CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

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Models (1) Production steps: 1. Analysis of residuals & behavourial comparisons (theory) 2.Exogeneous variables (international and policy) 3.Data from recent past (Statistics NL) 4.SAFFIER II computes 5.Check plausibility with specialists: economic cycle, collective sector, public finance, labour market, other instruments CPB 6.Iterative process: model sometimes “overruled‟ by specialists 7.Technical meetings with ministeries (about specifics of policy proposals) 8.Presentation for Cabinet + Publication Centraal Planbureau
Models (2) What is explained: (Mainly) determined by: • Economic growth (GDPvolume) • international cycle • Wages and prices • Labour market & unemployment • Collective sector (taxes, social security premiums, EMU rate) • public policy • Labour market: participation • Specific sectors: helath care, housing renmstals, gas prices Centraal Planbureau
Page 1 and 2: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic
Page 3 and 4: History (1) • Founded in Septembe
Page 5 and 6: History (3) • 1946 • 1947 onwar
Page 7 and 8: History (5) • The CPB is unique i
Page 9 and 10: Organisation (2) Centraal Planburea
Page 11 and 12: Stakeholders (1) • Government and
Page 13 and 14: Stakeholders (3) • Scientific com
Page 15: Research areas (2) • Institutiona
Page 19 and 20: Election cycle (1) • CPB Mid-term
Page 21 and 22: Election cycle (3) • Consultation
Page 23 and 24: Reputation • Generally accepted a
Page 25: More information on www.cpb.nl Than

CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

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