business<br />

has been start and stop. “We had a surge<br />

in April, May and slowed down again in<br />

June,” he noted.<br />

Dixie is looking to a stronger second half<br />

in 2012. Frierson said, “So far in 2012, residential<br />

started out great in January, then each<br />

month since has been disappointing. We still<br />

have had some growth, but it’s at the upper<br />

end of the business and not as good as it was<br />

in 2011. We think the second half will be<br />

better, but not until after the election.” FCW


July 23/30, 2012 Carpet & Area Rugs 11<br />

Chart 7<br />

Carpet & area rug purchases by end-use market<br />

(Total: $9.51 billion)<br />

21.0%<br />

7.4%<br />

2.2%<br />

3.7%<br />

0.3%<br />

65.4%<br />

Residential replacement<br />

$6.22 billion<br />

Commerical replacement<br />

$2.00 billion<br />

Transportation<br />

$0.70 billion<br />

Commerical new construction<br />

$0.35 billion<br />

Residential contract<br />

$0.21 billion<br />

Manufactured housing<br />

$0.02 billion<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

Wells: In trying to balance increased costs<br />

and raising prices, we also place emphasis on<br />

our ReEntry Recycling Process where we’re<br />

taking back more used carpet and recycling<br />

— turning backing into new backing plus<br />

face fi ber into new face fi ber. Using more<br />

recycled materials helps us minimize the<br />

dependency on virgin, petrochemical based,<br />

raw materials for the short and long term.<br />

Frierson: Balancing increased costs with<br />

declining sales is a juggling act. It’s a very hard<br />

issue to solve — much lower volume with<br />

higher raw materials and other costs — and<br />

get back to a normal return.<br />

Merritt: I think there are some segments<br />

where this trend may be continuing, such as<br />

in new construction in apartments, where<br />

more living space is being converted to<br />

laminate or LVT while the bedrooms remain<br />

carpeted. This trend may be occurring in<br />

certain segments of the fl ooring market but<br />

it’s certainly not an overall market trend.<br />

In commercial, carpet continues to hold its<br />

own or grow share. And while we’re seeing<br />

a trend toward smaller homes, people still<br />

want three or four bedrooms and these are<br />

still carpet in the majority of spaces. I just am<br />

not sure carpet is continuing to lose square<br />

foot share.<br />

Perspective<br />

Carpet industry leaders Tom Lape, president<br />

of Mohawk’s residential and commercial<br />

businesses; Randy Merritt, president of Shaw<br />

Industries; Ralph Boe, CEO of Beaulieu of<br />

America; John Wells, president and CEO of<br />

Interface Americas; and Kennedy Frierson,<br />

COO of The Dixie Group, share views on<br />

challenges and strategies.<br />

What can manufacturers do to answer<br />

today’s greatest challenges?<br />

Lape: Carpet manufacturers are faced with the<br />

challenge of how to reverse the trend away<br />

from carpet. Carpet price increases in 2011<br />

are thought to have pushed some consumers<br />

to choose hard surface because, while still less<br />

expensive than most hard surface fl ooring,<br />

the cost difference was less than in the past.<br />

We have got to excite the consumer with<br />

innovation and exceed their expectations.<br />

Boe: The decreased market share of carpet<br />

versus hard surface fl ooring for the past fi ve<br />

years comes down to fashion. Consumers will<br />

have to become passionate about soft surface<br />

fl ooring again. Carpet is clearly preferred for<br />

bedrooms, where consumers want softness<br />

under foot. Carpet is also the value leader.<br />

Chart 8<br />

Carpet & area rugs market<br />

average value per square foot<br />

$1.0<br />

$0.8<br />

$0.6<br />

$0.4<br />

$0.2<br />

$0.0<br />

$.89<br />

$.93(R)<br />

$.88(R)<br />

$.88<br />

$.93<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

R-Revised<br />

When<br />

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12<br />

Wood<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

Hardwood grows despite economy, housing market<br />

By Mallory Cruise<br />

The hardwood industry experienced a slight<br />

sales growth in 2011, with hardwood dollar<br />

sales rising 4.3 percent to $1.82 billion<br />

from $1.74 billion in 2010, according to<br />

Catalina Research. Industry executives said<br />

that there are a number of reasons for the<br />

increase in sales, and while they are hopeful<br />

that the market will continue to experience<br />

growth, many said that they have realistic<br />

expectations for the second half of this year,<br />

noting that there needs to be improvement<br />

in certain areas of the economy in order for<br />

hardwood sales to see significant growth.<br />

“The hardwood business is in early<br />

recovery and its growth is highly dependent<br />

on the economy and the building market,”<br />

explained Dan Natkin, director of wood and<br />

laminate business, Mannington.<br />

Industry executives said that other factors<br />

fueling growth are an increase in consumer<br />

confidence and lower housing prices.<br />

“Pent up demand is a contributing factor.<br />

People lived with the flooring they had while<br />

the economy was in turmoil,” explained<br />

Michael Martin, CEO, National Wood<br />

Flooring Association (NWFA). “Now that<br />

consumers are more optimistic, they are<br />

making the purchases they had been putting<br />

off. In addition, small gains in the housing<br />

market will have an impact on wood flooring<br />

as well.”<br />

Don Finkell, CEO of Anderson Hardwood,<br />

agreed. “The general economy has been the biggest<br />

factor influencing the hardwood market,<br />

there aren’t enough buyers going into stores.<br />

We are going to continue to try to add value to<br />

our hardwood products and offer lower prices<br />

because we see more price competition in the<br />

market place,” he said.<br />

According to Harry Bogner, senior vice<br />

president of hardwood at Unilin (a Mohawk<br />

Industries Company), “During 2011, the<br />

industry as a whole faced the challenges of<br />

slow to flat recovery in new home and replacement/remodel<br />

sales as well as increased raw<br />

material and energy prices. This resulted in the<br />

flat-to-slow industry growth rates that experts<br />

had predicted.”<br />

In order to meet pressures brought on by<br />

the economy, Unilin launched new products<br />

in 2011. “Mohawk and Columbia fared better<br />

than the overall hardwood industry during<br />

2011. We entered 2011 with the right mix of<br />

competitively priced products for each of the<br />

different audiences that our brands target,”<br />

Bogner added.<br />

Mannington’s Natkin said that ultimately<br />

it comes down to price versus raw material.<br />

“We’re starting to see an increase in price<br />

on the raw material side. Builders, in order<br />

to qualify people into homes, are going to<br />

2011 key points<br />

Hardwood sales increased 4.3 percent in<br />

2011 to $1,824.3 million from $1,749.1<br />

in 2010 and hardwood square-foot sales<br />

increased 4.1 percent to 919 million,<br />

from 882.8 million in 2010.<br />

While hardwood imports grew by 29<br />

percent from 2009 to 2010, industry<br />

executives said that growth is beginning<br />

to slow down. Imports for 2011 were up<br />

11.1 percent in dollar sales to $702.3<br />

million and up 12.2 percent in square<br />

foot sales to 371.4 million.<br />

Hardwood flooring exports were up 4.7<br />

percent in dollar sales in 2011 to $136.9<br />

million and up 4 percent in square foot<br />

sales to 59.1 million.<br />

Hardwood average price per square foot<br />

rose 0.5 percent last year to $1.99 from<br />

$1.98 in 2010. The category experienced<br />

a bigger jump in 2010 when it went up<br />

from $1.87 in 2009. Catalina reported<br />

that the average hardwood pricing per<br />

square foot continues to rise despite low<br />

lumber prices.<br />

Hard surface products, in general, have<br />

been experiencing overall market share<br />

growth taken from wall-to-wall carpet.<br />

Ceramic tile, vinyl sheet and floor tile<br />

and wood flooring have all seen market<br />

share gain. Wood flooring’s 2011 market<br />

share rose 0.2 percent in dollar sales<br />

to 10.2 percent of the flooring market.<br />

Note: Wood flooring sales include hardwood, softwood and bamboo flooring<br />

as well as solid and engineered and unfinished and finished products.


July 23/30, 2012 Wood 13<br />

Chart 9<br />

Hardwood flooring market value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

2,700<br />

2,325<br />

1,950<br />

1,575<br />

1,200<br />

825<br />

450<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

$2,184.2(R)<br />

989.0<br />

$2,101.6(R)<br />

944.5<br />

$1,505.9(R)<br />

803.4<br />

$1,749.1(R)<br />

882.8<br />

$1,824.3<br />

919.0<br />

Market sales Square feet R=Revised Source: Catalina Research<br />

of visuals is good for the industry however<br />

we need a significant increase in demand,”<br />

said Poland.<br />

Import growth slows<br />

Hardwood flooring also witnessed an<br />

increase in imports over the past year, though<br />

not at the rapid pace of previous years.<br />

Import sales were up 11.1 percent to $702.3<br />

million and up 12.2 percent in square foot<br />

sales to 371.4 million.<br />

Goodwin at Armstrong explained that<br />

an increase in costs and decrease in available<br />

materials has had a negative impact on<br />

import sales.<br />

While imports remain a viable part of the<br />

wood market, industry executives have noted a<br />

renewed interest in Made in America products.<br />

“There is a growing passion amongst<br />

consumers, encouraged by today’s media,<br />

of made in the U.S.A. We’ve been talking<br />

with distributors and retailers about the<br />

amount of working capital that they have<br />

to tie up in imported goods, causing long<br />

lead times. We encouraged them to look at<br />

products, like those offered by Shaw, that<br />

can be serviced immediately and don’t<br />

have to tie up so much working capital and<br />

inventory,” said Kevin Thompson, hardwood<br />

category manager at Shaw. FCW<br />

less expensive product. The days of putting<br />

2,000 square feet of hardwood in the home<br />

are gone because it’s the difference between<br />

qualifying for a mortgage and not qualifying<br />

for a mortgage. On the remodel side, it is still<br />

a little weak but there are spurts of growth.<br />

Remodel is critical because wood floors are<br />

what people aspire to but sit back on until<br />

equity in the home grows,” he explained.<br />

Milton Goodwin, vice president product<br />

management, wood, at Armstrong, agreed<br />

saying that any growth in sales is dependent<br />

on new home construction and as that<br />

improves so will hardwood sales.<br />

But, Finkell also pointed to overcapacity<br />

as another issue facing the industry “The<br />

laws of supply and demand cause prices to<br />

go down,” he said.<br />

Even given the challenges facing the<br />

hardwood sector, Jim Gould, president of<br />

the Floor Covering Institute, pointed out<br />

that this category is one of the few product<br />

segments that is seeing growth. “There<br />

is a combination of factors attributing<br />

to hardwood market growth. There is an<br />

improvement with the wood floor itself,<br />

the consumer wants a natural product,”<br />

Gould said. “Hardwood is holding its own<br />

or gaining market share against other categories,<br />

which is what is most important.”<br />

Philip Key, vice president of sales and marketing<br />

at CFS, said he believes that hardwood<br />

options are more expansive today than they<br />

were before the recession, benefiting the consumer<br />

and encouraging growth.<br />

“Smart companies really looked at their<br />

product offering and enhanced it, so today’s<br />

homeowners who are ready to purchase a<br />

hardwood floor have great options to choose<br />

from that they didn’t necessarily have before<br />

the recession,” he said.<br />

In fact, Mullican Flooring has upped<br />

its product offering considerably, according<br />

to Mullican president Neil Poland.<br />

He said that while expansions in product<br />

offerings are an advantage , there needs to<br />

be a growth in consumer confidence when<br />

it comes to spending.<br />

“We are manufacturing 100 percent<br />

more styles and colors (SKUS) versus 2007<br />

therefore it is very challenging to control<br />

production costs, sampling costs and marketing<br />

expenses. Overall the diversification<br />

To make the best<br />

flooring, we employ<br />

the best technology.<br />

Our eyes.<br />

With decades of experience, our wood flooring experts<br />

have the most highly trained eyes in the industry. Because<br />

of them, only the finest quality boards make it into a Mirage<br />

box. And your showroom. Our commitment to perfection is<br />

what keeps you voting us #1 in quality year after year.<br />

MIRAGE PREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORS


Chart 10<br />

Hardwood purchases by end-use market<br />

(Total: $1,824.3 million)<br />

0.20%<br />

Hardwood flooring market exports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

180<br />

150<br />

120<br />

90<br />

60<br />

30<br />

0<br />

10.5%<br />

Chart 11<br />

$137.8<br />

8.8%<br />

62.9<br />

4.1%<br />

58.9%<br />

17.5%<br />

$142.7<br />

64.5<br />

Market sales<br />

$102.7<br />

Residential builder<br />

$319.3 million<br />

Residential replacement<br />

$1,075.0 million<br />

Manufactured housing<br />

$3.1 million<br />

Commercial new construction<br />

$191.6 million<br />

Commercial replacement<br />

$160.5 million<br />

Transportation<br />

$74.8 million<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

48.3<br />

Square feet<br />

$130.7(R)<br />

56.8(R)<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

$136.9<br />

59.1<br />

R=Revised<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

Chart 12<br />

Hardwood flooring market average value<br />

per square foot<br />

$3.00<br />

$2.50<br />

$2.00<br />

$1.50<br />

$0.0<br />

Chart 13<br />

Hardwood flooring market imports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

$313.6(R)<br />

$2.21 $2.23(R)<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

R=Revised Source: Catalina Research<br />

152.2<br />

$572.8(R)<br />

258.3<br />

$1.87(R) $1.98(R) $1.99<br />

$489.9(R)<br />

282.4<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales Square feet<br />

R=Revised<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

$632.0(R)<br />

330.9(R)<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

$702.3<br />

371.4


July 23/30, 2012 Wood 15<br />

Perspective<br />

Top industry executives Dan Natkin, director<br />

of wood and laminate business, Mannington<br />

Mills; Jim Gould, president of the Floor Covering<br />

Institute; Michael Martin, CEO of the National<br />

Wood Flooring Association (NWFA); Don<br />

Finkell, CEO, Anderson Hardwood Floors; Harry<br />

Bogner, senior vice president of hardwood, Unilin<br />

Flooring; Milton Goodwin, vice president product<br />

management, wood Armstrong; Kevin Thompson,<br />

hardwood category manager at Shaw; and Neil<br />

Poland, president, Mullican Flooring, talk about<br />

the state of the hardwood industry and where<br />

the areas of opportunity can be found.<br />

Poland: The greatest challenge for us as a<br />

manufacturer is the increasing demand for variety<br />

from consumers, builders and interior designers.<br />

What are the bright spots in the<br />

hardwood industry?<br />

Natkin: There are early signs that new home<br />

construction is slightly on the rise; big builders<br />

are slightly bullish but still fragile.<br />

Gould: I think the brightest spots in hardwood<br />

fl ooring have been the improvements in<br />

product quality and installation methods.<br />

Eliminating formaldehyde and reducing VOCs is<br />

also being addressed.<br />

Martin: A bright spot in the industry is that<br />

we’re seeing the fi rst real gains that we’ve seen<br />

in the past fi ve years.<br />

Finkell: We’re starting to see some markets<br />

(mid-Atlantic, south-west, mid-west) experience<br />

improvement. Another bright spot is we have<br />

historically low mortgage rates (down to less<br />

than 5 percent.)<br />

Bogner: Consumers are continuing to demand<br />

products with a strong price/value relationship.<br />

Our company’s leading-edge manufacturing<br />

technologies will continue to enable our Mohawk<br />

and Columbia brands to offer stunning products<br />

at a competitive price.<br />

Thompson: I think we’re in a very conservative<br />

growth mode. I have seen a couple of industry<br />

projections that show a very gradual, modest<br />

increase, maybe 5 percent or less over the next<br />

three to fi ve years.<br />

Poland: One bright spot is the increased demand<br />

for maple, hickory, and, in general, species other<br />

than oak. A second bright spot is handsculpted<br />

and other surface textures are experiencing<br />

signifi cant growth within the wood segment.<br />

What was the biggest challenge for<br />

hardwood sales growth over the past year?<br />

Natkin: Price is at an all-time low for hardwood,<br />

raw material is an infl ationary profi t. There isn’t<br />

the ability to leverage a price increase because<br />

of excess capacity and increased competition.<br />

Gould: The biggest challenge to sales growth is<br />

the economy. Wood flooring is considered a longterm<br />

investment and when the economy is not<br />

stable or people are not secure in their jobs, they<br />

don’t want to make that long term investment.<br />

Commoditization is an industry challenge, not<br />

necessarily a challenge limited to hardwood.<br />

Martin: Raw material shortages. Since lumber<br />

prices were so low, many forest owners chose<br />

not to harvest, so that led to raw material<br />

shortages. In addition, Lacey affected imports,<br />

which have dropped in recent years.<br />

TOMORROW ’ S SUCCESS<br />

begins today.<br />

Finkell: The rest of this year will continue to be<br />

diffi cult but we expect to see improvement<br />

next year. I think, to me, it’s still all about<br />

foreclosures. One positive we’re seeing is<br />

foreclosures getting processed, so I think until<br />

they work through the foreclosures and get<br />

those incredibly cheap houses out of market,<br />

I don’t see how housing can recover.<br />

Bogner: In response to the economic turbulence<br />

of the past few years, those consumers who<br />

were worried by the unfamiliar economic dip,<br />

many times, continued during 2011, to simply<br />

purchase the cheapest fl ooring they could fi nd,<br />

just to get something on the fl oor.<br />

Goodwin: The biggest challenge continues<br />

to be a decline in total volume due to the<br />

decline in the housing industry. There are a<br />

lot of players vying for a smaller pie. That puts<br />

pressure on pricing.<br />

Thompson: Continued slow growth in new<br />

home construction — that has been the biggest<br />

challenge. Also, economic uncertainty. Gasoline<br />

prices have come down, but I think all the<br />

key indicators from an economic standpoint<br />

continue to affect all of fl oor covering and with<br />

hardwood being the largest ticket item of all<br />

fl oor covering options, it makes it the one that<br />

may have suffered the most.<br />

Mohawk understands the demands of your business. We offer all the tools<br />

you need to differentiate your store, increase your traffic, and grow your<br />

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CARPET | HARDWOOD | LAMINATE | TILE | AREA RUGS


16<br />

Tile & Stone<br />

Tile & stone inch ahead<br />

By Tanja Kern<br />

2011 tile and stone numbers showed that<br />

the U.S. really is seeing the “beginning of the<br />

end” of the recession.<br />

Ceramic tile dollar sales increased by 6<br />

percent to $2.21 billion, while square foot<br />

sales rose by 4.5 percent to 2.08 billion — the<br />

highest rate for any flooring material. Stone<br />

sales were up 0.2 percent to $1.06 billion —<br />

and square foot sales nudged up 0.57 percent<br />

to 261.5 million square feet.<br />

“It was not a great year, but we have already<br />

hit bottom, and we are a little bit ahead of<br />

before,” said Donato Grosser, consultant to<br />

the tile industry and owner of D. Grosser &<br />

Associates, Ltd.<br />

As the overall economy recovered in 2011,<br />

manufacturers felt confident enough to pass<br />

along rising material, energy and transportation<br />

costs to consumers, but price competitiveness<br />

actually improved for ceramic tile<br />

because the sector experienced only moderate<br />

raw material cost increases.<br />

The average square foot price stayed steady<br />

in 2011 — up just a penny. According to<br />

Catalina Research, average square foot selling<br />

prices stood at $1.06 per square foot in 2011<br />

with the category gaining market share — 12.4<br />

percent of total U.S. floor covering dollar sales.<br />

As the struggling housing market shows<br />

signs of improvement, there has been a reversal<br />

in the six-year trend in smaller home sizes,<br />

according to the American Institute of Architects.<br />

This is the case for custom and luxury<br />

homes, as well as for additions to existing<br />

homes. A preference for outdoor living, especially<br />

blended indoor/outdoor living, continues<br />

to increase. These consumer preferences<br />

are opening more doors for natural stone and<br />

high quality porcelain tiles.<br />

Segment breakdown<br />

The current administration’s recent housing<br />

scorecard shows signs of burgeoning<br />

stability in the housing market, with home<br />

equity numbers rising 7.4 percent between<br />

the fourth quarter of 2011 and the first quarter<br />

of 2012. The scorecard, which is compiled<br />

by the U.S. Department of Housing and<br />

Urban Development, the Obama administration<br />

and Treasury, noted that home equity<br />

rose $457.1 billion in the first quarter of 2012.<br />

Catalina Research market segment analysis<br />

showed that homeowners are investing in<br />

their homes with 41 percent of ceramic tile<br />

sales going to residential replacement in 2011.<br />

“Last year was better commercially and we<br />

are seeing some movement in hospitality,<br />

multi-family housing and retail,” said Lori<br />

Kirk-Rolley, senior marketing director for<br />

Dal-Tile. “I think that there is a lot of pent up<br />

demand and we are seeing a lot of that on our<br />

national accounts, on the retail side and with<br />

large retailers.”<br />

Non-residential construction accounted<br />

for 25 percent of the tile market. The commercial<br />

contract market held 19 percent of<br />

the tile market.<br />

“The commercial market is where we<br />

are seeing the growth for Florida Tile,” said<br />

Florida Tile marketing director Sean Cilona.<br />

“The hospitality and healthcare segments are<br />

doing pretty well and those smaller commercial<br />

jobs — those types where people are<br />

installing tile as a replacement floor coverings<br />

are also doing well.”<br />

Gianni Mattioli, president of Marazzi USA,<br />

added, “We are already established in the<br />

residential remodeling market and business<br />

is picking up, but the commercial markets are<br />

where we have made a lot of key investments<br />

in people, marketing and technology.”<br />

Import/Export<br />

Although imports still comprise the majority<br />

of U.S. consumption, due to the U.S. dollar<br />

losing value to the Euro, import market penetration<br />

has fallen in each of the last five years.<br />

In 2011, imports accounted for 69.2 percent of<br />

U.S. ceramic tile consumption — the lowest it<br />

has been since 1998, according to Eric Astrachan,<br />

executive director of the Tile Council of<br />

North America (TCNA). “As you can see, we<br />

are moving in the right direction,” he said.<br />

There are six Italian-owned tile plants in the<br />

United States — Marazzi USA with three locations,<br />

Florim USA, Iris-Stonepeak and Florida<br />

Tile. According to Ceramics of Italy, the Italian<br />

tile association, those plants make up 50 percent<br />

of U.S. ceramic tile production. “These companies<br />

invested in the United State due mainly to<br />

weaknesses in the dollar,” Grosser said.<br />

2011 key points<br />

Sales remained on the rise as consumers<br />

continue to turn to hard surface flooring.<br />

Ceramic tile value increased by 6.3 percent<br />

to $2.21 billion, while volume rose<br />

by 4.5 percent to $2.08 billion.<br />

While imports still comprise the majority<br />

of U.S. consumption and sales of imports<br />

continue to grow (by 3.8 percent in 2011,<br />

according to Catalina) the TCNA said that<br />

imported product’s market share in comparison<br />

to domestically made tile declined<br />

over the last five years to 69.2 percent.<br />

Look ahead<br />

Despite the lingering effects of an overbuilt<br />

housing market, the continued difficulty<br />

to obtain financing for real estate projects,<br />

budget shortfalls and the anxiety surrounding<br />

the prolonged European debt crisis, there<br />

are signs that the U.S. design and construction<br />

industry will be improving and with it,<br />

along with tile and stone industry.<br />

Improved price competitiveness and<br />

consumers’ overall rising preference for hard<br />

surface flooring has already helped ceramic<br />

tile experience some of the strongest industry<br />

gains in the first half of 2012.<br />

Ceramic tile sales (shipments minus exports<br />

plus imports) are estimated to increase by 6.5<br />

percent in square feet and 7.7 percent in dollars<br />

in the first half of 2012 over the previous year,<br />

according to Catalina’s second quarter report<br />

for 2012. This could push ceramic tile square<br />

foot sales to account for 12.3 percent of total<br />

U.S. floor coverings square foot sales in the first<br />

half, and 12.7 percent on a dollar basis. FCW<br />

Chart 14<br />

Ceramic tile market value and volume<br />

(in billions)<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

$2.83 (R)<br />

2.66<br />

$2.51 (R)<br />

2.26<br />

$1.91 (R)<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

1.85 (R)<br />

$2.08 (R)<br />

1.99<br />

$2.21<br />

2.08<br />

Chart 16<br />

Stone market value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

$1,689<br />

436.4<br />

$1,408<br />

351.6<br />

$1,079<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

270.8<br />

$1,062<br />

260.0<br />

$1,064<br />

261.5<br />

Chart 15<br />

Market sales<br />

Square feet<br />

Ceramic tile imports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

3,000<br />

Source: Catalina Research R=Revised<br />

Market sales Square feet<br />

Chart 17<br />

Ceramic tile export value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

80<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

$ 2,084 (R)<br />

2,176<br />

$1,721 (R)<br />

1,684<br />

$1,203 (R)<br />

1,332<br />

$1,276 (R)<br />

1,393<br />

$1,325<br />

1,409<br />

66<br />

52<br />

38<br />

24<br />

$52.3<br />

56.6<br />

$56.2<br />

61.3<br />

$50.3<br />

55.6<br />

$50.3<br />

50.8(R)<br />

$52.5<br />

53.7<br />

0<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

10<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales<br />

Volume<br />

Source: Catalina Research R=Revised<br />

Market sales<br />

Volume<br />

Source: Catalina Research


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18<br />

Tile & Stone<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

Perspective<br />

Sean Cilona, marketing director for Florida<br />

Tile; Gianni Mattioli, president of Marazzi<br />

USA; Lindsey Waldrep, VP of Marketing<br />

for Crossville; Granitifi andre & Iris Group<br />

President and CEO Graziano Verdi; and Lori<br />

Kirk-Rolley, senior marketing director for Dal-<br />

Tile discuss today’s market conditions.<br />

What trends are driving growth today?<br />

Cilona: Stone is an expensive, higher-end product,<br />

but we’re defi nitely seeing demand for natural<br />

stone, like our PietraArt, Stone is a product that<br />

has a long lifespan and the versatility is endless.<br />

Mattioli: We continue to focus on new products,<br />

new technology and new sizes. We have invested<br />

highly in the inkjet and high-defi nition technology.<br />

The wood look also seems to be very popular.<br />

Verde: We’re convinced that the green economy<br />

is important not only due to the ethical value of<br />

environmental awareness and construction of<br />

an eco-sustainable world in today’s society but<br />

also because of the economic opportunities<br />

and new business potential it has to offer.<br />

Granitifi andre uses natural elements to recreate<br />

some of the world’s best-known marbles<br />

without the consequences for the environment<br />

that come with extracting quarried marble.<br />

Kirk-Rolley: While we’re seeing our growth<br />

being driven on the residential remodeling<br />

side, we are seeing a pickup in business in new<br />

home construction and commercial projects.<br />

Waldrep: We’ve always been strong in the<br />

architectural market and our new launch Laminam<br />

by Crossville is a full line of lean profile, large<br />

format porcelain products through an exclusive<br />

distribution agreement with Italian manufacturer<br />

Laminam, a division of Systems Group. .<br />

Chart 18<br />

Ceramic tile average value<br />

per square foot<br />

$1.15<br />

$1.10<br />

$1.05<br />

$1.06<br />

$1.14<br />

$1.05<br />

$1.06<br />

$0.0<br />

$1.03<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

Chart 19<br />

Ceramic tile by<br />

end-use market<br />

($2.21 billion) 0.2%<br />

19%<br />

14.6%<br />

25.1%<br />

40.7%<br />

Chart 20<br />

$4.12<br />

0.4%<br />

Residential builders: $323 million<br />

Residential replacement: $899 million<br />

Manufactured housing: $9 million<br />

Commercial new construction: $555 million<br />

Commercial replacement: $420 million<br />

Transportation: $4 million<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

Stone average value per<br />

square foot<br />

$4.00<br />

$4.00<br />

$4.08<br />

$3.98<br />

$4.07<br />

$3.85<br />

$3.87<br />

$0.0<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: Catalina Research


July 23/30, 2012<br />

Laminate<br />

19<br />

Flatline: 2011 highs, lows<br />

By Raymond Pina<br />

The U.S. laminate floor wholesale market<br />

essentially remained flat in 2011, growing<br />

just 0.13 percent in value due to rising prices<br />

while declining 0.82 percent in volume,<br />

according to Catalina Research.<br />

The category’s wholesale value and average<br />

square foot pricing stopped declining, and<br />

domestic products overtook imports for the<br />

first time since 2008. But sales volume was<br />

dominated by the home center channel and<br />

continues to decline due to pressure from<br />

vinyl and engineered wood flooring. What’s<br />

more, this trend is continuing through 2012,<br />

according to Stuart Hirschhorn, director of<br />

research, Catalina Research.<br />

Chart 21<br />

Laminate purchases by<br />

end-use market<br />

(Total: $894.2 million)<br />

Chart 22<br />

Laminate flooring market value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

1,400<br />

1,200<br />

1,000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

7.5%<br />

$1,275.6(R)<br />

12.2%<br />

Residential replacement<br />

$718.0 million<br />

Residential builders<br />

$67.1 million<br />

Commercial replacement<br />

$109.1 million<br />

1,160.2(R)<br />

$1,047(R)<br />

80.3%<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

1,038.9(R)<br />

$901(R)<br />

Market sales<br />

“Overall demand for laminate flooring<br />

has leveled off,” Hirschhorn said. “The<br />

gains of domestic shipments were offset by<br />

declines in imports last year. We do see an<br />

estimated 1.5 percent increase in the first<br />

half of 2012 but that will keep the category<br />

well within the 950 million to 960 million<br />

square foot range.”<br />

Catalina estimated the 2011 U.S. laminate<br />

floor wholesale market at 949.8 million square<br />

feet and $894.2 million with an average square<br />

foot price increase of 1.1 percent to 94 cents.<br />

Domestic rising<br />

While Catalina reports an aggressive<br />

13.8 percent increase in sales volume for<br />

domestically-made laminate product in<br />

2011, overall category growth was stalled by<br />

a 13 percent decline in imported product,<br />

according to Hirschhorn.<br />

“It’s been like a rollercoaster where<br />

imports will out-pace domestics one year and<br />

then it flip flops the next — though there’s<br />

definitely a shift towards sourcing domestic<br />

2011 key points<br />

Laminate sales remain virtually flat in<br />

2011, growing 0.13 percent in value and<br />

declining 0.82 percent in volume.<br />

Average square foot pricing rose 1.1<br />

percent in 2011, though pricing was off<br />

14.5 percent from 2007 and 53 percent<br />

from 1997.<br />

Domestic suppliers account for 51.2<br />

percent of U.S. square footage sales, a<br />

leading position not enjoyed since 2008.<br />

Laminate has lost 9.1 percent of market<br />

share since 2007.<br />

912<br />

$893(R)<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Square feet<br />

957.7(R)<br />

$894.2<br />

949.8<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

R=Revised<br />

Chart 23<br />

Laminate flooring imports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

$589.7(R)<br />

550.0<br />

$453.2(R)<br />

461.9<br />

Market sales<br />

products to offset rising import prices and<br />

increasing transportation costs,” he said.<br />

As a result, Hirschhorn said U.S. laminate<br />

floor manufactured shipments now account<br />

for 51.2 percent of U.S. sales volume.<br />

“There’s a paradigm shift from outsourcing<br />

to insourcing happening in flooring,<br />

especially in laminate flooring,” said Tony<br />

Sturrus, president and CEO of Shippenville,<br />

Pa.-based Clarion Industries. “This rapid<br />

shift is primarily being driven by the shrinking<br />

cost advantage China has versus the U.S.<br />

Labor is a relatively small component of the<br />

highly automated laminate manufacturing<br />

process so that Chinese advantage has little<br />

impact. China’s manufacturing costs are<br />

going up and they’ve devalued their currency<br />

but it’s not sustainable.”<br />

The home centers, pricing pressure<br />

Though domestic suppliers are taking<br />

share, it hasn’t had an impact on average<br />

square foot pricing because an estimated<br />

60 percent of product is sold at low-cost<br />

mass merchants such as Home Depot,<br />

Lowe’s and Lumber Liquidators, according<br />

to Catalina Research. While average square<br />

foot pricing increased by 1.1 percent last<br />

year due to increased raw material and<br />

transportation costs, it remained down<br />

14.5 percent from 2007 and a whopping 53<br />

percent from 1997.<br />

Catalina Research estimates laminate<br />

floor sales represent 5.0 percent of the<br />

industry’s total 2011 value, a 2 percent<br />

decline from 2010 and a 9.1 percent<br />

decrease from 2007.<br />

However, laminate suppliers focused on<br />

the specialty retail market said that average<br />

pricing is increasing as dealers turn to better<br />

quality goods.<br />

“The better dealers have learned it’s not<br />

worth the effort to try and compete against<br />

home centers on pricing,” said Dan Natkin,<br />

director of wood and laminate business,<br />

Mannington. “They may have one or two<br />

products at an attractive opening price<br />

$461.9(R)<br />

486.0(R)<br />

$476.2(R)<br />

Square feet<br />

522.7(R)<br />

$419.2<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Chart 24<br />

454.8<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

R=Revised<br />

Laminate flooring average<br />

value per square foot<br />

$1.20<br />

$1.00<br />

$0.80<br />

$0.60<br />

$0.40<br />

$0.20<br />

$0.0<br />

$1.10<br />

$1.01<br />

$0.99<br />

$0.93(R)<br />

$0.94<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

R=Revised<br />

point, but their emphasis, and what their<br />

customers are increasingly buying, are<br />

thicker products with better quality and<br />

overall design.”<br />

Fred Giuggio, vice president of sales and<br />

marketing at Kronotex USA, said average<br />

price points are increasing in both the specialty<br />

retail Formica brand business as well<br />

as in private label business at Home Depot<br />

and Lowe’s.<br />

“The shift to domestic product has<br />

increased quality and we’re seeing a subsequent<br />

uptick in sales price,” he said.<br />

Armstrong raised its laminate floor pricing<br />

5 percent last month, but currently other<br />

leading suppliers haven’t followed suit.<br />

An increase in price wo n’t stick, said<br />

David Carballo, vice president of sales, Faus.<br />

“We just had a product line review at Home<br />

Depot and these guys are putting a lot of<br />

pressure on price,” he said. “Lumber Liquidators<br />

is advertising price like crazy.” FCW


20<br />

Resilient<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

Vinyl sales hit record high<br />

By Raymond Pina<br />

Sales of vinyl sheet and tile flooring hit a record<br />

high wholesale value of $2.11 billion in the<br />

U.S. last year, according to Catalina Research.<br />

Though total 2011 vinyl floor sales grew 5.8<br />

percent in value and 3.2 percent in volume,<br />

it is the ongoing 15 percent growth in higher<br />

priced luxury vinyl tile (LVT) and fiberglass<br />

sheet flooring that has pushed the segment to<br />

record heights.<br />

Gains in up-market LVT and fiberglass<br />

volume forced 2011 average vinyl floor pricing<br />

up 2.9 percent over 2010. The category’s average<br />

square foot price has jumped a remarkable<br />

22 percent since 2007.<br />

“New innovative products, many incorporating<br />

locking systems for the first time, stimulated<br />

demand and led to vinyl taking share from<br />

every other category,” said Stuart Hirschhorn,<br />

director of research, Catalina Research. “What’s<br />

more, commercial, especially replacement<br />

commercial, faired better during the recession<br />

than the residential sector and vinyl has a huge<br />

concentration of that commercial business.<br />

2011 key points<br />

Vinyl sheet and fl oor tile sales hit record<br />

high with category sales increasing 5.8 percent<br />

in value and 3.2 percent in volume.<br />

Average square foot pricing for vinyl increased<br />

2.9 percent this year over last year<br />

and increased 22 percent from 2007.<br />

Vinyl imports decreased 6.2 percent in<br />

2011 as suppliers increase domestic<br />

production of LVT and fiberglass sheet.<br />

Other resilient flooring — which includes<br />

cork, other plastics, rubber and linoleum —<br />

increased in sales value by 4.2 percent but<br />

decreased 2.5 percent in volume in 2011.<br />

Average square foot pricing has increased<br />

43.7 percent since 2007.<br />

Chart 25<br />

Resilient purchases by end-use market<br />

(Total: $2,396.3 million)<br />

0.6%<br />

0.1%<br />

Vinyl floors also had the highest increases in<br />

pricing due to record oil and raw material costs<br />

but they still remained competitive and highly<br />

desirable, if not more so.”<br />

Sales of commercial vinyl composition<br />

tiles (VCT) also grew an estimated 3.3 percent<br />

in volume to 1.01 billion square feet,<br />

according to Hirschhorn.<br />

Leading executives, who have reported double-digit<br />

increases in their LVT and fiberglass<br />

businesses over the past three years, agreed with<br />

Catalina Research’s overall category growth<br />

rates, but remain hesitant to declare 2011 a<br />

record year.<br />

“Having the category up 5 percent sounds<br />

about right, but I don’t think anyone would<br />

paint 2011 as a historically positive year,” noted<br />

Allen Cubell, vice president, residential product<br />

management, Armstrong Floor Products.<br />

While LVT, fiberglass and VCT continue<br />

to grow, Catalina Research estimates traditional<br />

felt-backed vinyl sheet sales declined<br />

7 percent to 907 million square feet in<br />

2011, with volumes evenly split between the<br />

residential and commercial markets. What’s<br />

more, the report highlights that fiberglass<br />

volumes, accounting for 195 million square<br />

feet of sales in 2011, is trending to reach traditional<br />

felt numbers by 2015.<br />

“We see 2011 fiberglass sales at 184 million<br />

square feet; so we’re in the same ballpark,”<br />

said David Sheehan, vice president of<br />

residential resilient business, Mannington.<br />

“Residentially, we see vinyl sheet at 462 million<br />

square feet. Sheet vinyl was up until 2010<br />

when fiberglass sales started kicking in and<br />

we think fiberglass now represents about 40<br />

percent of residential sheet.”<br />

Similarly, Catalina Research estimates<br />

2011 LVT sales volume at 785 million square<br />

feet. But some companies that focus primarily<br />

on high end branded product said the<br />

number is higher than their own estimates.<br />

“You’d have to think a lot of that number<br />

includes peel-and-stick tiles where the defini-<br />

Chart 26<br />

Vinyl sheet and floor tile market value and volume<br />

(in billions)<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

$1.93(R)<br />

3.27<br />

$2.11(R)<br />

3.25<br />

tion of LVT kind of runs amuck,” explained<br />

Cubell. “Lowe’s and Menards do bring in a lot<br />

of cheap tile from Asia. If Catalina is looking<br />

at those imported cash-and-carry tiles, then<br />

I can understand how it gets to its number.”<br />

Hirschhorn added, “There was a large<br />

jump in peel-and-stick tile sales at home centers<br />

where laminate would have traditionally<br />

been used. There was also a record number<br />

of new suppliers entering the LVT market.”<br />

Imports decline, domestics grows<br />

Despite a large number of suppliers, distributors<br />

and retailers expanding into the vinyl<br />

Chart 27<br />

$1.82(R)<br />

2.78<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales Square feet<br />

R=Revised<br />

Vinyl sheet and floor tile imports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

650<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

Chart 28<br />

$605.8<br />

1,503.7<br />

$687.6<br />

1,481.8<br />

$613.8<br />

1,247.4<br />

$2.00(R)<br />

$728.8<br />

2.86<br />

1,335.2<br />

$2.11<br />

$764.4<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

2.95<br />

1,251.8<br />

Market sales Square feet R=Revised<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

Vinyl sheet and floor tile exports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

400<br />

market with imported LVT in 2011, Catalina<br />

Research has category imports declining 6.2<br />

percent for the year — mostly due to a shift<br />

towards increased domestic production.<br />

“It makes sense that vinyl imports were<br />

down last year with both IVC US and Armstrong<br />

making fiberglass here in the states,”<br />

said Cubell. “We shut down a tile and VCT<br />

plant in Montreal, Canada which brought our<br />

imported tiles way down. And we shut our<br />

fiberglass plant in England so our imported<br />

fiberglass went to zero. And those import<br />

numbers are only going to keep decreasing as<br />

Continued on page 22<br />

11.6%<br />

31.2%<br />

Commercial new construction<br />

$747.5 million<br />

Residential replacement<br />

$743.5 million<br />

Commercial replacement<br />

$611.1 million<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

301.2<br />

331.7<br />

310.5<br />

377.6<br />

363.3<br />

25.5%<br />

Residential builders<br />

$278.0 million<br />

Manufactured housing<br />

$13.8 million<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

$138.0<br />

$160.9<br />

$141.6<br />

$163.8<br />

$176.8<br />

31.0%<br />

Transportation equipment<br />

$2.4 million<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

0<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales Square feet<br />

Source: Catalina Research


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22<br />

Resilient<br />

July 23/30, 2012<br />

Perspective<br />

What led to vinyl’s record year? Industry<br />

executives Russell Rogg, CEO, Metrofl or;<br />

Keith Lacagnata, vice president of sales and<br />

marketing, FreeFit; Pat Buckley, vice president of<br />

product management, Congoleum; Jonathan<br />

Train, vice president of product development,<br />

EarthWerks; and Allen Cubell, vice president,<br />

residential product management, Armstrong<br />

put it into perspective.<br />

What fueled vinyl flooring’s rapid increase<br />

in sales and market share in 2011?<br />

Rogg: There is no doubt that the advent<br />

of click LVT (luxury vinyl tile) has only<br />

increased the amount of share the category<br />

is taking from laminate fl ooring residentially<br />

and commercially. Laminate has some<br />

drawbacks. Using click LVT has become a<br />

natural next step for folks who were familiar<br />

with installing laminate.<br />

Lacagnata: When you combine the tremendous<br />

gains of LVT and fi berglass sheet, you begin<br />

to understand how these products are<br />

encroaching upon the entire industry. Without<br />

Chart 29<br />

Other resilient flooring* market value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

Chart 30<br />

Resilient floor covering sales by volume<br />

(Total square feet: 3.20 billion)<br />

1.8%<br />

0.4%<br />

24.6%<br />

$282.5<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

6.1%<br />

352.9<br />

5.4%<br />

$279.8<br />

28.4%%<br />

330.8<br />

Market sales<br />

$263.5<br />

33.3%<br />

question they are taking share from every<br />

category, but particularly laminate. Gains that<br />

would have gone to laminate got siphoned off<br />

to LVT last year.<br />

Buckley: Category price increases were<br />

a big factor. When you combine that with<br />

double-digit growth in LVT and sheet you<br />

get impressive increases in category value.<br />

LVT is by no means inexpensive, selling on<br />

average for $3 or $4 per square foot. That<br />

translates into $36 to $40 per square yard.<br />

Catalina’s number might be a little high but<br />

not too far off.<br />

Train: Sheet vinyl increased slightly in total<br />

volume due to an improved economy and<br />

increase in value as more people continued<br />

to move toward fi ber products. I also think<br />

that price increases added to total value. For<br />

LVT, my guess is that the value increased at<br />

least 10 percent last year. And LVT continues<br />

to gain market share from other categories<br />

Cubell: The growth of LVT in general tends to<br />

be at higher average unit values. Raw materials<br />

have been going up. Freight has been going up.<br />

There are a number of factors going on, all<br />

driving the average square foot value up.<br />

280.1<br />

$270.1<br />

250.2<br />

Square feet<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

*Other resilient flooring includes cork, other plastics, rubber and linoleum<br />

VCT/Linoleum<br />

1,064.0 million<br />

Vinyl sheet<br />

907.0 million<br />

LVT<br />

785.0 million<br />

Fiberglass backed<br />

195.0 million<br />

Rubber<br />

57.0 million<br />

Cork<br />

12.0 million<br />

$281.5<br />

244.0<br />

Other plastic and flooring materials<br />

175.0 million<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

Chart 31<br />

Other resilient flooring* imports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

Chart 32<br />

Other resilient flooring* exports value and volume<br />

(in millions)<br />

Chart 33<br />

Other resilient flooring* average<br />

value per square foot<br />

$1.20<br />

$1.05<br />

$0.90<br />

$0.75<br />

$0.60<br />

$0.45<br />

$0.30<br />

$0.15<br />

$0.0<br />

240<br />

210<br />

180<br />

150<br />

120<br />

90<br />

60<br />

30<br />

0<br />

100.0<br />

87.5<br />

75.0<br />

62.5<br />

50.0<br />

37.5<br />

25.0<br />

12.5<br />

0<br />

$0.80<br />

$106.1<br />

$27.6<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

$0.85<br />

196.7<br />

51.4<br />

$0.94<br />

$43.3<br />

Market sales<br />

1.08<br />

91.2<br />

1.15<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

*Other resilient flooring includes cork, other plastics, rubber and linoleum<br />

Record high<br />

Continued from page 20<br />

$107.6<br />

230.3<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market sales Square feet<br />

Other resilient Includes imports of flooring made of other plastics, cork, linoleum, rubber and other materials.<br />

Mannington shifts more of its LVT production<br />

to its new Amtico facility in Georgia.”<br />

Amtico, Armstrong, Centiva, Congoleum,<br />

Mannington and Tarkett all supply the LVT<br />

market with domestic made product.<br />

“Most of our products are made in the U.S.A.<br />

and have always been so,” said Pat Buckley, vice<br />

president of product management, Congoleum.<br />

“Our most popular products — DuraCeramic,<br />

DuraPlank II and AirStep — are all made here<br />

and increasing in popularity.”<br />

Other resilient flooring<br />

Sales of cork, rubber, linoleum and floors<br />

$95.4<br />

$34.3<br />

227.7<br />

70.9<br />

Square feet<br />

$109.6<br />

$40.9<br />

213.5<br />

76.7<br />

$117.2<br />

$40.4<br />

74.7<br />

161.9<br />

*Other resilient flooring exports include flooring made of other plastics, linoleum, rubber and other materials<br />

Chart 34<br />

Vinyl sheet and floor tile average<br />

value per square foot<br />

$0.8<br />

$0.7<br />

$0.6<br />

$0.5<br />

$0.4<br />

$0.3<br />

$0.2<br />

$0.1<br />

$0.0<br />

$0.59(R)<br />

$0.65(R)<br />

$0.65(R)<br />

$0.70(R)<br />

$0.72<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Source: Catalina Research<br />

made of “other plastics” increased 4.2 percent<br />

in value last year, mostly due to price<br />

increases tied to higher raw materials costs,<br />

while sales volumes declined 2.5 percent,<br />

according to Catalina Research.<br />

“When the economy gets back to normal this<br />

segment will get back to where it was before,”<br />

said Ivan Stoler, president, Allstate Rubber.<br />

Valued at $281.5 million dollars in 2011,<br />

this “other” category is near its 2007 record<br />

sales level of $282.5 million dollars, but<br />

down some 30.9 percent in volume during<br />

the same period. Currently, the category<br />

accounts for less than 2 percent of industry<br />

sales. But, the segment has experienced the<br />

industry’s highest price increases with 2011<br />

average square foot pricing up 6.5 percent<br />

over 2010. FCW


July 23/30, 2012<br />

23<br />

Mohawk releases third sustainability report<br />

[Calhoun, Ga.] Mohawk Industries, Inc.,<br />

based here, has released its third annual<br />

sustainability report this year. While adhering<br />

to the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI)<br />

standard, in place since their first report, the<br />

company entrusted FIRA, an independent<br />

firm headquartered in The Netherlands, as<br />

the report assurance provider.<br />

“We are dedicated to integrity and open<br />

communication with all of our stakeholders,<br />

which is why we have always used an<br />

independent auditor to verify the accuracy of<br />

information before we release the report,” said<br />

Jenny Cross, director of global sustainability at<br />

Mohawk. “Using GRI standards to report the<br />

progress we’ve made in our sustainable practices<br />

ensures that our organization is measuring<br />

and documenting its practices in a manner<br />

consistent with global best practices.”<br />

Mohawk stressed the importance of<br />

understanding that sustainability is more<br />

than just environmental initiatives — people,<br />

the planet and profit are the pillars. “If we<br />

don’t keep our people healthy and smart, our<br />

business will not be sustainable,” said Cross.<br />

During 2011, for example, Mohawk<br />

expanded Healthy Mohawk, one of its most<br />

successful wellness programs to date. (The<br />

basis of the program was to combine telephonic<br />

specialty nurse management and<br />

on-site Healthy Life Centers [HLC] to the<br />

most densely populated employment centers.)<br />

Two new HLCs have been set up in the<br />

Dallas area for Dal-Tile employees.<br />

From 2010 to 2011, Mohawk saw a 7 percent<br />

increase in preventative care, a 9 percent<br />

decrease in radiology and scans, and a 50 percent<br />

decrease in diabetes-related hospital stays.<br />

In four Georgia HLC locations, exercise and<br />

nutrition classes are now offered.<br />

New initiatives to sustain the planet<br />

include adding an on-site fueling station for<br />

its vehicles reducing the amount of miles its<br />

trucks must drive to and from an off-site location<br />

by 39,000 miles a year. “Typically at our<br />

distribution station we would go fill up, but<br />

your vehicle can only be so heavy. We would<br />

have to go back again and put the rest of the<br />

product on. No w, we can do it on-site and<br />

take the mileage out,” said Cross.<br />

Mohawk is continuously working towards<br />

their goal of becoming 25 percent more water<br />

and energy efficient by 2020. It has changed<br />

its dying process for carpet, and now uses the<br />

continuous dye method which uses less water.<br />

Though the company experienced a 4.8 percent<br />

increase in water usage in from 2010-2011 due<br />

to the state of the market and their product mix<br />

changing slightly, “[Mohawk] expects the spike<br />

to work its way out in the coming years,” predicted<br />

Cross. “We appear to be on track to meet<br />

our goals.” Over the last six years, Mohawk has<br />

reduced water usage by 1.13 billion gallons.<br />

— Taryn Baum<br />

FloorForce partners with Fabulous Floors<br />

[Boca Raton, Fla.] FloorForce has<br />

announced a marketing partnership with<br />

Fabulous Floors Magazine. Fabulous Floors,<br />

the first consumer magazine devoted solely to<br />

flooring styles, will provide a widget for Floor-<br />

Force retailers to put on their websites, which<br />

opens a digital version of Fabulous Floors<br />

Magazine, exclusive to FloorForce customers.<br />

The digital magazine will provide consumers<br />

with ideas and inspiration on flooring products<br />

while ensuring that manufacturers have a direct<br />

line to consumers. For retailers, the added sticky<br />

content provides not only added value for their<br />

customers but ensures that they remain on their<br />

site longer — encouraging them to purchase<br />

products or visit the store.<br />

“The Fabulous Floors widget is just another<br />

great example of the value that FloorForce<br />

brings to the flooring retailer, the manufacturer<br />

and to the consumer,” said John Weller,<br />

marketing director for FloorForce. “We have<br />

also launched a bi-monthly newsletter for our<br />

retailers called CloudBurst, and a blog site<br />

named Floorboard that is plum full of content<br />

that our retailers can use to populate content<br />

onto their own social media networks. Both<br />

of these were developed to further our one<br />

and only goal of helping the flooring retailer<br />

accelerate sales through technology.”<br />

Added Fabulous Floors publisher Margo<br />

Locust, “Floor Force websites currently reach<br />

more than 36,000 consumers searching for<br />

flooring per week and this number is growing<br />

all the time — having this exposure for our<br />

informative content is wonderful.” FCW<br />

Trade associations partner with UPenn<br />

[Philadelphia] Commencing in January<br />

2013, the University of Pennsylvania will<br />

begin a partnership program with the Association<br />

of Rug Care Specialists (ARCS), National<br />

Wood Flooring Association (NWFA), North<br />

American Association of Floor Covering<br />

Distributors (NAFCD) and the World Floor<br />

Covering Association (WFCA) to provide<br />

participants with an opportunity to study the<br />

essentials of business management and to<br />

develop new skills and strategies needed to<br />

grow their businesses.<br />

“The partnership is an incredible opportunity<br />

for trade association members to develop<br />

their management skills and learn strategies for<br />

growing their business at one of the country’s<br />

most respected academic institutions,” said Jim<br />

Walters, immediate past chairman of WFCA.<br />

“We have been interested in small businesses<br />

for a while — we have the Pennsylvania<br />

Small Business Development Center<br />

housed on our campus and we got them<br />

involved in the idea of creating a program to<br />

support trade association members in growing<br />

their businesses,” said Rita McGlone,<br />

executive director of training and consulting<br />

services at the University. “The common<br />

theme throughout the program will be to utilize<br />

each other by working as peers in small<br />

groups towards a particular goal.”<br />

The program will run anywhere from 9-12<br />

weeks, a length that will be determined once<br />

the curriculum has been finalized. It will<br />

combine traditional face-to-face classes with<br />

online courses to minimize time spent away<br />

from businesses.<br />

While not a credit-granting program,<br />

partakers will obtain a certificate from the<br />

University upon completion. “They will<br />

be able to receive actual skills to take back<br />

to their businesses and implement them<br />

in real time to be able to see the return of<br />

their dollars quickly,” said Ken Adams,<br />

president and CEO of ABC Oriental Rug<br />

and Carpet Cleaning and a member of the<br />

ARCS board of directors.<br />

The University is looking for 25 to 40<br />

participants, qualified by being a member<br />

of at least one of the associations and by<br />

being either a business owner or in a position<br />

of management in the industry. “Our<br />

members were surveyed to see who would<br />

be interested, and we provided those<br />

results to UPenn. After speaking with the<br />

other associations, it was decided that there<br />

was enough interest to move forward,” said<br />

Anita Howard, senior director of communications<br />

and events, NWFA.<br />

“Most of the businesses in our industry<br />

are run by generations of families, and now<br />

we have a younger core of people coming<br />

in. The economy and business environment<br />

has totally changed — we knew a course that<br />

taught management skills wo uld be something<br />

that would be great for us,” said Adams.<br />

The partnership will maximize the<br />

resources available at the University,<br />

including the Center for Organizational<br />

Dynamics, Department of Economics, and<br />

the Wharton Small Business Development<br />

Center. Potential courses include Marketing<br />

for Success, Financial Management,<br />

Family Business Planning and Succession<br />

Issues, and Negotiating Skills. FCW<br />

Shaw’s Epic<br />

Continued from page 3<br />

Shaw’s Kathy Young, director of marketing,<br />

said the company is thrilled that De<br />

Giulio chose Epic for this year’s kitchen.<br />

“It’s always a pleasure to work with the<br />

kitchen designer to choose a Shaw floor that<br />

brings his or her dream kitchen to life, and<br />

Epic has provided such a strong foundation<br />

for this year’s stunning Kitchen of the Year,”<br />

said Young. “Top kitchen designer Mick<br />

De Giulio has merged the beauty and hand<br />

detailing of our Epic hardwood with such a<br />

fun and dynamic chevron design to create a<br />

truly fashion-forward style statement in this<br />

fabulous kitchen. The result is a truly inspiring<br />

project for home enthusiasts.”<br />

Shaw is employing a number of marketing<br />

initiatives in order to tout its featured<br />

Epic hardwood flooring on the consumer<br />

level. Through social media outlets such as<br />

Facebook, Pinterest and its ShawFloors.com<br />

website, the company is showcasing photos,<br />

insightful descriptions and special insider previews<br />

of the kitchen.<br />

According to Christina Honkonen, marketing,<br />

communications specialist at Shaw,<br />

“This creative content empowers Shaw consumers<br />

with rich interior design and flooring<br />

inspiration. With new style ideas around<br />

every corner, from the chevron design created<br />

with our Epic hardwood in the butler’s<br />

pantry to creative tabletop displays that<br />

provided finishing touches.”<br />

Shaw also created a marketing kiosk with<br />

two tailored promotionals that encouraged<br />

visitors to ask the company specific questions<br />

relating to flooring installation, design ideas<br />

and flooring maintenance. Each Kitchen of the<br />

Year visitor could register to win a $1,000 floor<br />

giveaway, and a 10-percent off discount was<br />

made available to everyone.<br />

“Our outreach this year was designed to<br />

spark real and insightful dialog with our customers<br />

that will ultimately lead to a visit with<br />

their nearest Shaw retailer,” added Honkonen.<br />

Other featured brands in the kitchen<br />

included KraftMaid cabinetry, Whirlpool<br />

appliances and Kohler faucets.<br />

— Mallory Cruise


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Randy Me ritt<br />

By Kimberly Gavin<br />

ple realize,” he said.<br />

s a ds value<br />

By Janet Herlihy<br />

itself. “We create value by sharing knowledge<br />

that helps our customers make more money<br />

— be it bath rugs retailers, designers in commercial<br />

o retailers in a depre sed residential<br />

market. It drives our i novation and helps<br />

people partner with us long term,” he a ded.<br />

“If we don’t kno what the consumer<br />

wants, we can’t deliver it,” a ded Gary<br />

Johnston, senior marketing manager. “If we<br />

don’t know how she shops, we can’t help our<br />

retailers deliver the right experience.”<br />

Flooring sho pers today fa l right in line<br />

with census age groups, the research shows:<br />

26 percent are betw en 25 and 34; 26 percent<br />

are betw en 35 and 4; 26 percent are betw en<br />

45 and 54; and 2 percent are between 5 and<br />

65 years of age, respectively.<br />

party to further validate the report.<br />

Most are colleg educated — 32 percent have<br />

Introducing Dr. Erich Joachimsthaler, an<br />

an undergraduate degr e, 29 percent have some [Las Vegas] Mohawk’s 20 1 Fiber Satisfaction<br />

Study put SmartStrand to the test keting and branding and founder of Vivaldi<br />

expert and author on busine strategies, mar-<br />

co lege and 18 percent have a post-graduate<br />

degr e. The majority also work full time (45 with consumers and the result showed that Partners, Tom Lape, president of Mohawk’s<br />

SmartStrand buyers were significantly more residential and commercial carpet busine s,<br />

satisfied than nylon buyers. The study results said, “We went outside the industry to s e if<br />

were revealed at Surfaces.<br />

SmartStrand rea ly stands up to its claims.”<br />

cording to the report, buyers noted Joachimsthaler was contracted to make<br />

wit how easy Smart-<br />

sure the research could pa s the rigor of<br />

p e review and presented his findings at a<br />

on here. He confirmed the research<br />

0, 0 consumers and<br />

ple,<br />

ance to<br />

19<br />

By Amy Joyce Rush<br />

iodical<br />

expanding internationa ly.”<br />

Continued on page 6<br />

By Kimberly Gavin<br />

of brands.<br />

officer for Invista.<br />

Brian Carson<br />

fiber does both.”<br />

John Turner, Jr.<br />

Invista’s TruSoft<br />

loor Covering W ekly a nounces th entries in its third annual Gr en-<br />

Step Awards — a program that recognizes the industry’s path in environmental<br />

sustainability and responsibility. Th entries now go to a<br />

distinguished panel of judges who wi l selec this year’s recipients.<br />

“This industry has b en, and continues to be, a leader in the gr en movement,”<br />

said FCW’s executiv editor Kim Gavin. “From i novative produc to<br />

proce ses and practices that are second to none, the floor covering industry<br />

continues to make great strides in it sustainability efforts and provide lead-<br />

A l ok a the 20 1 entries for Gr enStep begins on page 4. The judges’<br />

ership to other industries.”<br />

takes place in Dalton, Ga.<br />

Continued on page 17<br />

By Janet Herlihy<br />

After nine years of Carpet America Recovery<br />

Effort (CARE) leadership, combined with support<br />

from a l segments of the industry, carpet<br />

reclamation/recycling is back on its way to<br />

becoming common practice in the U.S.<br />

FCW Insider<br />

o dical<br />

Continued on page 4<br />

Some recycling centers were forced out of<br />

business while others stockpiled post consumer<br />

(PC) carpet, hoping for a time when<br />

Continued on page 18<br />

Continued on page 19<br />

al<br />

By Janet Herlihy<br />

Continued on page 14<br />

great Surfaces<br />

26<br />

The Last Word<br />

Finally, the real numbers<br />

This is the 20th year that Floor<br />

Covering Weekly delivers its<br />

Annual Statistical Report<br />

of the size and scope of the flooring<br />

industry. Twenty years ago, we were<br />

the only ones to bring accurate, vetted<br />

data to the industry at large — the only others who had<br />

access to this kind of information were large companies,<br />

mostly manufacturers, who had to pay for it. Today, you<br />

have access to some of the exact same data they do.<br />

Back then, no one could say with any accuracy — outside<br />

of their own small world and product segment — the size<br />

or scope of the market. Certainly, there was no consensus<br />

as each manufacturer had its own point of view. Too often,<br />

those manufacturer’s views were colored by their own limitations<br />

— the market segments they served, even down to<br />

the actual products they made, and, of course, their own<br />

competitive issues.<br />

Today, those same limitations exist. And while conversations<br />

with leading manufacturers and executives is part of<br />

our process for understanding the changes in the market,<br />

guesses about market size — even educated guesses — are<br />

simply insufficient.<br />

Instead, we stick to primary data — quantifiable numbers<br />

that are tracked, updated and revised by the U.S. government<br />

through various agencies. We understand that anecdotal<br />

information is by its very nature inaccurate and incomplete.<br />

By the numbers it looks pretty good<br />

While it does have its place, it is really only through disciplined<br />

research and a thorough and unbiased understanding<br />

of the market that you can get any reliable data.<br />

For our numbers, we turn to Catalina Research, a professional<br />

research organization that is recognized as one of the<br />

industry’s leading sources.<br />

Once we have reliable data, we look to Jonathan Trivers<br />

and his marketWise report to help make further sense of it<br />

all. In marketWise, Trivers gives us a different and unique<br />

view of what the industry looks like from the outside —<br />

where products are sold, the forces driving retail and<br />

changes in the market.<br />

As a result of these efforts, we are able to bring to you<br />

what is unequivocally the industry’s best data and market<br />

analysis. We spend a lot of time, money and effort in getting<br />

this information to you, but as far as we’re concerned,<br />

you deserve no less.<br />

In these times, more than ever, solid information is critical<br />

for our readers and for this industry. The truth is that<br />

nothing less than our very survival depends on it. Armed<br />

with accurate data, key insights about the dramatic changes<br />

happening throughout all channels, combined with a thorough<br />

understanding of the dynamics behind the numbers<br />

and maybe you have a chance. Otherwise, you’d just be<br />

guessing. And when your job, your business and your family’s<br />

future is on the line, guessing is just not good enough.<br />

You deserve better.<br />

— Santiago Montero<br />

FLOOR COVERING WEEKLY<br />

The Industry’s Business News & Information Resource<br />

FCW Editorial and Sales Headquarters<br />

50 Charles Lindbergh Blvd., Suite 100, Uniondale, NY 11553<br />

<br />

Editorial (516) 229-3600(516) 227-1342<br />

(770) 919-7747 (770) 919-1348<br />

(516) 227-1407(516) 227-1342<br />

Editorial<br />

Santiago Montero Publisher & Editor in Chief smontero@hearst.com<br />

Kimberly Gavin Executive Editorkimgavin@aol.com<br />

Amy Joyce Rush Managing Editorarush@hearst.com<br />

Raymond Pina Senior Editor raypinafcw@yahoo.com<br />

Mallory Cruise mcruise@hearst.com<br />

Janet Herlihy jgherlihy@sbcglobal.net<br />

Tanja Kernkern.tanja@gmail.com<br />

Maya Avrasin m.avrasin@gmail.com<br />

Columnists<br />

Jon Trivers I take the fl oor<br />

Chris Ramey Strategic insights <br />

Kermit Baker Beyond the numbers <br />

Ed Korczak As I see it <br />

Manny Llerna Retailing road map<br />

Marge Redmond Heard on Main Street<br />

Christine Whittemore Flooring the customer <br />

Tom Jennings First things fi rst<br />

Advertising<br />

Southeast, Midwest, West Coast U.S. & Canada<br />

Charlton Calhoun (770) 919-7747(770) 919-1348<br />

Northeast U.S.<br />

Cal Calhoun (770) 919-7747(770) 919-1348<br />

Classifi ed Ads<br />

Stacey Iaccino (516) 227-1407(516) 227-1342<br />

Vol. 61 No. 4 A Hearst Busine s Publication February 20/27, 2012 $4<br />

Read on its own, this year’s annual statistical report<br />

isn’t necessarily a shout-it-from-the-rooftops<br />

.excitement fest. But taken against the backdrop of<br />

the past five years, I think it’s pretty darned good.<br />

While the value of U.S. flooring in dollars didn’t escalate<br />

dramatically, sales did climb higher in 2011 than they did<br />

in 2010. Sure it was a mere 2.5 percent, but considering<br />

that change in dollars was negative in 2007, 2008 and 2009,<br />

that’s a positive trend, especially coming on the heels of a<br />

4.1 percent growth in 2010.<br />

But square foot sales actually dropped in 2011 versus the<br />

prior year, but by a very small 1.5 percent. Volume losses in<br />

2007, 2008 and 2009 were in the double digits.<br />

After two years of slipping beneath the $1.00 per square<br />

foot mark, average flooring sales climbed back up to $1.02<br />

per square foot. That’s a good thing, because the recession<br />

we are still climbing out of was characterized by the<br />

unusual escalation in raw materials prices. That left us with<br />

the unusual position of low demand for the product but<br />

high costs to produce and transport.<br />

The ability to get square foot prices up indicates that<br />

there was enough demand in 2011 to pass along raw materials<br />

increases. The statistical report doesn’t measure it, but<br />

manufacturer profitability (and hopefully distributor and<br />

retailer) should have also seen improvements.<br />

I see much of what has been happening over time continuing<br />

to happen. Wall-to-wall carpet loses share to hard surface<br />

Shaw’s Merritt sees improvement in 2012<br />

L<br />

Invista taps into today’s consumer<br />

Invista spends a lot of time and money trying<br />

to stay on top of wha the carpet consuming<br />

public wants and n eds on behalf of its Stainmaster<br />

brand. The latest round of research,<br />

which surveyed 1, 0 fl oring consumers<br />

about their shopping habits, is adaman that<br />

the industry must be clear with its me saging<br />

and recognize that the consumer is ge ting<br />

information in a variety of ways, a cording to<br />

Steve Griffith, chief marketing officer.<br />

“We talk to the consumer every month<br />

to different degr es,” Griffith explained to<br />

FCW. The company conducts verbal phone<br />

surveys, conducts online Internet panels as<br />

we l as hires research firms to speak directly<br />

to the customer. “The n eds of consumers —<br />

especia ly in today’s climate — change more<br />

ik every company in the fl oring busine<br />

s, Shaw Industries has had to change will be contentious. There will probably be lenges, but it was strong through th end of<br />

say this one will be like previous elections, it the commercial busine s. There will be chal-<br />

course through the worst rece sion in more fighting on airwaves than we have s en 20 1 and backlogs are g od. We wi l k ep<br />

modern memory, a period that’s also s en in the past. Everybody is frustrated on both riding that carpet tile horse, it’s rea ly hot.<br />

drasti changes in the carpet industry. Shaw sides of the fence. How that will affect busine<br />

s and titudes I don’t know. But that’s from tile versus broadloom is higher per unit.<br />

And the beautiful thing for us is that revenue<br />

president, Randy Merri t, recently spoke with<br />

FCW Executive Editor Kimberly Gavin about certainly a factor at some level.<br />

ge ting through the rece sion and how the fiber<br />

How has the product mix changed?<br />

shakeup has changed the busine s.<br />

Does commercial hold up in 2012? Me ritt: In a lot of the residential cha nels,<br />

Me ri t: That’s certainly po sible. That said, including multifamily, manufactured housing<br />

What does 2012 look like to you?<br />

the government wi l spend le s money. Institutiona<br />

ly, there is le s money a the public some busine s coming back to the mid-to –<br />

and retail, we’ve s en trading down. There is<br />

Me ri t: We’ve a l said the same thing for the<br />

last thr years, and we’ve b en wrong the sch o level. We wi l s e improving hospitality<br />

busine s. Health care wi l continue to be mi dle gets be ter. As you trade down, you se l<br />

mid-higher end. It’s not luxury, bu the u per<br />

las thr e years. But anytime th economy is<br />

trying to recover, things should gain momentum.<br />

The big question to me is what impact some impact on spending, but I don’t see units but you have le s revenue.<br />

g od. Corporately, the election may have le s per unit, so you se l the same number of<br />

th election wi l have. I don’t think you can any reason why I would be pessimistic about<br />

Continued on page 18<br />

FloorForce’s new website<br />

Continued on page 18<br />

Dr. Erich Joachimsthaler<br />

and Mohawk’s Tom Lape<br />

SmartStrand gets high marks<br />

Vol. 61 No. 1 A Hearst Business Publication January 2-16, 2012 $4<br />

Ru se l Gri zle, incoming CEO, with Tom Davis, retiring CEO at Ma nington<br />

Grizzle takes helm<br />

at Mannington<br />

Invista launches TruSoft<br />

tion and development for Invista, elaborated,<br />

“We’ve tried to build on the softne s and the<br />

Invista is launching the latest in its arsenal of performance origina ly launched with Tacte<br />

se in 20 and Luxure l in 2009. TruSoft is<br />

soft fiber products for the residential carpet<br />

to focus on how to improve ourselves in all market with TruSoft. This nylon 6,6 fiber is the softest Stainmaster available. A the same<br />

areas of our operations, be more efficient, the newest addition to the Stainmaster family time, we want to deliver performance. This<br />

[Salem, N.J.] Russe l Gri zle t ok over as move more product and therefore try to grow<br />

CEO of Ma nington Mi ls on Jan. 1, and regardle s of the state of the industry.”<br />

A cording to Invista executives, TruSoft Extremely soft fibers are available in the<br />

while he brings with him a d ep respect for the While Gri zle is emphatic tha the company is the softest Stainmaster fiber to date. It also marketplace in bath mats, for example. But the<br />

company’s we l-defined culture, he has a few wi l continue to focus on the core U.S. market offers the performance that consumers have softne s often comes at a price. The powderpuff<br />

f el of a bath mat comes withou the tip<br />

ideas of his own on how to grow the busine s. and that it wi l remain commi ted to U.S. come to expect from the Stainmaster brand,<br />

“Our core values of who we are, are very manufacturing, he s es both global competition<br />

and growth o portunity outside the U.S.<br />

in mainstream residential se tings. TruSoft is<br />

according to Steve Griffith, chief marketing definition and durability nece sary to perform<br />

we l defined — care, do the righ thing, work<br />

hard/play hard, control our own destiny. I “We wan to continue to expand on our T.M. Nuckols, director of product i novadon’t<br />

s e those changing. They were part of the manufacturing base in the U.S. but also have<br />

company for almost 1 0 years,” said Gri zle. international operations in the future. We<br />

A the same time, he is we l aware of the don’t wan to lose sight of our core market,<br />

n ed to organica ly grow and transform but you have to l ok at emerging parts of the<br />

Ma nington acro several key areas including<br />

lean manufacturing, waste elimination growth. So in the next five years or so, I s e us<br />

world that have so much tail wind in terms of<br />

and global expansion.<br />

“We are trying to bring in some of the Gri zle has spent the last 21 months at<br />

newer managemen techniques that you read Ma nington Mi ls as COO preparing to take<br />

about from a l other parts of the world and the CEO position as Tom Davis retires after<br />

other industries,” he said. “It’s a time for us<br />

Preserving the past, positioning for future<br />

Pre-Surfaces issue 2012<br />

F<br />

<br />

<br />

Carson and Turner reveal<br />

leadership plans<br />

GreenStep 2011<br />

entries are in<br />

[Calhoun, Ga.] Mohawk Industries named Brian Carson president of Mohawk Flooring<br />

Busine s Unit and John “J.T.” Turner, Jr., as president of Dal-Tile begi ning this month.<br />

Carson replaces Frank Peters and Turner fo lows Harold Turk. Here, both Carson and<br />

er share their plans to direct the companies and their brands into 2012 and beyond.<br />

FCW<br />

Vol. 60 No. 7 A Hearst Busine s Publication April 4/11, 20 1 $4<br />

FLOOR COVERING WEEKLY<br />

<br />

selections wi l be a nounced thi summer when the a nual awards ceremony<br />

Carpet reclamation and<br />

recycling on road to recovery<br />

The rece sion deal the nascent industry<br />

a blow when markets for recycled carpet<br />

declined along with sales of new carpet.<br />

Murray leads Shaw’s sustainability<br />

Shaw Industries recently ta ped Paul Mu ray, former environmental health and safety and<br />

sustainable busine s practices leader with contract furniture giant Herman Mi ler, to head<br />

up its environmental sustainability efforts. Mu ray, who is Shaw’s vice president of environmental<br />

sustainability and environmental affairs, relocated from Michigan to take on a new<br />

challenge in a car er that spans over 20 years in the sustainability field. FCW executiv editor<br />

<br />

GreenStep<br />

on the residential side of the business.<br />

High-end hard surfaces maintain<br />

popularity because the high-end shopper<br />

has returned to the market with<br />

her desire for ceramic tile, stone and<br />

wood intact. Luxury vinyl tile was a<br />

big winner throughout the economic<br />

downturn, and is maintaining momentum. The area rug<br />

market appears to be gaining from the hard surface demand.<br />

The residential market picked up last year, but only about a<br />

point and a half.<br />

The commercial market stayed strong, growing nearly 5<br />

percent over the previous year. Here, the carpet tile business<br />

continues to prosper because it’s an easy product to<br />

work with. Resilient is a solid second with heavy emphasis<br />

on fashion and style.<br />

Builder flooring purchases were down significantly from<br />

what they were in 2007 — the year that market crashed.<br />

Thus far in 2012, housing starts are trending up by double<br />

digits in the first quarter. Existing home sales grew in the first<br />

quarter of 2012. The economy seems to be improving at a<br />

slow but steady rate. Unemployment remains a concern, but<br />

the consuming economy seems to be holding ground.<br />

In all, the 2012 Annual Statistical Report brings good<br />

news. The snapshot shows a challenging year, but better<br />

than the one prior. This year is shaping up to be even better.<br />

Each improvement gains us a little more breathing room.<br />

2.25% CVD imposed<br />

<br />

Vol. 61 No. 3 A Hearst Busine s Publication February 6/13, 2012 $4<br />

FLOOR COVERING WEEKLY<br />

The Industry’s Busine s News & Information Resource<br />

SURFACES<br />

POST<br />

Painful cuts last year pave<br />

the way for Beaulieu in 2012<br />

2012<br />

Flexible format brings<br />

new success to show<br />

*For more Surfaces coverage s e pages 10 & 26<br />

according to Ralph Boe, president and CEO.<br />

While Boe characterizes the company as [Las Vegas] While Hanley W od reported Tarkett used this o portunity to launch<br />

The fa l of 2011 was a difficult one for Beaulieu.<br />

Thr e of its senior level executives left he’ sti l oking for a few key executives. 10 percent over 2011, a tend es were torn on strong once again pulled retailers into its<br />

“we l managed going into 2012,” he admits that attendance a this year’s Surfaces was up a new display and selling system and Arm-<br />

the company — James Le slie, COO, and For the time being, operations report to whether 2012 would prove to be be ter than large ba lr om space with a wide range of new<br />

Jeff Meadows, CMO, both left in November, him directly; David Vita oversees sales and last year. But, there did s em to be consensus product and a strong distributor presence.<br />

preceded earlier that year by Patricia Flavin, marketing for a l specified commercial busine<br />

s; and, Steve La d heads hospitality. On of positive things to come.<br />

Beaulieu, the two largest exhibitors, found it<br />

tha the show was a su ce s and a harbinger At the same time, Ma nington and<br />

senior vice president of marketing. While the<br />

company was forced to close down thr e of the residential side, Casey Johnson heads While traffic s emed a bit light at times, rewarding to be on the show fl or. “We have<br />

its plants due to slower than expected sales, direct sales; Kathy Fisher overs es home centers;<br />

Joe Wi liams leads the company’s export on the show fl or but exhibited just outside g od show for us,” said Dan Natkin, director<br />

the inclusion of vendors who chose no to go benefi ted from not scaling back, and it was a<br />

on a more positive note, it was also able to<br />

restructure its $230 mi lion debt.<br />

and distributor busine s; and, Wendy Jaynes in m eting r oms, conference r oms and of Ma nington’s w od and laminate busine<br />

s. Ed Duncan, Ma nington’ senior vice<br />

Today, Beaulieu of America has hit the is now marketing manager for the Bli s brand. ba lr oms created crowds off the main fl or.<br />

ground ru ning, a leaner mor efficient organization<br />

that is ready and determined to uphold another flat year,” Boe said. “Refinancing is back Mohawk, which held its western<br />

“We are going into 2012 prepared for That exhibitor flexibility is what brought president of marketing, a ded, “We<br />

and grow its place in the carpet industry, complete and we have finished our consolida- regional event just outside th exhibit<br />

a ba lr om. Arm<br />

— Kimberly Gavin<br />

Production<br />

Thomas YoungProduction Managertdyoung@hearst.com<br />

Matthew Lippl Production Artistmlippl@hearst.com<br />

Administration<br />

Sherridan Basdeo Advertising Administrator sbasdeo@hearst.com<br />

Carolyn Giroux Audience Development Directorcgiroux@hearst.com<br />

Adriana Marzovilla Financial Manageramarzovilla@hearst.com<br />

George R. Hearst Jr. Chairman<br />

Frank A. Bennack Jr. Vice Chairman<br />

Richard P. Malloch Group Head & President<br />

Steven A. Hobbs Executive VP & Deputy Group Head<br />

Robert D. Wilbanks Group Controller<br />

Sales Headquarters<br />

50 Charles Lindbergh Blvd., Suite 100,<br />

Uniondale, NY 11553<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Suite 100, Uniondale, NY 11553.<br />

To subscribe: call (866) 813-3752 or go to fcw1.com/subscribe<br />

For reprints of articles: Wright’s Media (877) 652-5295


*This limited warranty begins on the date of purchase and continues for the life of the carpet. Proration may apply to<br />

lifetime limited warranties. For complete details, see limited warranty brochure available at retail locations or call<br />

1-800-438-7668. © 2012 INVISTA. All Rights Reserved. STAINMASTER® is a registered trademark of INVISTA. C04052

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