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Technologies to Reduce or Capture and Store Carbon Dioxide Emissions

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Additional Coal Requirements <strong>to</strong> Meet Various<br />

Increases in NG Fired Electricity Generation<br />

3,500<br />

3,015<br />

3,000<br />

2,387<br />

Million <strong>to</strong>ns of Coal<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

1,759<br />

1,445<br />

1,131<br />

817<br />

503<br />

500<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0 50 100 125 150 175 200 240<br />

Projected Percentage Increase in NG Electric<br />

Power Generation by 2030<br />

Figure 1-10: Potential W<strong>or</strong>ld Need f<strong>or</strong> Coal Based<br />

On Amount of Increase in Natural Gas Generation<br />

Figure 1-10 demonstrates a sh<strong>or</strong>tfall in natural gas supply will have far reaching<br />

consequences f<strong>or</strong> coal. In fact, the maj<strong>or</strong> energy agencies are steadily moving in this direction.<br />

In the 2006 W<strong>or</strong>ld Energy Outlook (WEO), the IEA increased the projection of coal dem<strong>and</strong><br />

significantly:<br />

“Coal use rises by 32 percent by 2015 <strong>and</strong> 59 percent by 2030 - a significantly faster rate of<br />

growth than in the WEO-2005 . . .gas grows less quickly than in the last Outlook.”<br />

<strong>Carbon</strong> <strong>Dioxide</strong> <strong>and</strong> Greenhouse Gas <strong>Emissions</strong><br />

Economic growth requires the production <strong>and</strong> consumption of energy, which creates inevitable<br />

byproducts such as greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, including carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). This<br />

section expl<strong>or</strong>es these issues by examining carbon emissions by region <strong>and</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r. A<br />

comparative analysis of carbon intensity across various countries is also presented. U.S.<br />

progress on carbon management, which <strong>to</strong> date has generally been market based, will be<br />

compared with progress in countries committed <strong>to</strong> carbon reductions under the Kyo<strong>to</strong> Pro<strong>to</strong>col.<br />

This comparison reveals that most of these countries have failed <strong>to</strong> meet their carbon emission<br />

reduction targets. And although the U.S. also has increased CO 2 emissions, the U.S. continues <strong>to</strong><br />

make progress when CO 2 emissions are measured relative <strong>to</strong> its economic output, resulting in<br />

steadily declining carbon intensity.<br />

June 2007 27

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